I didn't factor in the salary portion of the rules, that was time consuming enough
Teams must expose at least 25% of the 2016-17 payroll available.
1st and 2nd year pros will be exempt and don't need protection. Pro years include AHL. (Buchnevich, Skjei, Graves will be automatically protected, McIlrath or Lindberg won't be, even if the draft was this year, since he played in the AHL for a few years)
Pending UFA (unrestricted free agents) cannot be used to count towards the 25% since they will be free agents. No rights to be acquired through the expansion draft.
Unsigned draft picks will be exempt and don't need protection. (Morrison, Kovacs)
Each team has the option to protect 3 D, 7 F and 1 G.
This URL has the actual salaries, not cap hits:
https://www.capfriendly.com/teams/rangers/salary
For example: The Rangers spend 84 million in total salary (Not cap hit, but actual salary) in 2015-16, they need to make 21 million in salary available.
Scenario 1: No-move clause is automatically exempt
Henrik Lundqvist, Marc Staal and Dan Girardi are all exempt due to their NMC. We have to make 25% available in salary.
If Scenario 1 is true, where does the NHL draw the line? Girardi has a NMC through the 2016-17 season, changing to a NTC in 2017-18. Contract years run from July 1st until June 30th like a fiscal year in business models, but the draft will be before the end of the fiscal year/season.
Scenario 1a: Girardi is considered exempt as a player under the NMC rules. He cannot count towards the 25%
Scenario 1b: Girardi is not considered exempt as a player under the NTC rules. He can count towards the 25%
Scenario 2: No-move clause is not exempt
We can make everyone available to count towards the 25%
Now, check out the actual salaries and try to get to 21m to make available for the expansion draft. Do you want to make Nash available? No, because he is worth more than the minimal compensation (if any is given) when he is picked (probably a 2nd round pick). Same goes for Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello etc. Getting to 21m to be made available is very, very tricky because AHL players have an average salary of less than 100k.
If it is scenario 1a, we are in big trouble and we most likely have to make players like Kreider, Zuccarello, Klein, McDonagh or Brassard available to get to that 25% threshold.