Speculation: Acq/ Rost. Bldg./ Cap Part XX

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Zoidberg Jesus

Trotzkyist
Oct 25, 2011
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I think a lot of people are underestimating what Johansson is going to get as an RFA.

Giroux signed a 3-year $3.75M extension after his first two years in the NHL. His numbers were almost identical to Johansson's first two, with the exception he played fewer games his rookie year (but Johansson will have another ~50pt pace year on his resume thanks to this season).

Lucic had put up notably worse numbers than Johansson on his ELC, and still got paid a fat 4x$4M contract. Granted, he obviously brings a whole different skill set to the table, but numbers are typically what gets you paid (especially when you don't have the leverage of negotiating with other teams).

Filpulla, the best comparable sytlistically amogn this group, secured a 5 year, $3M cap hit deal after only having 53 points over his first two seasons in the league.

Even the low end of the spectrum is above $2M. David Perron's second contract was $2.15M for two years.

The people predicting cap hits of $2M and less are out to lunch.

Out to lunch is a little harsh. I don't think 2M in out of the question if it's a two year deal. Perron got 2.15M after scoring 124 points in 225 games, 0.55 ppg. Sam Gagner got 2.275M after scoring 131 points in 223 games, 0.59 ppg. Both those guys got 3.9M per ppg. Johansson currently has 94 points in 181 games, 0.52 ppg. Following that same math he'd be getting 2.025M, and that's if you don't count his injuries against him, or the fact that his production comes with much better linemates than Perron and Gagner had.

Of course if McPhee wants to go for a 4 or 5 year deal the numbers are going to be a lot higher, but given our cap situation next year that doesn't seem like a smart move.
 
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