Are you factoring in the salary saved from buying out Stephen Weiss? They'll save $3.8 million in the first two years alone. Also, isn't there Alfredsson bonus salary that's counting this year that should also come off?
Alfie's bonus has no bearing on next year (unless he makes a miraculous comeback and re-signs), so no, thats not calculated for next season. And of course I didn't include Weiss being bought out because there hasn't been any talk of that by anyone other than fans. Not saying it couldn't happen but I wouldn't bank on it yet. What I did bank on was Weiss being a $4.9M healthy scratch though.
But just to spitball and pretend that we have a creative GM, we could actually put together a contender-calibre team under a $69M cap if we bought-out Weiss, traded Kindl for futures, and moved Quincey after purchasing one of the better UFA Dmen, should they hit the market.
Henrik Zetterberg (6) - Pavel Datsyuk (7.5) - Justin Abdelkader (1.8)
Gustav Nyquist (4.5) - Carl Soderberg (5) - Johan Franzen (3.9)
Tomas Tatar (2.75) - Riley Sheahan (.95) - Tomas Jurco (.7)
Drew Miller (1.35) - Luke Glendening (.6) - Darren Helm (2.1)
Andrej Nestrasil (.6) - Joakim Andersson (.8)
Niklas Kronwall (4.75) - Brendan Smith (3)
Danny DeKeyser (2.1) - Christian Ehrhoff (6)
Jonathan Ericsson (4.25) - Xavier Ouellet (.67)
Brian Lashoff (.7)
Jimmy Howard (5.3)
Petr Mrazek (.7)
BUYOUTS
Stephen Weiss ($1.067m)
RETAINED SALARIES (1.93% of upper limit)
Jakub Kindl ($0.480m—20.00%)
Kyle Quincey ($0.850m—20.00%)
That would leave the Wings with around $250k left. And thats with Nyquist/Smith signing what I would consider to be deals on the higher-end of things, Ehrhoff/Soderberg not taking any pay-cuts (why would they?) to play for the Wings, and retaining 20% on each of Kindl and Quincey. I don't necessarily think they would all get that much money, but its better to err on the higher side if we're projecting salary. Also, those are the RFA minimums for Jurco, Nesty, and Andy who, IMO, haven't done anything to earn raises. Its also obviously possible that we move away from Nesty and Andy, as they are looking very replaceable, and that one or both of Mantha/Pulkkinen could force our hand.