Fancy stats say...

doulos

Registered User
Oct 4, 2007
7,725
1,235
How about doing a correlation of goals for/against and especially 5on5 goals for/against and seeing if that has a higher correlation to a team being a playoff team or not.

Corsi and Fenwick... (which are just a fancy way of adding in missed/blocked shots)... are yet another level of abstraction away from what actually counts... goals for and against.

Even goals for/against can be a slight abstraction... if a team wins 9 games by a goal each and then loses the 10th by 9 goals... they'll be even in goal differential yet have only 1 loss in 10 games. Obviously in that case battling hard and winning 9 games means more than the 1 blowout loss.

The point remains that goals are a better indicator of "goodness" than some fancy stat that takes into account blocked shots into someones skate and misses that end up in someones beer in the stands.

Better yet... actually watch the games and see what actually CAUSES every goal for & against... and then you'll know the strengths and weaknesses of the team much better than looking at how many shots were fired 20 feet high and wide of the opponents net.

Or better yet - use both!
 

Hemsky4PM

Registered User
Jun 25, 2003
7,316
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Billeting Ales
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Trading Stoll and Greene for Visnovsky will go down as one of the worst deals the Oilers ever made. Both should have been locked in as no 3 C and no 5-6 D respectively into their primes.

Analytics means something in the agregate, but quality of chances against is an incredibly important element. Look at the Vrbata goal tonight.
 

Oiltankjob Fail

Registered User
Feb 10, 2013
6,686
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None of those analytics give me any hope the team can or will play better. Bringing in a real experienced coach not a imposter will.
 

Lacaar

Registered User
Jan 25, 2012
4,100
1,264
Edmonton
4th line plumbers that play against us bury their chances better than our 1st overall draft picks.

Extend that to our 1st round draft picks.

How do we turn players into steaming crap? While calgary's Mason ****ing Raymond snipes pucks in off the post and in.

Our goalies give up softies.
Our super elite offensive players are getting their ***** handed to them by scrubs and bums when it comes to burying prime scoring chances.
 

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