Hoping to do a couple reviews as well, hopefully we get a review from everyone here as well as every team reviewed.
I have the first completed roster so here they are the 2014 Denver Spurs:
Tony Mckegney-Robbie Ftorek-Mac Colville
Jimmy Gardner-Normie Himes-Serge Bernier
Doug Smail-Daymond Langkow-Bill Collins
Butch Keeling-Art Jackson-Mark Napier
Dave Maloney-Doug Crossman
Stew Evans-Christian Ehroff
Eric Weinrich-Gord Murphy
Marty Turco
Vladimir Myshkin
Head Coach: Jimmy Skinner
Spares: Bryan Smolinski (C), Al dewsbury (D), Carl Liscombe (LW), Moe Mantha (D)
Special Teams:
PP 1: Tony Mckegney-Robbie Ftorek-Serge Bernier-Doug Crossman-Christian Ehroff
PP 2: Butch Keeling-Normie Himes-Mark Napier-Dave Maloney-Gord Murphy
PK1: Doug Smail-Daymond Langkow-Stew Evans-Eric Weinrich
PK 2: Bill Collins-Robbie Ftorek-Dave Maloney-Gord Murphy
Leadership: Robbie Ftorek (Captain), Stew Evans (Alternate), Gord Murphy (Alternate)
Unless I'm missing someone you seem to have the two best WHA forwards in the draft, and Ftorek is clearly the best. I had him around the 4th best center in the draft so he's a good choice here. Also impressive about him is that he did most of his damage without any strong linemates. I've never scoured my scouting report books about him, but looking at his PIMs did he have some grit to his game as well?
I can't be as complementary about his wings. I'd have liked to see a legitimate sniper on his wing. McKegney and Colville seem similar types for a top six role. Hardworkers with some defensive game, but not the greatest scorers. McKegney's six year weighted VsX score is 51.5 which is a weak spot for a top line role (20 wingers have scores about 59.5). Colville is at 58.5 which is passable with his skillset, but not what you want for your best top line wing.
Himes seems like a solid second line center who put up stats without strong teammates like Ftorek. I think Bernier is the second best WHA forward in the draft, and I think he's your best scoring winger. I think he's good enough to play on a top line, so he's great on a second line. Gardner wasn't a very strong scorer during his career, but he spent a number of years on the Wanderers and brings the grit every line needs so I think he fits here.
I didn't have Langkow on my radar but probably should have. He was good defensively, gritty, and a solid scorer with good ES numbers which are important. Smail is a solid third liner, good defensively and very speedy. He gets a knock for scoring his points next to Hawerchuk (which is fair and mentioned for many players in this draft), but I didn't realize he basically got no power play time. He was on the ice for 4% of his teams' power play goals in his career, so he came by almost every single point at even-strength (even Bill Collins can boast 8%). Collins won't help the two-way ability of this line, but he'll be a reliable defensive player and PK stud.
Jackson is probably the most talented 4th line center in the draft and seemed like the best center available when you picked him. He had some defensive ability so he can hang on a 4th line. Keeling is a tough goal-scorer who can crash and bang on the fourth line. I'm not sure what Napier brings though, he seemed like a goal-scorer by trade with little else. Am I wrong there?
Maloney and Crossman complement each other nicely. Maloney was regularly called his team's best defenseman and played a strong physical game. I think he's a good #1. Crossman was a puckmover who logged ice time on strong teams, but scouting reports had mixed reports on his defensive game. He's suited for a top pair despite this though as he was a second pair guy during the Flyers two finals losses.
I like Stew Evans a lot, I think he's a great second pair guy. Stay-at-home and physical, but earned some all-star votes and got some praise in the press to support his place as a very good defenseman in his day. Ehrhoff is probably underrated. Good defensively and a great shot for the powerplay. Logged 20+ minutes on good Sharks teams and a Vancouver team that made the finals where he played on the top pair with Hamhuis injured for the Boston series.
Gord Murphy is a guy I had last year as well and like a lot, I had him on my top pair last year and think he's a very strong #5. Weinrich played forever and was a solid defensive-minded guy. I think he's also a good player for a bottom pair.
I have Marty Turco as the third best goalie in the draft, not elite but a very good choice. Three times top-5 in the Vezina is hard to come by at this point. He may not have Hitchcock on the bench, but you have a strong defense to support him.
The lack of scoring punch on your top six wings hurt your power play. I like Ftorek and Bernier, but I don't see a great option to pair with them. McKegney played and scored less on the powerplay than Langkow did. Crossman and Ehrhoff are solid top unit guys. Maloney isn't a great PP option, but that's par for the course this far down unless you want to compromise your defense at even-strength which you did not do.
I like your pk defensemen. I'd try to get Collins on your top PK unit as well, Smail is very good, but killing penalties is what Collins does best. Does Ftorek have the resume to kill penalties? It seems he did a bit of it in the NHL (25% of his teams' kills).
Pittsburgh Pirates
Coach: Frank Boucher
Chriz Kunitz - Slava Bykov (A) - Andrei Khomutov
Scott Hartnell - Ivan Boldirev - Earl Robinson
Dutch Hiller - Cully Dahlstrom - Joe Pavelski
Jay Pandolfo - Laurie Boschman (A) - Pat Boutette
Mark Hardy - Brad Marsh (A)
Arnie Brown - Paul Martin
Pekka Marjamaki - Barney Holden
Gerry McNeil
Cesaire Maniago
Spares:
Radek Bonk, C
Ran McDonald, RW
Jack Campbell, D
Sylvain Lefebvre, D
Coaching Staff - Terry Crisp, Clare Drake
Captain - Schock
Alternates - Marshall, McEachern
Shawn McEachern (A) --- Robert Lang --- Ray Sheppard
Rick Dudley --- Jozef Stumpel --- Mike Bullard
Jochen Hecht --- Ron Schock (C) --- Leroy Goldsworthy
Armand Mondou --- Manny Malhotra --- Mike Grier
Ex : Sergei Mozyakin (LW), Skinner Poulin (C), Evgeny Paladiev(D)
Bert Marshall (A) --- Doug Lidster
Vladmir Malakhov --- Boris Mironov
Tom Kurvers --- Hugh Bolton
"Sugar" Jim Henry
Carey Price
Ex : Sergei Mozyakin (LW), Skinner Poulin (C), Evgeny Paladiev (D)
Power Play
McEachern --- Lang --- Sheppard
Malakhov --- Mironov
Dudley --- Stumpel --- Bullard
Kurvers --- Lidster
Penalty Kill
Hecht --- Malhotra
Marshall --- Bolton
McEachern --- Grier
Malakhov --- Lidster
Lang is an elite scorer at this level, he has the highest six year weighted VsX scores of anyone in the draft. He's a great piece to build your team around. Sheppard I have as a below average first liner, but he's a standard scoring line guy at this level and will make use of Lang's playmaking ability. Scouting reports mentioned he wasn't much of a defensive player or effective along the boards so he'll need some help in those areas. McEachern has solid offense for a top six glue guy and will work hard for his line, but scouting reports mention he wasn't that effective along the boards because of his size. I see this is a good line with Lang being a serious threat at this level, but they seem a little light on intangibles.
I like Stumpel a lot as a second line center at this level, he could pass on a top line. Bullard was a very good scorer and his goalscoring will fit Stumpel well. I'd like to know how much right wing he played though, I couldn't find any references to it in my scouting report books. If he's a legitimate winger he's one of the best in the draft on the second line. I have a tough time with Dudley because he basically had four seasons of note, three coming in the WHA. Not questioning his toughness or work along the boards, but his resume is a little light for a scoring role. Depending on how you look at Bullard at wing, I think this line has two very good scorers but Dudley is a question mark for me.
Your third line may be my favorite. Schock and Hecht are both two-way guys that did their damage at even-strength. Neither are dynamic, but they're what you want for a third line. Goldsworthy seems to fit the same profile, nothing spectacular but hard-working, consistent, and defensively responsible. I think this is a strong line.
Good 4th line full of role players. They all add elements every team needs, and they're good enough players to provide them at this level.
Excellent top pair, one of the best in the draft. I think both guys could work as #1s at this level and their styles fit one another very well. I can't find anything bad to say really.
Not as sold on your second pair. Both are okay on the second pair, but I don't think their styles fit together well. Scouting reports praise Mironov's defensive game, but I would like to see someone more conservative and physical next to the inconsistent Malakhov.
Two polarizing guys for your bottom pair, but I can see the value in each. Bolton received consideration in all-star voting and made an all-star game as a defensive defenseman. Kurvers is an elite PPQB at this level but needs sheltering at even-strength. I'm not sure you needed him with Malakhov and Mironov already on board.
I like your goalie tandem a lot, both are about average-above average starters for me. Honestly I think Price is a small step above Henry at this point and would have be happy to have him as my starter at this level.
You have very strong PP pointmen, I'd swap Kurvers and Mironov though to get Kurvers time on the top unit. You have strong scoring forwards as well led by your centers, but the net front guys are weaker.
Strong penalty-killing forwards. I'd look to find room for Schock as he killed the second highest % of penalties on your team after Grier. Marshall is great on the PK and the rest of your defense is solid. Malakhov killed around 40% of his teams' penalties so he's the best option over Mironov and Kurvers.
Edinburgh Capitals
Alain Vigneault, Coach
John Sorrell - Pierre Larouche - Scott Young
Andrew Brunette - Olli Jokinen - Mikael Renberg
Dave Reid - Peter Zezel - Anders Kallur
Fredrik Modin - Robert Reichel - Mark Hunter
Eric Daze, Johan Franzen
Bob Rouse - Risto Siltanen
Marcus Ragnarsson - Derek Morris
Kyle McLaren - Tobias Enström
Philippe Boucher
Felix Potvin
Jon Casey
PP1. John Sorrell - Pierre Larouche - Scott Young Derek Morris - Risto Siltanen
PP2. Andrew Brunette - Olli Jokinen - Mikael Renberg Kyle McLaren - Tobias Enström
PK1. Peter Zezel - Anders Kallur Bob Rouse - Marcus Ragnarsson
PK2. Dave Reid - Fredrik Modin McLaren - Derek Morris
Lang is an elite scorer at this level, he has the highest six year weighted VsX scores of anyone in the draft.
He's a great piece to build your team around. Sheppard I have as a below average first liner, but he's a standard scoring line guy at this level and will make use of Lang's playmaking ability. Scouting reports mentioned he wasn't much of a defensive player or effective along the boards so he'll need some help in those areas. McEachern has solid offense for a top six glue guy and will work hard for his line, but scouting reports mention he wasn't that effective along the boards because of his size. I see this is a good line with Lang being a serious threat at this level, but they seem a little light on intangibles.
I like Stumpel a lot as a second line center at this level, he could pass on a top line. Bullard was a very good scorer and his goalscoring will fit Stumpel well. I'd like to know how much right wing he played though, I couldn't find any references to it in my scouting report books. If he's a legitimate winger he's one of the best in the draft on the second line. I have a tough time with Dudley because he basically had four seasons of note, three coming in the WHA. Not questioning his toughness or work along the boards, but his resume is a little light for a scoring role. Depending on how you look at Bullard at wing, I think this line has two very good scorers but Dudley is a question mark for me.
Your third line may be my favorite. Schock and Hecht are both two-way guys that did their damage at even-strength. Neither are dynamic, but they're what you want for a third line. Goldsworthy seems to fit the same profile, nothing spectacular but hard-working, consistent, and defensively responsible. I think this is a strong line.
Good 4th line full of role players. They all add elements every team needs, and they're good enough players to provide them at this level.
Excellent top pair, one of the best in the draft. I think both guys could work as #1s at this level and their styles fit one another very well. I can't find anything bad to say really.
Not as sold on your second pair. Both are okay on the second pair, but I don't think their styles fit together well. Scouting reports praise Mironov's defensive game, but I would like to see someone more conservative and physical next to the inconsistent Malakhov.
Two polarizing guys for your bottom pair, but I can see the value in each. Bolton received consideration in all-star voting and made an all-star game as a defensive defenseman. Kurvers is an elite PPQB at this level but needs sheltering at even-strength. I'm not sure you needed him with Malakhov and Mironov already on board.
I like your goalie tandem a lot, both are about average-above average starters for me. Honestly I think Price is a small step above Henry at this point and would have be happy to have him as my starter at this level.
You have very strong PP pointmen, I'd swap Kurvers and Mironov though to get Kurvers time on the top unit. You have strong scoring forwards as well led by your centers, but the net front guys are weaker.
Strong penalty-killing forwards. I'd look to find room for Schock as he killed the second highest % of penalties on your team after Grier. Marshall is great on the PK and the rest of your defense is solid. Malakhov killed around 40% of his teams' penalties so he's the best option over Mironov and Kurvers.
Larouche is a solid top line center here. His six year VsX score puts him near the top of the draft. I like Sorrell even more, great VsX scores and one of the best scoring wingers in the draft. One knock of this combo though, I'd like to see a little more playmaking for Larouche. Young fits the scoring line glue guy profile here. His offense is solid, and he was praised for his defensive game unlike a lot of those guys with similar offense. Scouting reports mention he wasn't overly physical, but he was still effective along the boards. This is a very good top line.
Jokinen was great value when you picked him, and his six year VsX is a very close second to Lang for tops in the draft. Value aside, he's a great second liner in the draft. Brunette is quietly an elite point producer in the AAA if you look at his VsX scores. His six year score is nearly identical to Sorrell and you see how much I like him. I think about the point you made about Lefebvre, are we underrating Brunette because we're familiar with him? Also bonus, Brunette's playmaking should fit Jokinen who liked to shoot the puck. Renberg brings all the skills you want in a glue guy, and even with the injuries his six best VsX scores make him a solid choice for a scoring line. Definitely one of the best second lines in the draft for me.
Zezel is an okay third liner, but he's not a guy pushing the Plekanec-level of third liners in the draft. The wingers don't wow me. Reid is a PK ace and solid defensively, but not much of a two-way player. I've never gotten to the point of considering drafting Kallur so maybe I'm too hard on him. I realize he was a valuable role player for a dynasty, but again not much of a scorer and such a short career. Outside of the NHL, you have a great year in the SHL winning the MVP. But little else, unless eliteprospects is lying to me, as he represented Sweden in the 1981 Canada Cup and no other time. He doesn't break out until 26, and retires at 32, do you know why he retired? Zezel is okay in his role, but the other two feel more like PK specialists you'd want down a line.
So when I called Art Jackson probably the most talented 4th line center, I didn't realize Reichel was on a fourth line. He compares to top six centers in this draft so he's really slumming it here. I realize he had something of a defensive game, but he's not a prototypical fourth liner. Modin fits here, but I never know how good he is defensively. He did most of his scoring at ES which is nice. Hunter is a solid fourth liner, he was inconsistent but physical and solid defensively when he was on.
Rouse is unspectacular as a #1. He was done as a top pair guy at ES by the early 90s, and more of a depth guy by the time he started winning Cups in Detroit. Siltanen feels a little overmatched on a top pair. TOI estimates said he was never in the top 2 of his teams' ES ice time. Scouting reports talk about his offensive acumen and defensive vulnerabilities. He seems like the type of guy you draft for the power play and try to shelter at ES at this level.
I think Morris is your best defender. He played a lot of ice time and brought a solid yet unspectacular game that you want in a top 4 role. I think he's a good player in his role. Ragnarsson seems more of the same, good minutes and a defensive-minded game. This is a solid second pair.
McLaren is alright, solid minutes on playoff teams in his career. Good defensively and physical. I like Enstrom more than Siltanen. Short career, but logged big minutes his whole career. The tradeoff is he's never been on a playoff team.
Potvin seems like an average goalie at this level. 3x Top 10 in save %, one big year of award consideration going 3rd in AST voting and 4th in Vezina voting.
Great forwards on your power play units, you have serious firepower if Brunette and Jokinen are on your second unit. The pointmen aren't as strong. Siltanen and Enstrom are very strong, but there's a big drop to your 4th guy. Morris is a solid guy at this level, do you have him on the top unit so you have a natural PPQB on each unit? I'd throw Ragnarsson over McLaren, it's going to be ugly either way, but he had slightly more PP points in his career.
Kallur and Reid are strong PKers at this level. Zezel is solid, but Modin is a weaker point killing only 16% of his teams' penalties in his career. Good defensemen, no guy that looks below average here.
In Vigneault, you have arguably the best coach in the draft. He should make good use of your top six and very defensively oriented third line.
Regina Capitals
coach: Brian Sutter
Morris Lukowich (A) - Alexei Zhamnov - Alex Golikov
Don Smith - Alexander Kozhevnikov - Billy Harris
Dave Hunter - Tomas Plekanec - Ric Seiling
Curt Fraser - Kelly Kisio (C) - Martin Lapointe
Alex Smith (A) - Keith Brown
Harold Snepsts - Jim McKenny
Sheldon Souray - Rick Smith
Viktor Konovalenko
Marc-Andre Fleury
spares:
Lucien DeBlois (F)
James Stewart (D)
Fred Whitcroft (F)
Murray Henderson (D)
PP1 - D.Smith - Kozhevnikov - Zhamnov- Mckenny - Souray
PP2 - Lukowich - Kisio - Golikov - A.Smith - Brown
PK1 - Plekanec - Seiling - A.Smith - Snepsts
PK2 - Harris - Hunter - R.Smith - Brown
PK3 - Kisio - Zhamnov - Snepsts - Souray
1916 or earlier: D.Smith, Stewart, Whitcroft
1917-1942: A.Smith, Henderson
1943-1965: McKenny, Konovalenko
1966-1979: Lukowich, Golikov, Kozhevnikov, Harris, Seiling, R.Smith, Snepsts, Fraser, DeBlois
1980-1994: Zhamnov, Kisio, Brown, Hunter, Sutter, Lapointe
1995-2004: Souray, Fleury
in 2014: Plekanec, fleury
Morris Lukowich (A) - Alexei Zhamnov - Alex Golikov
Don Smith - Alexander Kozhevnikov - Billy Harris
Dave Hunter - Tomas Plekanec - Ric Seiling
Curt Fraser - Kelly Kisio (C) - Martin Lapointe
Alex Smith (A) - Keith Brown
Harold Snepsts - Jim McKenny
Sheldon Souray - Rick Smith
Viktor Konovalenko
Marc-Andre Fleury
PP1 - D.Smith - Kozhevnikov - Zhamnov- Mckenny - Souray
PP2 - Lukowich - Kisio - Golikov - A.Smith - Brown
PK1 - Plekanec - Seiling - A.Smith - Snepsts
PK2 - Harris - Hunter - R.Smith - Brown
PK3 - Kisio - Zhamnov - Snepsts - Souray
Brian Sutter
still, it feels wrong to say that. Was there ever a time that Lang wowed anyone? I can't really explain it, but I am never really that interested in drafting Lang, even when his numbers start to look among the best. I can't quite put my finger on why. Was it linemates, maybe? Was he less of a catalyst than other comparable guys?
(by the way, when there are eight post-expansion, mostly one-dimensional scoring centers available with 6-year vsx scores so close - Larouche, Lang, Nedved, Zhamnov, Stumpel, Olczyk, Jokinen, Boldirev - I don't know if it's really accurate to say one has a "better" score than the others. They're all so close that a couple poorly chosen benchmarks could be the only thing making the top guy better than the bottom. I would call them all virtual equals to start, and look at other reasons to put guys ahead - playoffs, best seasons beyond top-6, intangibles, linemate factors, etc)
so while we're on this topic, let's look at those 8 guys and see if any stand out as being helped a lot more or a lot less than linemates by the others. These are their prime (8-11 consecutive season) help ratings, based on the same work I've been doing in the HOH wingers project using Matnor's numbers:
Jokinen 1.61
Boldirev 1.47
Larouche 1.37
Zhamnov 1.36
Nedved 1.35
Stumpel 1.23
Lang 1.21
Olczyk 1.18
It does appear Lang received more help scoring his points than most of these other guys, to a degree that is statistically noteworthy.
one more way to sort of "break the tie" would be to look at their next best seasons after their best 6.
total vsx scores (my sheet may have a couple different numbers but should be nearly the same) in seasons 7-10
Zhamnov 212
Jokinen 202
Boldirev 201
Larouche 188
Olczyk 188
Stumpel 188
Nedved 180
Lang 173
based on all this, I'd say Lang is dining out a bit on his ever-so-slightly higher 6-year VsX score. He's pretty good, I mean, almost as good as most of these guys, but if I had a to rank them, all things considered, he'd probably be only ahead of Olczyk.
Once again you build a competitive team. Seventies, seriously... How much time do u put into this?
Speedy first line with all the components with Lukowich being the star meaning hes the guy on the line that can do everything well and brings more dimensions to the game than the others. Two wingers known for their two-way play. I have to be honest. Ive never been a fan of Zhamnov but his offense surely makes him an effective 1st line center in this.
Honest here. I had to read the bios. Seems like a balanced line. Billy Harris I already knew much about and will be the glue guy. Smith seems to be a Byng trophy kinda player that scores goals but Kozhevnikov also looks like a scorer. This line doesnt look as good as your first line when it comes to chemistry.
Plekanec is awesome at this level imo. Paired with a dirty checker in hunter who can defend your center if things heat up and Seiling feels like Kallur. Are they comparable? Good lchecking line that can score some goals.
The defense first guy with the irresponsible offense first guy. Balanced but perhaps McKenny should be even more sheltered?
Konovalenko was at the top of my list. Great starter at this level. Im a little iffy when it comes to Fleury but I think he is a decent back-up in this.
Not a big fan of his. Seems like he wears out his welcome fast. BUT he is a jack adams winner and have certainly done a good job with teams. Will be well liked by your more physical north american players. If things go wrong he is quick to blame soft euros.
I was planning on showing my work at some point so people understood where I'm coming from in these comments about top six guys, and this is a good opportunity to do so. I realize this will eventually boil down to differences in percentage systems so bear with me.
I have six year weighted scores, and I agree longevity is a great factor to consider with everyone close so I'll be posting number of seasons with a VsX score >= 50. (I realize it's binary and not as effective as what you did, but it's a quick look)
I don't see Olczyk or Boldirev above Lang, they're both second liners for me.Player|6 year weighted score|# of scores above 50
Robert Lang|72.1|7
Olli Jokinen|71.4|8
Petr Nedved|69.6|7
Pierre Larouche|69.4|7
Alexei Zhamnov|68.8|9
Jozef Stumpel|66.3|6
Ivan Boldirev|63.3|8
Eddie Olczyk|61.2|7
I can't see Stumpel above Lang either, not much difference in years 7-10, and almost identical team help. Aside from Zhamnov's defensive game, none of the other top five bring significant intangibles to leap Lang, right? There's always the flipside of low team help too, would they have earned the same ice time on a better team like Lang did?
Playoff games in career
Lang - 91
Nedved - 71
Larouche - 64
Zhamnov - 35
Jokinen - 6
I still think Lang is an elite offensive talent at this level, and would take him 2nd-3rd in this group.