We had three goalies riding around .940 save percentage. If you think back to those games, we were outplayed pretty much every game until near the end of the season when guys started coming back from injury. The way the "pesky" Sens won was to ride all-world goaltending, stay within a goal close to the end of a game, pop one in, and get at least a point. If Bishop was in net we were good for two, because he also rode an unsustainable string of shootout wins.
To look at it a different way, we were giving up north of 40 shots a game. Say our goaltending was at about .915 or so rather than in the unsustainable .940 range. That averages out to giving up one extra goal per 40 shot game. Of course some game we would not have given up that extra goal, and others we may have given up an extra 2 or 3 goals. Imagine our drop in point total if about half of the games where we ended up tied (and we gain either 1 or 2 points, depending on the OT and shootout) was an outright loss with no points. Now imagine if about half the games we won outright by one goal ended up tied, where we may still have had 2 points but would occasionally had one instead.
We ended that year as a 7 seed with a five point cushion over 9th place. (note ROW cant be calculated because we are adjusting wins and losses.) So if we drop 5 or more points in the standings by giving up all of those extra goals we are on the outside looking in, and the Jets 2.0 would have had their first playoff berth. I think the difference between .940 and .915 is in the 7 point range, but there is no way of proving it for sure one way or another because it is hypothetical.