Raining here in South Korea. Golf is called off.
I think the bottom line with this series is the Raiders won't be able to score enough to win this series.
Actually, I think it's YOUR team that will have more trouble scoring as you rely on ONE line mostly, so if the Raiders can stop or contain that line, then that's the series.
The Raiders have more depth of scoring among forward lines AND blueline pairings!
The two best offensive players (Max and Doug Bentley) are on Halifax. The two best offensive wingers (Doug Bentley and Neely) are on Halifax. And Halifax has Ray Bourque's offensive ability, too. We won't be winning 6-1 or 7-2, but we will be able to win 3-1, 4-1 (with an empty net goal).
Your top-5 unit of your 1st line and 1st defensive pairing of Bourque will get a goal a game, and maybe two, but will your team score 3 or 4 against New York's team defense? No. The Halifax second line is underwhelming, third line centre should be your fourth because of his lack of playoff scoring, and your fourth line is defensive oriented.
It'll be much easier for NY to stop Halifax's offense in that there is one line to focus on, whereas - in THIS series, it's the Raiders who have scoring depth harder to key on. And part of that depth is on the blueline:
The transition game advantage goes to the Raiders, as after their one offensive defenseman of Bourque, the next best offensive defensemen in the series are Lapointe, Gadsby, Stevens, Huddy, Gusev - all Raiders! That's five skating blueliners with a better ability to rush and pass the puck out of the defensive zone quickly than the second best Halifax blueliner. And there is plenty more playoff experience on the Raiders blueline; Halifax after Bourque much less so.
In Halifax, the Primeau line will be out against the Lindros line, and the Risebrough line will face the Gilmour line.
Your 3rd and 4th lines against my 1st line?
That will limit the ice time of your scoring lines on home ice. Re-think that.
If VanI wants to tempt fate with the Lindros line against the Bentleys, go for it. Lindros and Ciccarelli were physical, but don't confuse that with being strong defensively. Ciccarrelli and Lindros were not good enough defensively to play a shut down role against the Bentley's. The Bentley's will enjoy that match-up.
Dino was a superpest so don't expect Doug Bentley to be happy to be prodded, bumped and badmouthed by him. Lindros will finish his checks, which means that after Max passes the puck he'll face some abuse that he won't be so happy about, and if either Bentley decides to carry the puck directly toward the net then Stevens on the top pairing will be there to check the puck carrier, which should wipe a smile or two off your Bentleys faces. lol I suspect the Bentleys will be cycling the puck up high and are greater threats at passing to Bourque at the point than they will be trying to creat a screen, surging toward the net or beating Guy or Scott. Yes, I would TEMPT FATE by placing the Raiders first line against the RCAF's. Brind'amour and Lapointe are unmentioned impact guys in playoff action on the top-5 unit of the raiders, two-way, defensively for sure.
27 goals in 86 playoff games isn't that impressive. I'm a big JP Parise fan, but he's not going to get you much more than a couple points in a seven-game series
Re-read. The point was that my third liner Parise has as good as - and even a bit better - playoff scoring pace as the Halifax second line right wing Dave Taylor, a relatively weak pick.
Another question is: Will the Halifax top line be able to stop the Raiders top line? 73 playoff goals in 141 playoff games for Dino; 24 in 53 Eric; 50 in 141 for Rod, who assists more. Lapointe and Stevens booming shots from the point, strong forwards, the ability of the Bentleys to play defensively will be a factor when the Raiders get their desired match-up.
I think VanI is underestimating the abilities of George Armstrong. If he thinks our only advantage is Tikkanen, he's sorely mistaken. Armstrong had 34 points in 36 games for the Leafs in the playoffs from 62 to 64.
Let's compare your third line rw with mine.
My team's third line right winger scored
39 points in 36 playoff games for a three-year playoff period from 1970-72, two Stanley Cup Bruins teams, 17 points in 14 games in 1970 postseason, tied for third in team goals and points behind Orr and Esposito, and not on Espo's line either. In 1972 he scored 17 points in 14 games. MacKenzie is also ranked in the top-30 all-time in career powerplay points per game played as he had the skill to crash the net, which served Boston well as the opposition's top blueliners took on Esposito, leaving the line with "Pie" to face second and third pairing defensemen. He was also quite the pest and drew a lot of penalties from pissed off and frustrated opposition. A great Shero-type player from a tough championship Bruins team. MacKenzie=Armstrong imo., all things considered, come playoff performance on the ice.
Bobby Schmautz was also very productive in the playoffs - he scored at nearly a point-per-game pace in the post-season during his six-year peak.
26 goals in 70 games over that six year period isn't great but 51 points in 70 playoff games is decent for your fourth liner but it's the
same as my fourth liner Vickers, who has 49 playoff points in 68 playoff games.
But unless you are prejudiced against the great Soviets, then the offensive ability of Hlinka and Martinec cannot be denied, and one's judgement of their ability to score a few timely goals could be a factor in assessments of success or failure in a close series. Hlinka is big and strong and Martinec is fast and shifty, both with world class skills that continually burned great Soviet defenses that keyed up specifically on them.
In summary:
- Halifax has Bourque but NY has great depth in offensive support from the blueline
- Halifax has an average playoff second line versus Gilmour and ex-Sabre wingers
- Halifax has a playoff disappearing third line centre in Primeau who won't score in the postseason and won't be a stitch better than NY's Luce defensively, and isn't as good as the Raiders' centre in the face-off circle
- Halifax has Tikkanen and this is the extent of the RCAF's secondary scoring threat as far as the Raiders are concerned
The Raiders would have a harder time against a team with more secondary scoring threat, better third line centre and more offensive defensemen beyond their number one.
Bentley-Bentley-Neely-Bourque of the RCAF first 5-man unit is what the Raiders have to key on defensively, and Brind'amour, Lapointe, Stevens, Hasek are ready for the task, with hits from Lindros and pesty play from Dino. NY doesn't have to stop the top line, just CONTAIN it to a goal or two goals per game.
Tikkanen is the Halifax playoff warrior not on the top line to be dealt with; tough and rough Foligno or pesty MacKenzie will see ice time against him, and the great Gatsby (he retired as the NHL's then all-time assist leader among defensemen) with Gilmour will provide secondary scoring for the Raiders, along with the Czech duo and the third NY pairing. Andreychuk and Vickers will help with screens, deflections and rebounds that the RCAF's Bower will find frustrating.
The Raiders entered the playoffs concerned about teams with more depth of scoring lines, great transition teams due to passing defensemen and great goaltending.
Halifax is a one-line offense team with one offensive defenseman (Bourque has only 41 goals in 214 playoff games so he ain't gonna light the lamp as much as pass). They could use a better second line, a two-way third line centre, another offensive-minded d-man for the second pairing and an entirely new second powerplay unit (Halifax has arguably the weakest second pp unit in the entire draft, from centre to defensemen).
As such, this is not at all an insurmountable series. It'll all depend on how people conceptualize the factors.
It's possible that the three stars might have at least one player who isn't among the early round picks: Tikkanen or Gilmour or Hlinka, Martinec.