zeke
The Dube Abides
- Mar 14, 2005
- 66,937
- 36,957
I'm sure there will be a couple minor changes to the lineups but close enough.
I'll say it - I still don't buy the Bolts as being nearly as good as their record. Just look at the ridiculous per minutes scoring numbers they're getting from the likes of Killorn, Gourde, Johnson, Namestnikov, etc - these guys are just not good enough to be putting up elite per minute offensive numbers, period.
That being said, they're still an elite team and it sure would be nice if the Leafs didn't just decided to hold on for dear life against one of these teams and tried to actually enforce their will on the game.
Mo/Hainsey/Zaits have had enough games to get back into the swing (and all were great vs OTT), so that excuse from the BOS/NSH games is much less of an excuse now.
It's about time we step up and take it to an elite team.
Legend:
Letter Grades = Quality of Competition measured by opponents' time on ice, Converted into Letter Grades for simplicity
p60 = points per 60 minutes
CF% = Corsi For Percentage (i.e. shot attempts for percentage)
xGF% = Expected Goals For Percentage (i.e. shot attempt percentage adjusted for shot quality) - this stat is already adjusted for zone deployment and game score
In Brackets = CF% and xGF% relative to team
dsv% = difference between save percentage and expected save percentage
Line 1
Matthews (20): 46gms, ES 16:12 (A+), 2.95p60, 50.4cf% (-0.6), 54.2xgf% (+3.4) / PP 2:13, 3.55p60 / SH 0:01
Point (21): 55gms, ES 15:00 (A), 2.48p60, 52.9cf% (+1.0), 54.7gf% (+3.2) / PP 2:13, 3.51p60 / SH 2:08
Nylander (21): 56gms, ES 14:29 (A-), 2.55p60, 51.0cf% (+1.0), 51.3xgf% (+0.3) / PP 2:09, 3.49p60 / SH 0:01
Kucherov (24): 55gms, ES 16:21 (A), 2.94p60, 52.9cf% (+1.1), 50.3xgf% (-3.3) / PP 3:43, 7.19p60 / SH 0:00
Hyman (25): 56gms, ES 14:41 (A+), 1.79p60, 50.3cf% (+0.0), 53.5xgf% (+3.7) / PP 0:08, 0.00p60 / SH 2:42
Killorn (28): 55gms, ES 11:14 (C+), 2.18p60, 55.0cf% (+3.7), 55.9xgf% (+4.8) / PP 2:59, 2.99p60 / SH 1:43
Line 2
Kadri (27): 54gms, ES 14:20 (A), 1.75p60, 50.3cf% (-0.2), 49.1xgf% (-2.9) / PP 2:09, 6.25p60 / SH 0:00
Stamkos (27): 55gms, ES 14:56 (A), 2.63p60, 53.5cf% (+1.8), 54.2xgf% (+2.5) / PP 3:40, 8.21p60 / SH 0:06
Marleau (38): 56gms, ES 14:19 (A), 1.68p60, 50.5cf% (+0.3), 47.8xgf% (-4.5) / PP 2:11, 1.97p60 / SH 0:32
Johnson (27): 54gms, ES 12:54 (B), 2.31p60, 50.7cf% (-2.2), 50.6xgf% (-1.5) / PP 2:17, 5.40p60 / SH 1:54
Marner (20): 56gms, ES 13:22 (C+), 1.87p60, 52.8cf% (+3.4), 55.3xgf% (+5.6) / PP 2:16, 6.61p60 / SH 0:02
Gourde (26): 55gms, ES 12:36 (B), 2.63p60, 52.8cf% (+0.7), 53.9xgf% (+2.0) / PP 1:55, 4.56p60 / SH 1:28
Line 3
Bozak (31): 55gms, ES 13:06 (C), 1.62p60, 52.1cf% (+2.6), 55.1xgf% (+5.4) / PP 2:17, 3.82p60 / SH 0:00
Paquette (24): 36gms, ES 9:30 (D+), 0.70p60, 50.7cf% (-1.4), 48.1xgf% (-3.9) / PP 0:04, 0.00p60 / SH 0:18
VanRyk (28): 55gms, ES 12:23 (C), 1.54p60, 53.5cf% (+4.3), 55.5xgf% (+6.0) / PP 2:20, 6.53p60 / SH 0:00
Kunitz (38): 55gms, ES 11:05 (C-), 1.39p60, 52.1cf% (+0.1), 50.5xgf% (-2.1) / PP 0:06, 0.00p60 / SH 0:32
Brown (23): 56gms, ES 11:39 (B-), 1.50p60, 48.2cf% (-2.6), 46.9xgf% (-5.2) / PP 1:23, 0.78p60 / SH 2:01
Callahan (32): 45gms, ES 11:11 (D+), 0.73p60, 50.9cf% (-0.4), 50.0xgf% (-1.6) / PP 0:28, 0.00p60 / SH 1:16
Line 4
Moore (37): 38gms, ES 9:06 (F), 1.35p60, 49.8cf% (-0.2), 48.7xgf% (-3.2) / PP 0:03, 0.00p60 / SH 1:31
Conacher (28): 23gms, ES 9:47 (D+), 2.40p60, 52.1cf% (-2.0), 54.2xgf% (+0.8) / PP 0:15, 0.00p60 / SH 0:00
Komarov (31): 56gms, ES 12:59 (A-), 0.58p60, 46.9cf% (-4.5), 47.5xgf% (-4.8) / PP 0:42, 3.14p60 / SH 2:43
Namestnikov (25): 55gms, ES 14:20 (A-), 1.86p60, 51.9cf% (-0.4), 50.5xgf% (-2.9) / PP 3:24, 4.58p60 / SH 0:04
Kapanen (21): 13gms, ES 10:18 (D), 1.24p60, 51.5cf% (+1.5), 55.1xgf% (+5.7) / PP 0:02, 0.00p60 / SH 1:00
Erne (22): 2gms, ES 10:10 (D), 3.01p60, 57.9cf% (+2.6), 62.7xgf% (+13.0) / PP 0:00, 0.00p60 / SH 0:00
Pair 1
Rielly (23): 50gms, ES 18:18 (A), 1.01p60, 51.9cf% (+3.6), 50.2xgf% (-0.8) / PP 2:17, 7.32p60 / SH 1:21
Hedman (27): 50gms, ES 19:22 (A-), 1.22p60, 54.1cf% (+1.9), 54.2xgf% (+2.3) / PP 3:29, 4.96p60 / SH 2:41
Hainsey (36): 54gms, ES 17:51 (A+), 0.82p60, 49.1cf% (-1.0), 49.3xgf% (-2.3) / PP 0:08, 9.76p60 / SH 4:16
Stralman (31): 53gms, ES 17:55 (B+), 0.84p60, 51.9cf% (-0.5), 50.8xgf% (-2.7) / PP 0:30, 0.00p60 / SH 2:45
Pair 2
Gardiner (27): 56gms, ES 20:09 (B+), 1.14p60, 49.5cf% (-1.2), 52.5xgf% (+2.2) / PP 2:15, 4.21p60 / SH 0:30
Dotchin (23): 42gms, ES 15:58 (B+), 0.82p60, 52.7cf% (+1.0), 53.6xgf% (+1.8) / PP 0:06, 0.00p60 / SH 0:39
Zaitsev (26): 39gms, ES 18:55 (B+), 0.74p60, 47.2cf% (-5.0), 51.4xgf% (+0.1) / PP 0:15, 0.00p60 / SH 3:26
Girardi (33): 50gms, ES 14:14 (B-), 0.86p60, 50.6cf% (-2.5), 53.6xgf% (+1.7) / PP 0:01, 0.00p60 / SH 2:31
Pair 3
Dermott (21): 13gms, ES 15:39 (C), 1.36p60, 54.7cf% (+4.9), 53.0xgf% (+3.4) / PP 0:07, 0.00p60 / SH 0:37
Sergachev (19): 53gms, ES 13:56 (C+), 1.39p60, 51.9cf% (-0.7), 52.7xgf% (+0.7) / PP 1:55, 7.10p60 / SH 0:01
Polak (31): 34gms, ES 14:35 (D+), 0.73p60, 48.8f% (-0.1), 50.9xgf% (+0.4) / PP 0:00, 0.00p60 / SH 2:26
Coburn (32): 48gms, ES 14:08 (B-), 0.81p60, 50.3cf% (-1.6), 49.3xgf% (-2.9) / PP 0:02, 0.00p60 / SH 2:25
Carrick (23): 34gms, ES 14:40 (D+), 0.71p60, 51.8f% (+0.9), 53.5xgf% (+4.5) / PP 0:23, 4.43p60 / SH 0:02
Sustr (27): 31gms, ES 12:03 (B-), 0.64p60, 53.3cf% (+2.9), 52.3xgf% (+0.3) / PP 0:03, 0.00p60 / SH 0:37
Starter
Andersen (28): 47gms, 92.1sv%, +1.3dsv% / ES 92.8sv%, +1.1dsv% / PK 88.9sv%, +3.1dsv%
Vasilevsky (23): 46gms, 92.9sv%, +0.9dsv% / ES 93.4sv%, +0.8dsv% / PK 89.5sv%, +0.6dsv%
Backup
McElhinney (34): 10gms, 93.2sv%, +2.3dsv% / ES 93.9sv%, +1.7dsv% / PK 90.6sv%, +5.4dsv%
Domingue (25): 11gms, 87.7sv%, -2.8dsv% / ES 90.2sv%, -1.6dsv% / PK 76.6sv%, -7.7dsv%
I'll say it - I still don't buy the Bolts as being nearly as good as their record. Just look at the ridiculous per minutes scoring numbers they're getting from the likes of Killorn, Gourde, Johnson, Namestnikov, etc - these guys are just not good enough to be putting up elite per minute offensive numbers, period.
That being said, they're still an elite team and it sure would be nice if the Leafs didn't just decided to hold on for dear life against one of these teams and tried to actually enforce their will on the game.
Mo/Hainsey/Zaits have had enough games to get back into the swing (and all were great vs OTT), so that excuse from the BOS/NSH games is much less of an excuse now.
It's about time we step up and take it to an elite team.
Legend:
Letter Grades = Quality of Competition measured by opponents' time on ice, Converted into Letter Grades for simplicity
p60 = points per 60 minutes
CF% = Corsi For Percentage (i.e. shot attempts for percentage)
xGF% = Expected Goals For Percentage (i.e. shot attempt percentage adjusted for shot quality) - this stat is already adjusted for zone deployment and game score
In Brackets = CF% and xGF% relative to team
dsv% = difference between save percentage and expected save percentage
Line 1
Matthews (20): 46gms, ES 16:12 (A+), 2.95p60, 50.4cf% (-0.6), 54.2xgf% (+3.4) / PP 2:13, 3.55p60 / SH 0:01
Point (21): 55gms, ES 15:00 (A), 2.48p60, 52.9cf% (+1.0), 54.7gf% (+3.2) / PP 2:13, 3.51p60 / SH 2:08
Nylander (21): 56gms, ES 14:29 (A-), 2.55p60, 51.0cf% (+1.0), 51.3xgf% (+0.3) / PP 2:09, 3.49p60 / SH 0:01
Kucherov (24): 55gms, ES 16:21 (A), 2.94p60, 52.9cf% (+1.1), 50.3xgf% (-3.3) / PP 3:43, 7.19p60 / SH 0:00
Hyman (25): 56gms, ES 14:41 (A+), 1.79p60, 50.3cf% (+0.0), 53.5xgf% (+3.7) / PP 0:08, 0.00p60 / SH 2:42
Killorn (28): 55gms, ES 11:14 (C+), 2.18p60, 55.0cf% (+3.7), 55.9xgf% (+4.8) / PP 2:59, 2.99p60 / SH 1:43
Line 2
Kadri (27): 54gms, ES 14:20 (A), 1.75p60, 50.3cf% (-0.2), 49.1xgf% (-2.9) / PP 2:09, 6.25p60 / SH 0:00
Stamkos (27): 55gms, ES 14:56 (A), 2.63p60, 53.5cf% (+1.8), 54.2xgf% (+2.5) / PP 3:40, 8.21p60 / SH 0:06
Marleau (38): 56gms, ES 14:19 (A), 1.68p60, 50.5cf% (+0.3), 47.8xgf% (-4.5) / PP 2:11, 1.97p60 / SH 0:32
Johnson (27): 54gms, ES 12:54 (B), 2.31p60, 50.7cf% (-2.2), 50.6xgf% (-1.5) / PP 2:17, 5.40p60 / SH 1:54
Marner (20): 56gms, ES 13:22 (C+), 1.87p60, 52.8cf% (+3.4), 55.3xgf% (+5.6) / PP 2:16, 6.61p60 / SH 0:02
Gourde (26): 55gms, ES 12:36 (B), 2.63p60, 52.8cf% (+0.7), 53.9xgf% (+2.0) / PP 1:55, 4.56p60 / SH 1:28
Line 3
Bozak (31): 55gms, ES 13:06 (C), 1.62p60, 52.1cf% (+2.6), 55.1xgf% (+5.4) / PP 2:17, 3.82p60 / SH 0:00
Paquette (24): 36gms, ES 9:30 (D+), 0.70p60, 50.7cf% (-1.4), 48.1xgf% (-3.9) / PP 0:04, 0.00p60 / SH 0:18
VanRyk (28): 55gms, ES 12:23 (C), 1.54p60, 53.5cf% (+4.3), 55.5xgf% (+6.0) / PP 2:20, 6.53p60 / SH 0:00
Kunitz (38): 55gms, ES 11:05 (C-), 1.39p60, 52.1cf% (+0.1), 50.5xgf% (-2.1) / PP 0:06, 0.00p60 / SH 0:32
Brown (23): 56gms, ES 11:39 (B-), 1.50p60, 48.2cf% (-2.6), 46.9xgf% (-5.2) / PP 1:23, 0.78p60 / SH 2:01
Callahan (32): 45gms, ES 11:11 (D+), 0.73p60, 50.9cf% (-0.4), 50.0xgf% (-1.6) / PP 0:28, 0.00p60 / SH 1:16
Line 4
Moore (37): 38gms, ES 9:06 (F), 1.35p60, 49.8cf% (-0.2), 48.7xgf% (-3.2) / PP 0:03, 0.00p60 / SH 1:31
Conacher (28): 23gms, ES 9:47 (D+), 2.40p60, 52.1cf% (-2.0), 54.2xgf% (+0.8) / PP 0:15, 0.00p60 / SH 0:00
Komarov (31): 56gms, ES 12:59 (A-), 0.58p60, 46.9cf% (-4.5), 47.5xgf% (-4.8) / PP 0:42, 3.14p60 / SH 2:43
Namestnikov (25): 55gms, ES 14:20 (A-), 1.86p60, 51.9cf% (-0.4), 50.5xgf% (-2.9) / PP 3:24, 4.58p60 / SH 0:04
Kapanen (21): 13gms, ES 10:18 (D), 1.24p60, 51.5cf% (+1.5), 55.1xgf% (+5.7) / PP 0:02, 0.00p60 / SH 1:00
Erne (22): 2gms, ES 10:10 (D), 3.01p60, 57.9cf% (+2.6), 62.7xgf% (+13.0) / PP 0:00, 0.00p60 / SH 0:00
Pair 1
Rielly (23): 50gms, ES 18:18 (A), 1.01p60, 51.9cf% (+3.6), 50.2xgf% (-0.8) / PP 2:17, 7.32p60 / SH 1:21
Hedman (27): 50gms, ES 19:22 (A-), 1.22p60, 54.1cf% (+1.9), 54.2xgf% (+2.3) / PP 3:29, 4.96p60 / SH 2:41
Hainsey (36): 54gms, ES 17:51 (A+), 0.82p60, 49.1cf% (-1.0), 49.3xgf% (-2.3) / PP 0:08, 9.76p60 / SH 4:16
Stralman (31): 53gms, ES 17:55 (B+), 0.84p60, 51.9cf% (-0.5), 50.8xgf% (-2.7) / PP 0:30, 0.00p60 / SH 2:45
Pair 2
Gardiner (27): 56gms, ES 20:09 (B+), 1.14p60, 49.5cf% (-1.2), 52.5xgf% (+2.2) / PP 2:15, 4.21p60 / SH 0:30
Dotchin (23): 42gms, ES 15:58 (B+), 0.82p60, 52.7cf% (+1.0), 53.6xgf% (+1.8) / PP 0:06, 0.00p60 / SH 0:39
Zaitsev (26): 39gms, ES 18:55 (B+), 0.74p60, 47.2cf% (-5.0), 51.4xgf% (+0.1) / PP 0:15, 0.00p60 / SH 3:26
Girardi (33): 50gms, ES 14:14 (B-), 0.86p60, 50.6cf% (-2.5), 53.6xgf% (+1.7) / PP 0:01, 0.00p60 / SH 2:31
Pair 3
Dermott (21): 13gms, ES 15:39 (C), 1.36p60, 54.7cf% (+4.9), 53.0xgf% (+3.4) / PP 0:07, 0.00p60 / SH 0:37
Sergachev (19): 53gms, ES 13:56 (C+), 1.39p60, 51.9cf% (-0.7), 52.7xgf% (+0.7) / PP 1:55, 7.10p60 / SH 0:01
Polak (31): 34gms, ES 14:35 (D+), 0.73p60, 48.8f% (-0.1), 50.9xgf% (+0.4) / PP 0:00, 0.00p60 / SH 2:26
Coburn (32): 48gms, ES 14:08 (B-), 0.81p60, 50.3cf% (-1.6), 49.3xgf% (-2.9) / PP 0:02, 0.00p60 / SH 2:25
Carrick (23): 34gms, ES 14:40 (D+), 0.71p60, 51.8f% (+0.9), 53.5xgf% (+4.5) / PP 0:23, 4.43p60 / SH 0:02
Sustr (27): 31gms, ES 12:03 (B-), 0.64p60, 53.3cf% (+2.9), 52.3xgf% (+0.3) / PP 0:03, 0.00p60 / SH 0:37
Starter
Andersen (28): 47gms, 92.1sv%, +1.3dsv% / ES 92.8sv%, +1.1dsv% / PK 88.9sv%, +3.1dsv%
Vasilevsky (23): 46gms, 92.9sv%, +0.9dsv% / ES 93.4sv%, +0.8dsv% / PK 89.5sv%, +0.6dsv%
Backup
McElhinney (34): 10gms, 93.2sv%, +2.3dsv% / ES 93.9sv%, +1.7dsv% / PK 90.6sv%, +5.4dsv%
Domingue (25): 11gms, 87.7sv%, -2.8dsv% / ES 90.2sv%, -1.6dsv% / PK 76.6sv%, -7.7dsv%