- Jun 10, 2014
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This is my concern about signing Buff (or even Andrew) long term. Chara is a fitness freak and was such a dominant player in his 30's but when the decline comes it seems to be steep. Mother age is not kind. It seems like the years after a guy hits 35 are REALLY risky.
Chara is probably the best comparable we have for Buff, not perfect but the best we have.
Chara was highly effective till he was 36. Fell sharply at 37 and at 38 may be finished but with still 3 years on his contract.
A six year extension for Buff would take him to 37. If he parallels Chara then it would only be that last year where he could not earn his salary. I think that would be tolerable. A 5 year deal would be better but at 6 I am not going to lose sleep over the concern that Buff will age out long before his contract does.
I would start to worry if Buff's new found commitment to fitness disappeared as soon as he signed but he has maintained it for 2 years now. At some point you have to believe that it is real. As long as he keeps his weight under control I think he can continue to play at a high level for quite a while.