Sorry about the essay, I was bored yesterday and went a little overboard.
Changes to our lineup:
First and foremost, we wanted to insert Ted Harris in on the defense. We now have three pairings with enough toughness to handle Edmonton’s tough forward corps. Harris is also an excellent fighter, and will be used in an enforcer role. We lose quite a bit of offense compared to Pitre, but that is compensated by improved defense and toughness.
Second, Pitre moves back up to the first line to add some size on the right side.
Taylor moves over to the LW on that line and Bentley moves down to play third line center (he was a second-team All Star at center and was known as a fierce backchecker).
Strategies:
Our primary MO will be getting Marcotte-Risebrough-O'Reilly out every time the Lindsay-Stewart-Broadbent line is on the ice. That line has the physical toughness and defensive ability to at least hold that line in check. We also want Stanley-Seibert on the ice against them as much as possible as well, though we also feel comfortable with the other two pairs matching up against them.
I believe that changing my lineup in this fashion creates some rather large matchup problems for the Oilers. Whichever unit they decide to use the Gainey line against will be in tough to score but we feel that we can take advantage of the other matchups. While both teams have solid two way play on all four lines, we feel we have more scoring punch throughout the team than Edmonton.
Our advantages:
Coaching: Day versus Cherry is a mismatch in our favour. Day is a top-5 coach of all time while Cherry is middle of the pack. He might be a good coach for the team Murphy has assembled, but he's going to be outcoached this series.
Goaltending: This may be our biggest advantage. Vachon/Giacomin are a solid duo, but they pale in comparison to Hall. Anyone that gets through our defensive system and players will have to then beat hall.
Scoring Depth: Edmonton has one of the best shutdown units in the draft with Gainey-Peca-Sutter-Stevens-Stewart. But after that, we feel we have the depth to take advantage of Edmonton's bottom two defensive pairings and goaltending. With Bentley moving down to the third line, after our first line, we have two lines that could be considered to be our second line. While Stevens was a very good offensive defenseman in the early part of his career, we feel we have more scoring depth through our defense, even with Harris inserted into the lineup. Seibert finished top-5 in defensive scoring 8 times, Stanley 6 times and Mantha 3 times, while Siebert was a very good offensive forward. If nothing else, our defense should be more than capable of getting the pucks to our forwards in transistion.
Depth: In a series with a tough team like Edmonton, injuries may be inevitable (especially with Stevens/Stewart roaming the ice). We feel that we have the depth to compensate for that, especially with the versatility we have with our players and their two-way ability. Goyette and Hossa are capable of stepping in any where between the 2nd and 4th line, while we feel comfortable moving Oates or Conacher to the top line if need be.
Freshness: Edmonton has now played two tough 6 game series against Vancouver and Trail, while we will be relatively fresh with only one series under our belts. We should have gotten the rust out with the last series and should be able to take advantage of the Oilers' tiredness.
Our Obstacles:
Edmonton’s Toughness: By far the biggest advantage Edmonton has over us (up front at least). Our defense will be pounded on the forecheck and our forwards will have little room to create out there. Hopefully our speed will be able to take advantage of a slower Edmonton team, both in creating offense and avoiding their physical play. Second, we feel we have the depth to cover injuries that may arise from Edmonton’s physical play, as well as to replace players who wilt under the pressure. For example, if Bentley decides he won’t pay the price in high traffic areas, we have no problem sitting him in the pressbox and replacing him with Goyette. The versatility of our forwards makes shuffling the lineup very easy. We will also need the tougher guys on our team, like Cleghorn, Pitre and Conacher, to create room for our other players.
Edmonton’s Strong Collection of Two Way forwards: We built our third line with enough offensive ability to counter attack any weaknesses that other team’s top lines may have defensively. Unfortunately, with O’Reilly’s line getting the matchup with Stewart’s line, our third line against Edmonton’s second line doesn’t give us that advantage, as they have some solid two way players on there. We feel our biggest opportunity will be taking advantage of Edmonton’s fourth line. While physical with some offensive ability, they don't have the same two way play the other three lines do, and we feel that is our best opportunity to capitalize.
Line Matching: This series will rely on line matching for us. The chance we’d face an offensive line like the Lindsay line was the reason the Marcotte line was built. While at home this will be relatively easy, we will need to ensure that we get that matchup as much as possible on the road. Our other checking line, while good defensively, will have trouble matching that line physically. With home ice advantage this becomes less of an issue, but it is a concern nevertheless.