Looking back at recent years would you rather
Hughes vs Kakko and Dach
Dahlin vs Svech and Kotka
Hischier vs Patrick and Hesikanen
Matthews vs Laine and Dubois
McDavid vs Eichel and Strome
In the 2015 draft b/c strome has disapointed you go McDavid. In 2016 it's still matthews for now though if laine and Dubois can improve further id take then. The other drafts all look like 2 and 3 will be better
Going back further:
Ekblad vs Reinhart+Draisaitl: Easily 2 and 3
Mackinnon vs Barkov+Drouin: I'll say roughly equal
Yakupov vs Murray+Galchenyuk: Easily 2 and 3
RNH vs Landeskog+Huberdeau: Very easily 2 and 3
Hall vs Seguin+Gudbranson: Close, but 2 and 3
Tavares vs Hedman+Duchene: Easily 2 and 3
Stamkos vs Doughty+Bogosian: Close, but 2 and 3
Kane vs van Riemsdyk+Turris: Easily 1
E. Johnson vs J.Staal+Toews: Very easily 2 and 3
Crosby vs Ryan+Johnson: Very easily 1
Ovechkin vs Malkin+Barker: Roughly equal
Fleury vs Staal+Horton: Easily 2 and 3
Nash vs Lethonen+Bouwmeester: Easily 2 and 3
Kovalchuk vs Spezza+Svitov: Close, but 1
Dipietro vs Heatley+Gaborik: Very easily 2 and 3
I like Lafrenière a lot, and I think he'll be a better player than Byfield/Stutzle/Drysdale. But usually 2 and 3 is a better value proposition, in many cases by a wide margin. The team that has 2 and 3 just shouldn't do that trade.