West
Registered User
Sorry very long…
Introduction: Long time lurker on these boards who is resurfacing. I’m re-starting an old project of mine that is attempting to generate a good draft list based solely on stats/details available during a players draft year. This project has been on the shelf for almost 4 years (kids) but I’m dusting it off and looking at it again. Currently it focuses on CHL skaters only but by the end of the summer it should include USHL players and goalies in a few months.
How serious am I about this? Pretty serious between 2007 and 2011 I had 4 meeting with NHL GM’s or head scouts (sadly no takers) and probably blew a couple hundred dollars on postage hoping to eventually land some sort of job (IT professional for 15 years now).
Right now I’m a little over half way done rebuilding/revamping the architecture of what I use but the draft is today so what the ****. I’ve generate lists from 2003 – 2014 which I will be posting as I have the time again kids/work/wife/etc. I’ve run across posts of enough people on HF who appear to trying to do similar stuff and would be honestly interested in this subject that I’m going to risk the massive roasting I’m expecting to get to make some contacts.
Full disclosure: What’s my opinion on Stats vs the Eye Test. Short story is Eye Test is invaluable and adds extra depth to any Statistical Analysis (will defend this wording shortly). Also I can’t speak for what anyone else is doing but what I do has no value when it comes to developing/training/coaching players. The Eye Test is still king here, although it does provide strong opinions about when players are ready to move up to next level. Think of it like a stock picker, just because you can spot a company that’s a good buy doesn’t mean you should be running it.
Why did I say “Eye Test is invaluable and adds extra depth to any Statistical Analysisâ€. Because what I am posting is my list averaged out with Central Scouting’s list (Currently 50/50 weighting). According to my analysis my raw list outperforms CS until it hits a 70/30 weighting and even then it’s close. What do I use for analysis? Trade secret for now anyone who’s really interested in subject can take the list and come up with their own opinion or look up the old CS list or actual draft results.
p.s. I hate lists with no details descriptions of player or why you think they should be ranked where they are. I’ll try and fill that in but honestly I’ve only seen some of these players once if that and I don’t like BS’ing so take details player details I add with a grain of salt.
Introduction: Long time lurker on these boards who is resurfacing. I’m re-starting an old project of mine that is attempting to generate a good draft list based solely on stats/details available during a players draft year. This project has been on the shelf for almost 4 years (kids) but I’m dusting it off and looking at it again. Currently it focuses on CHL skaters only but by the end of the summer it should include USHL players and goalies in a few months.
How serious am I about this? Pretty serious between 2007 and 2011 I had 4 meeting with NHL GM’s or head scouts (sadly no takers) and probably blew a couple hundred dollars on postage hoping to eventually land some sort of job (IT professional for 15 years now).
Right now I’m a little over half way done rebuilding/revamping the architecture of what I use but the draft is today so what the ****. I’ve generate lists from 2003 – 2014 which I will be posting as I have the time again kids/work/wife/etc. I’ve run across posts of enough people on HF who appear to trying to do similar stuff and would be honestly interested in this subject that I’m going to risk the massive roasting I’m expecting to get to make some contacts.
Full disclosure: What’s my opinion on Stats vs the Eye Test. Short story is Eye Test is invaluable and adds extra depth to any Statistical Analysis (will defend this wording shortly). Also I can’t speak for what anyone else is doing but what I do has no value when it comes to developing/training/coaching players. The Eye Test is still king here, although it does provide strong opinions about when players are ready to move up to next level. Think of it like a stock picker, just because you can spot a company that’s a good buy doesn’t mean you should be running it.
Why did I say “Eye Test is invaluable and adds extra depth to any Statistical Analysisâ€. Because what I am posting is my list averaged out with Central Scouting’s list (Currently 50/50 weighting). According to my analysis my raw list outperforms CS until it hits a 70/30 weighting and even then it’s close. What do I use for analysis? Trade secret for now anyone who’s really interested in subject can take the list and come up with their own opinion or look up the old CS list or actual draft results.
p.s. I hate lists with no details descriptions of player or why you think they should be ranked where they are. I’ll try and fill that in but honestly I’ve only seen some of these players once if that and I don’t like BS’ing so take details player details I add with a grain of salt.
