Eller is a streaky player, he's never going to put up big points. His offensive skills and hockey IQ are just not good enough. You can't just take the times he streaks and project that into a hall of fame career, then pretend its everyone's fault but his own when he goes into one of his frequent and long slumps. The myths people construct around their favourite players is getting absurd.
You're right, you cannot just look at his streaks. However, he does have those streaks, meaning, there is offensive potential there. Once you realize that, then you need to study what happens so you can understand why Eller goes up only to come down.
Is it because he simply gets extremely lucky and puts on points? Is it because he decides to stop playing hard? Or is it because internal things happen like changing teammates, or his deployment changes, or usage, etc.
Analyzing Eller is probably the easiest thing to do. You can observe how he was used during the the hot streaks, how he was used during the bad streaks, and check what happened the moment those streaks either started or ended.
In the end, you should come up with a very simple and obvious conclusion. Eller is a decent center two way center, somewhere between a #2 and a #3, that produces every single time he's given a competent offensive winger to play with. It's all right there for you to see. You can talk about his vision or IQ all you want, it's all HFboard propaganda crap that means very little.
You don't need to have great vision and IQ to produce 35-45pts on the 3rd line. You will need good enough wingers to help you out though and also some help from the coach in the deployment of his line.
Eller is far from being my favorite player, but I'm tired of hearing this BS about him. I defended Diaz because he wasn't as bad as people made it seem, I'm doing the same with Gilbert, and Eller, and a bunch of others. It has nothing to do with being a fan of them. Most of the time I wasn't even one. But I'm a lesser fan of crap being spit out.
Eller might be able to get a cycle going, but a decent 4th line should be able to also. A 3rd line on a good team is expected to chip goals in too. They were a black hole of suck last season, but managed to catch fire in the playoffs. Now they are back to the suck.
The clock is ticking on Eller now that he is 25 and getting paid 3.5$ million. We can't pretend he is some young prospect with untapped "potential", it's time to deliver, especially when there is another natural centre on the team who is stuck playing wing. Gotta think management is looking to move him for a winger and put up Chucky at centre, who knows when they pull the trigger.
Come on man, what's with this crap...''It's time to deliver''. What do you want him to deliver exactly?? 30-35pts playing in a tougher role than Plekanec's of last season?? Do you even realize how difficult Plek's minutes were last year? If you do, understand that Eller's are even tougher because he's doing essentially the same assignments but with lesser teammates and he doesn't get the offensive opportunities Plek also got. Last year Plek barely cracked 40, with plenty more ice time and better wingers. So unless we change the way we use Eller, you should expect another 20ish pt season from him.