Below are links to all the arguments I have made for this series
Opening arguments:
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101187057&postcount=2 (a bit about how line matching might work in this series)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101192355&postcount=4 (into more detail in the 1v1 line matchup, some on coaching and Kitchener's 2nd line)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101194639&postcount=8 (Jackson and Denneny offensive balance)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101195205&postcount=11 (bit on how the matchups will work defensively)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101197275&postcount=12 (concern raised about Kitchener's 1st line strategy)
Regarding Walsh:
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101195025&postcount=10 (some on Walsh back checking and offensive peak)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101235131&postcount=14 (some on Walsh back checking and offensive peak)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101238511&postcount=15 (me admitting my mistake.. whoops!)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101239463&postcount=18 (more on Walsh back checking)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101240063&postcount=20 (more on Walsh back checking)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101339609&postcount=27 (more on Walsh back checking)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101341441&postcount=29 (more on Walsh back checking)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101482693&postcount=53 (looking at Walsh assists)
Regarding the discipline and PK:
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101269403&postcount=23 (looking at Dutton and Cleghorn PIMs)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101343019&postcount=31 (bunch of stuff, most important is the comparison of two teams in PIMs)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101474393&postcount=51 (Joe Nieuwendyk PKing)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101573201&postcount=111 (closer PK comparison)
Comparisons of defensemen:
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101344087&postcount=37
Line comparisons:
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101349471&postcount=43 (breaking down offense of Kitchener 2nd line)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101352707&postcount=45 (contains Dreakmur's VsX for 2nd liners + Mullen - Martinec)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101418153&postcount=47 (small concern about 1st lines)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101485177&postcount=57 (concern about Lewis)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101486815&postcount=58 (1st line offense)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101496681&postcount=65 (Nighbor vs. Denneny offense)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101497813&postcount=67 (Clarke vs. Jackson offense)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101499051&postcount=68 (Mullen vs. Mikhailov offense)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101506835&postcount=72 (look at Jackson's playoff scoring during his prime)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101515715&postcount=86 (close look at Dunderdale offense)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101517087&postcount=88 (Cleghorn vs. Martinec offense)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101558705&postcount=108 (Marleau vs. Lewis playoffs)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101605913&postcount=151 (more Nighbor vs. Denneny, looking at how their scoring stacked up against each other)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101610183&postcount=155 (Nighbor vs. Denneny assists per game)
Specifically on Nighbor:
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101493477&postcount=61 (look at Nighbor pre-NHL offense)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101553693&postcount=103 (adjusted points Vs1)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101554969&postcount=105 (looking at pre-NHL adjusted points)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101555479&postcount=107 (alternative look at 1915)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101589615&postcount=119 (alternative to Vs1, accounting for Nighbor's outscoring players during his offense leading years)
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101600901&postcount=139 (Dreakmur explaining why using a different system for Kitchener's 1st line than the rest of the team might cause issues)
Closing statements:
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101567363&postcount=110
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VI's statements:
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101259307&postcount=21
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101591257&postcount=133, my reply here:
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101591373&postcount=134
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101592309&postcount=137, my reply here:
http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showpost.php?p=101592653&postcount=138
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Geez.. have Nighbor and Clarke ever faced off against each other in the ATD? I think that would be a defensive clinic for the ages to witness!
Congrats to VI on making it to the 2nd round, this looks like it should be a great series!
To start with, I foresee two sets of matchups that should work reasonably well for us, but I'd like everyones' opinions on it.
Number one:
1v1, 2v2, 3v3, 4v4, no lineup changes
Clarke and Nighbor would have a serious handful with each other. The thing is, the Nighbor line is so heavily dependent on Nighbor to distribute the puck, that I think Clarke tangling with him will seriously impact the line's ability to generate offense. In the defensive zone, with Clarke dealing with Nighbor and Mullen pestering Seibert, it would be up to Jackson and Mikhailov, neither particularly known for distributing the puck, to make chances for themselves most of the time. Our 1st pairing of Cleghorn and Heller should be up to that task and we would look to Brimsek to make up the rest.
In the offensive zone with this matchup, I think Denneny would be a real factor for us. Obviously Clarke's playmaking would be negated substantially, but Denneny himself would have the option to either pass it to the point where Heller or Cleghorn can take a shot, or to Mullen, or he can shoot the puck himself.
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In the Brind'amour vs. Dunderdale line matchup, I really believe that Martinec is a good match against Lewis against the left wing lock, specifically because that type of defensive system seems to be more skill based and/or just outmanning the opposition on that side. If Lewis is alone, Martinec is more than skilled enough to get by him most of the time, and if he does get outmanned, again, most of the time he should be able to feather a pass to a streaking Marleau with Brind'amour heading to the front of the net. The speed of Martinec on the right side may also prove a factor in blowing past Lewis before the left wing lock can even get set up from time to time.
On the back check, again, I like Martinec vs. Lewis because Lewis seems like a guy who relied on skill more than brute force to keep the puck on his stick, so Martinec, being much more skilled, should be able to match up well against him. Brind'amour, once the play slows down, should be a good match against Dunderdale, but Dunderdale's speed admittedly may cause some issues. We would look to Keith or Reise to make up the difference there. Marleau, with his speed, should also be a solid match against Cleghorn, with, again, the defensemen making up whatever difference exists.
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In the battle of the thirds, I don't think there's much to say. Walsh, with his speed and physicality will be a great match against Nieuwendyk, and I'm not sure the rest of that line is going to do much offensively against our D and Brimsek. Should we get the puck with this line in the offensive zone, I think the Greenshirts might have a real hard time retrieving it from Pulford and Walsh.
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With the 4th lines, I think ours is a lot better offensively and quite frankly, I don't see VI's bringing much beyond physicality and defense. Backstrom's defensive ability is likely at least adequate against whatever skill Gardner possesses, and I don't see Glass or Roberts as guys who will bring too much offensively at all. Now, I do think the Greenshirts 4th line is quite good defensively and overall I don't see this matchup as being much of a factor. Backstrom will do his damage on the PP regardless.
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The other plan I was thinking of was something along these lines:
Denneny - Clarke - Oliver
Marleau - Walsh - Martinec
Pulford - Brind'amour - Mullen
Kerr - Backstrom - McKenzie
This kind of wastes Clarke's defensive ability, but I think the Brind'amour line would be a solid match against Nighbor. Walsh has proven success against Dunderdale in real life (albeit I could only find one specific game mentioning his work against Dunderdale), so the 2v2 matchup should work quite well for us as well. This would leave the Clarke line to go out and do as they please, for the most part, and I think the Greenshirts would have a real hard time dealing with them.