EverettMike
FIRE DON SWEENEY INTO THE SUN
Last year the Bruins averaged 1.43 points per game. 117 total points in 82 games, the best in hockey.
If the Bruins played at that pace starting right now they would finish the season at 105 points and would definitely be in the playoffs. Last year the lowest total was Dallas at 91. The two wild cards in the East were at 93.
You basically need 92 points, give or take a point. Obviously things can break better or worse, but 92 is a very good working number.
The Bruins have 49 games left and they stand at 35 points total in 33 games, an average of 1.06. That would get them to a rounded number of 87 points, which almost definitely would not qualify them for the playoffs.
(Kevin Paul Dupont calls the number of points you need to qualify for the playoffs as NHL 500. It is not enough to win and lose an equal number of games because of the frequency of 3 point games. You need to win a number of games equal or greater to the total of your wins and OT losses. In fact, you must get some "loser points" because a pure .500 result would be 41 wins and 41 losses, equaling only 82 points. You must be "lucky" enough to lose about 11 games in overtime or a shootout in that scenario. Obviously the more wins you get over or under 41 the more you will or won't need the "loser point.")
So for the Bruins to get to 92 points they need 57 points in their final 49 games, a pace of 1.163 points per game. A couple of examples of how they could do that is 29-20-0, or 24-16-9.
So, knowing the math the questions that come to mind include:
---Is this better or worse than you thought?
---How likely are the Bruins to make the playoffs if they make no moves?
---Which moves would the Bruins most need to guarantee a playoff berth?
---Is the price it would cost be worth it?
If the Bruins played at that pace starting right now they would finish the season at 105 points and would definitely be in the playoffs. Last year the lowest total was Dallas at 91. The two wild cards in the East were at 93.
You basically need 92 points, give or take a point. Obviously things can break better or worse, but 92 is a very good working number.
The Bruins have 49 games left and they stand at 35 points total in 33 games, an average of 1.06. That would get them to a rounded number of 87 points, which almost definitely would not qualify them for the playoffs.
(Kevin Paul Dupont calls the number of points you need to qualify for the playoffs as NHL 500. It is not enough to win and lose an equal number of games because of the frequency of 3 point games. You need to win a number of games equal or greater to the total of your wins and OT losses. In fact, you must get some "loser points" because a pure .500 result would be 41 wins and 41 losses, equaling only 82 points. You must be "lucky" enough to lose about 11 games in overtime or a shootout in that scenario. Obviously the more wins you get over or under 41 the more you will or won't need the "loser point.")
So for the Bruins to get to 92 points they need 57 points in their final 49 games, a pace of 1.163 points per game. A couple of examples of how they could do that is 29-20-0, or 24-16-9.
So, knowing the math the questions that come to mind include:
---Is this better or worse than you thought?
---How likely are the Bruins to make the playoffs if they make no moves?
---Which moves would the Bruins most need to guarantee a playoff berth?
---Is the price it would cost be worth it?
Last edited by a moderator:
but sadly I am serious.
