I've said before that Whitby has one of the best teams in the draft. Still, the Vees have several advantages that should allow us to prevail in a close series.
Size. Whitby's two scoring lines are composed of small, non-confrontational players. The top line has an average size of 5'10", 175 lbs and the second line has an average size of 5'10', 173 lbs. None of those players (aside from Labine) were particularly tough or strong. The Vees' strategy is to use the Seiling/Bodger pair against Whitby's top line and the Odelien/Hannan duo against Whitby's second scoring line. These four defensemen are all large, tough, and steady defensively. Whitby's small forwards will take a considerable beating every time they're on the ice; their ability to withstand a seven-game series is questionable.
Actually when you compare the size of the top 2 lines on each team, there is not that much difference in size, Penicton's 1st line averages 177 lbs & their second comes in at 181. Also if you adjust for era, they would be very close. As far as defense, both Barkley & Fontinato were big for their time. in fact, if you adjust for era the 2 defense line ups probably aren't that different in size. As far as taking a beating, Pens first line will disappear in a hard hitting series.
Two-way forwards. Whitby has a solid group of two-way forwards (especially Schmautz and Maloney) but the Vees have the advantage here. Pierre Mondou was an excellent backchecker and a good penalty killer, but still broke the 30-goal mark three times. Tim Young a fast skater, a strong physical player, and a great penalty killer; he averaged 70 pts per 82 games with a career-high of 95. Stu Barnes was the top defensive forward on Hasek's Sabres and actually killed more penalties than Mike Peca. The Vees' fourth line also features Mike Krushelnyski (a fast, skilled PKer on the Oilers' dynasty) and Gregg Sheppard (the top PKer on Orr's Bruins, and a constant threat to score a short-handed goal). Despite their admittedly very talented forwards, it will be hard for Whitby to score given the size and toughness of our defenseman, and the strong defensive abilities from our bottom two lines.
Pens have a few good scorers & a few good checkers but Whitby's forwards are almost all strong 2 way players. Whitby will roll 4 lines that can both score & check. Pens may have big tough defensmen but the speed & skill of the Whitby forwards will have them running around in their own end.
Top-end scoring. Camille Henry is arguably the most dominant goal-scorer in the draft who is proven at the NHL level. He finished in the top ten in goal-scoring four times, and was runner up only to Hart-winning Gordie Howe in his best year (1963). During Henry's best years, only Geoffrion, Beliveau, Hull, Moore and Howe scored more GPG. Although Henry is small and non-physical, he will be protected by two larger, strong linemates. Alex Kovalev, another significant scoring threat, is probably more purely talented than any player in the minor league draft (in terms of shooting, stickhandling and skating). Though he's currently a shadow of his former self, Kovalev in his prime was strong, tough to seperate from the pick, and an expert at drawing penalties. His playoff scoring rate (0.84 ppg) is one of the best among modern players. Finally, Pit Martin was a strong two-way centre on the 1970s Blackhawks who posted three straight 75+ pt seasons. Martin's career-high 61 assists allowed Jim Pappin to achieve a career-high 41 goals very late in his career and his 16 pts in 15 playoff games that spring helped the Hawks make it to the Cup finals. Whitby does have a great goalie but it will be difficult for them to turn aside these three dominant scorers playing on two different lines.
Henry was a good goal scorer who was very good in close but he was a very one-dimension player & his playoff record is pretty shabby. When the going got tough, The Eel wasn't there. If Kovalev & Gradin are supposed to protect him, henry is in real big trouble. As far as Kovalev, he is very skilled & can be dominant but one never knows if he will show up with his A game.
As I said before, I think the forwards are fairly close but Whitby has a more balanced attack with few weaknesses.
Whitby does have a few advantages that we'll need to mitigate.
Goaltending. Gerry McNeil is the top goalie in the draft. However, Kelly Hrudey is in the top three and the gap between the two is small. The two advantages the Vees need to exploit are Hrudey's consistency and McNeil's tendency to give up a bad goal at crucial times.
Examples? If you are referring to the Barilko goal, that was one helluva shot.
McNeil was excellent as a starter, but he only held that position for 4 years. Hrudey was a regular NHLer for 12 seasons (plus a Canada Cup appearance). The Vees will be able to rely on Hrudey's consistent, steady level of performance. Furthermore, McNeil gave up two overtime, Cup-winning goals ('51 to Barilko and '54 to Leswick). He retired due to frustration and teammates losing confidence in him. A few bad goals could make McNeil lose focus; Hrudey's consistency and experience should allow him to remain strong even if he does get off to a bad start.
I will take 4 years as a starte in the 6 team NHL (without a back up)over 12 years in the 20+ team NHL (with 2 or more goalies sharing the work load). BTW, McNeil lost his job to Plante who many rate as the best of all time.
Transition game. Whitby's forwards are fast and the team has two great offensive blueliners. However, the Vees match-up well against teams with an aggressive transition game; we have at least one top defensive blueliner on each pair and many fast, two-way forwards. Our conservative defensemen and steady forwards should allow us to neutralize any threats coming from a Whitby rush.
I think this is where Whitby will really dominate. Whitby actually has 4 excellent offensive blueliners in Harmon, Barkley, Shmyr & Patrick. Combined with their speedy back-checking forwards they will be coming at Penicton in waves.
This is a close series but I think the Vees' advantages will allow us to prevail in 6 or 7 games.