This is pretty doom and gloom to be honest.
You pointed out primarily 2 bad contracts: Gru and Oleksiak. Sure, Gru has looked terrible but unless you think he fell of a cliff and his issues are not primarily team D issues, he can improve. Driedger was pretty good toward the end of last season.
Oleksiak is what he is. He looked pretty decent last season but has not looked great so far 4 games into the season. Too early to say he is not good anymore.
The moves from the off-season, Schultz, Bura and Bjorkstrand are all looking good early into this season. We have a plethora of prospects, the hope is that they can step in into the older aging players and hopefully some of them can be moved while still having positive value. Our prospect pool is looking good right now and gives us players at all positions assuming they do pan out.
Something that could make a massive difference is also in coaching. I don't think Hakstol has the chops to lead this team. This team needs more of a veteran coach with experience. Also, someone who can handle development of our prospects well.
More moves can be made at the TDL to set us for the future. Move Soucy at the TDL. If Donskoi shows some form once he returns from injury, move him as well. You want to look for this team to be successful, wait another 2 years to see how we are looking like.
We are an expansion team.
Vegas set the bar high for sure, but they're an expansion team as well. Rules have changed though, and the league has reasonably concluded that for the $850 million "buy in", teams should have an opportunity to be competitive from the get go. The days of expansion teams sucking for years (Atlanta, Columbus, Minnesota, Atlanta, Tampa, Anaheim, Nashville) have changed, assuming competent management and direction. A lot has been said about Ronnie being too stubborn or even arrogant when negotiating with other clubs prior to the expansion draft. There's little question in my mind we f***ed that up, but I wasn't in the room, so who knows.
I gave Gru a pass last year. He wasn't special his first year with Colorado. His pass expired, I expect at a minimum, NHL average SV%. Right now, he's worst in the league (assuming we stop counting at 50) with .851. Yes, sample size is small, but the trend seems to continue.
His contract is absurd for this team. AAV is bad, but term is ridiculously stupid.
Big, slow defenders not named Chara (ignoring his last two years) generally do not age well. I wasn't a big fan of Oleksiak when he was a Penguin and I don't think he is going get much better going forward.
I agree with you about recent off-season moves. Promising.
And Hakstol should not be coaching in the NHL. Period. We have a ton of potential value in our two young Cs. We need a coach who won't squander this. I'd be happy for one who doesn't look like a deer in the headlights.
I am not a careful student of junior hockey and prospects, if you are right about the quality and depth we have there then maybe in two years I'll feel more comfortable about our path.