Flyers Playoff Chances

[Larry44]

beating Toronto, Winnipeg and Minnesota then losing to Arizona, Colorado and Carolina in pretty much sums up the Flyers season.
They are probably going to go on a mini run on the homestand just to tease us.

Yes, it's frustrating because when they are on, skating, hitting, swarming, making nice plays, they really can beat anyone, and do. But then they blow games they have in the bag, can't win a shootout, can't kill penalties anymore, and you realize they need a few more pieces - that won't be easy to get.

That said, if the playoffs are off, let's get rid of as many expendables as possible and pick as high as possible....

 

[Tripod]

You really want to trade Mason?

Lol...nope. I just looked at games played the day you posted that....and Vinny had 24 games played. Thought you meant him! Lol.

 

[tuckrr]

Our chances of getting McDavid are now much higher than chances of making playoffs. But ideally if we come dead last we can at least get Eichel guaranteed...

We can beat Edmonton! 8 more points!

 

[Appleyard]

With those two wins a slither of playoff hope returns... not a big or very realistic chance at all, but assuming they need ~93 points to have a decent shot at making the playoffs:

26-13-2
25-12-4
24-11-6
23-10-8

would be required.

54 out of a possible 82 points. 0.659 P%.

which is 108 point pace over a season and ~50% chance of winning the Met if that pace was from the start of the year!

But our schedule does have a lot of winnable games...

17x current Playoff teams
6x current Wildcard
18x current Non-playoff teams

But I think the 5 game stretch vs NSH, ARI, COL, CAR and NJD where they got 1/10 points condemned them... get 5/10 in an easy stretch there and the playoffs were pretty feasible. (you know, those games where Berube decided the 4th line was the 2nd line and played the 2nd and 3rd 14-16 a night and the 1st 1-2 minutes less than usual...)

I think we all know they are going to end up with ~87-90 points and therefore likely the 10-13th pick...

 

[BillDineen]

With those two wins a slither of playoff hope returns... not a big or very realistic chance at all, but assuming they need ~93 points to have a decent shot at making the playoffs:

26-13-2
25-12-4
24-11-6
23-10-8

would be required.

54 out of a possible 82 points. 0.659 P%.

which is 108 point pace over a season and ~50% chance of winning the Met if that pace was from the start of the year!

But our schedule does have a lot of winnable games...

17x current Playoff teams
6x current Wildcard
18x current Non-playoff teams

But I think the 5 game stretch vs NSH, ARI, COL, CAR and NJD where they got 1/10 points condemned them... get 5/10 in an easy stretch there and the playoffs were pretty feasible. (you know, those games where Berube decided the 4th line was the 2nd line and played the 2nd and 3rd 14-16 a night and the 1st 1-2 minutes less than usual...)

I think we all know they are going to end up with ~87-90 points and therefore likely the 10-13th pick...

... which is really is annoying. Sucking two years in a row and rallying for a worst draft pick is worse than the '06/07 season by far.

 

[Psuhockey]

... which is really is annoying. Sucking two years in a row and rallying for a worst draft pick is worse than the '06/07 season by far.

The really annoying thing is that the odds are that this team will be pretty much the same one they ice next year. Nobody is taking marginal players with term so the Flyers will be stuck with Lecavalier, Umberger, and MacDonald. The Flyers could probably move one of L. Schenn and or Grossmann over the summer but I doubt both. The cap is projected to go up buy 4 mil so they could probably sign one free agent. They could work in a rookie or two on the 4th line and or one rookie defenseman if they can move some contracts, but rumor is they want to sign Shultz. So:

Coburn-Streit
Shultz-MacDonald
Grossmann/L.Schenn-rookie

Does that look any better than this years. Unless the rookie defenseman has a season like Ekblad's instead of the normal rookie struggles, I don't see much improvement.

 

[Hockeypete49]

I mean, obviously I want to see this team win, but let's face it, we won't anytime soon. So, ship out whatever we can at the deadline, try to get rid of the deadweight and speed up the "re-tool".

I agree with you.

 

[Rebels57]

With those two wins a slither of playoff hope returns... not a big or very realistic chance at all, but assuming they need ~93 points to have a decent shot at making the playoffs:

26-13-2
25-12-4
24-11-6
23-10-8

would be required.

54 out of a possible 82 points. 0.659 P%.

which is 108 point pace over a season and ~50% chance of winning the Met if that pace was from the start of the year!

But our schedule does have a lot of winnable games...

17x current Playoff teams
6x current Wildcard
18x current Non-playoff teams

But I think the 5 game stretch vs NSH, ARI, COL, CAR and NJD where they got 1/10 points condemned them... get 5/10 in an easy stretch there and the playoffs were pretty feasible. (you know, those games where Berube decided the 4th line was the 2nd line and played the 2nd and 3rd 14-16 a night and the 1st 1-2 minutes less than usual...)

I think we all know they are going to end up with ~87-90 points and therefore likely the 10-13th pick...

I felt the same way at the end of that New Jersey game. Knew the season was over. Nice to see it in print though.

 

[Larry44]

You know your team is out if it when your default sort for the NHL Standings is 'League' and not 'wildcard'.

http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/standings#/league

 

[GapToothedWonder]

You know your team is out if it when your default sort for the NHL Standings is 'League' and not 'wildcard'.

http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/standings#/league

Uuuugggh this is so true. I only look at the division standings to see if the Laughs are out of the playoffs yet.

 

[Garbage Goal]

You know your team is out if it when your default sort for the NHL Standings is 'League' and not 'wildcard'.

http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/standings#/league

Haha very true. Never realized that.