Afternoonish Sunday game vs Philly stinks like an ugly loss incoming. But the mean differential over the set of simulated outcomes actually gives us a really good shot at winning this one (favored Philly by 1/20th of a goal) and the probability of Detroit's likeliest favorable outcome was only marginally smaller than Philly's. The computer did pluck a 9-6 win for Detroit out of the hat, 1/1003 probability, but why not? This is bizarro world where Donald Trump has been elected President of the US, the Wings suck, and the Lions might be an actual dark horse SB contender.