The Flames have probably the best top pairing in the league bar none in Mark Giordano and TJ Brodie. These two players do it all - they get brutal zone starts against top-shelf opposition, and they come out of it by driving possession and scoring chances like they're Lidstrom and Doughty or something. It would be unfair how effective they were if they played on the rosters of some of these other playoff teams.
..The flames' middle pairing (or, in the case of the post-Giordano injury, the de facto top pairing) is where the first issues start to show up:
These two players are just unsatisfactory at suppressing shots against. It's not because they're individually bad players - both are decent #4-5s but as a duo you've got Wideman who's slow and has mediocre positioning, and Russell whose positioning and speed are excellent but whose size limits his effectiveness (but you can see from his fenwick against that his shotblocking makes him an NHL-calibur defender). As a pairing they lose one-on-one battles to pucks and end up spending way more time than they need to hemmed into the opponent's zone. They're good enough to not be a liability, but not good enough to be the strength people assume they are.
They had a strong year, and somehow the Flames kept on chugging even when they got upgraded to top pairing competition, but don't let that confuse you into thinking they're a top-shelf middle pairing. They can and should be upgraded if the Flames have championship aspirations. Giving Russell a partner who is better at shot suppression has shown good results, like when he's been paired with Brodie. But finding a good RHD to pair with him isn't easy or cheap. The best option this offseason is probably Cody Franson or Jeff Petry. Both players would probably be a match made in heaven with Russell, and with Gio/Brodie taking on the tough assignments, a Franson/Russell or Petry/Russell combo would excel in both shutting down opposing 2nd/3rd lines and also holding the effectiveness of the Monahan line they would likely find themselves matched with. But it's doubtful we sign a UFA at a cost that's reasonable for the Flames going forward (specifically due to the cap squeze in 2016). The Flames probably aren't looking to make any free agency splash until 2017 with uncertainties about the lack of Cap inflation.
The more realistic alternative is keeping Wideman on the middle pairing and finding a possession-driving LHD partner for him (since those are easier to find). One option the Flames already have is David Schlemko. Schlemko is a
perfect fits beside Wideman. He's a rock at shot suppression while Wideman is amazing at generating scoring chances. Can he prove he's a true top 4 Dman? Brad Treliving seems to think so as he's mentioned that Schlemko was playing Top 4 minutes for Phoenix in 2012 when they made the WCF, and Schlemko's underlying stats agree with that:
That also puts Russell against less big-and-skilled competition, which would be pretty good, as long as Russell isn't paired with Engelland who like Wideman is slow and has poor positioning. There are a lot of other players the Flames are hoping can play Top 6 minutes next year. The three leading candidates among the bunch are 27-year old rookie Jakub Nakladal, 22-year old rookie Tyler Wotherspoon, and 23-year old rookie Kenney Morrison. All these guys can be passed through waivers next year, so the Flames likely see a revolving door if or until one of the three can take a stranglehold on a roster spot. All three are such unknowns at the NHL level that any of them could be a middle-pairing Dman for all we know, or maybe none of them is even a bottom pairing Dman (though Wotherspoon looked okay paired with Schlemko in the playoffs, but that's probably because Schlemko is
awesome).
Since Schlemko is awesome, another great UFA signing for the Flames would be Andrej Sekera. He would be an even better pairing-mate than Wideman is.
So:
Good:
Mark Giordano in a top pairing
TJ Brodie in a top pairing
David Schemko on a middle pairing
Dennis Wideman and Kris Russell separated from each other
Dennis Wideman or Kris Russell on a bottom pairing
Bad:
Dennis Wideman and Kris Russell on a pairing together
Deryk Engelland on anything but a bottom pairing with the right partner
Unknown:
Jakub Nakladal
Tyler Wotherspoon
Kenney Morrison
John Ramage
2015 UFA Market
Not-yet-ready but could-be future-studs:
Brandon Hickey
Rushan Rafikov
Brett Kulak
Ryan Culkin
Overall, the most prudent approach for the Flames is to
continue to wait-and-see until 2017, when Smid and Engelland's contracts come off the books for some cap space, and more of these young guys have developed to a point where we know what the Flames have. The biggest mistake would however be to assume that the Flames' top 4 as-is is one of the best in the league. The Top 2, yes, I'd probably even say it's the best in the league. But the falloff from that top 2 is so steep that you need to keep trying different things. Hartley can't be afraid to shuffle D-pairings other than the main one and give his #7/#8 guys minutes either.