What Wingels is playing like right now is a 4th liner. Good wheels, yes. Decent hands? No, not really. Hard shot is up for debate but he's historically inaccurate with it. He's nothing special as a passer. Certainly good enough defensively and is physical but a lot of those traits are not unique to the spot he's in.
I think you are downplaying his skills. Niemi said he had the hardest shot on the team, and he's generally an "average" shooter in terms of accuracy. He's not a great passer, but he is an adequate passer and is willing to use that skill.
If I go up and down the forwards available on this team when healthy, he's a 4th liner. I would put Thornton, Marleau, Pavelski, Couture, Ward, Karlsson, Hertl, Donskoi, and Nieto ahead of Wingels and off the 4th line.
I get that Donskoi and Karlsson are flavours of the month, but even at the best he has shown, Nieto has equalled Wingels's best. Out of those four players, only Wingels has a history of decent NHL production. While I think that Donskoi could be better, Wingels has had stretches of looking like a top-6 forward and great lengths were he has been a top-9 forward...to say otherwise is simply revisionism. Karlsson has shown that he can play well with Thornton, and Nieto has had very brief flashes, but the bulk of their NHL play up to this point suggests they will be inferior players.
Also, to be fair about his production, he was good for those numbers when he was seeing time in the top six and not solely in the 3rd line role.
It wasn't like he had top-6 ice time the whole season...he was splitting time between the 2nd and 3rd lines...much like players like Nieto and Hertl.
If you see Hertl having a problem producing in the role he's in, Wingels isn't doing anything to help because he isn't producing either. Considering I saw Hertl play well on the 2nd line, I'm more inclined to believe it has something to do with meshing with Wingels' game rather than those like Marleau and Ward.
Wingels has shown the ability, time and time again, to mesh well with about anyone. He's not likely to have a Cheechoo-JT relationship, but he's managed to find decent chemistry with a whole bunch of linemates throughout his time in San Jose. Considering that history, I am more inclined to believe that both players are just individually struggling.
Producing at a 30+ point clip doesn't mean diddly. Did he actually produce 30 points? The answer is no for the last six seasons. Using injuries as an excuse for not doing so doesn't cut it because injuries will be a part of his career going forward in all likelihood.
What it means is that when he is playing, and on the ice, there is a player capable of a 30-point season on the ice; someone with those skills is on the ice.
And no, Braun and Demers were not similar defensemen as prospects. Demers was always more offensively-inclined and had better vision and Braun was always more sound defensively.
Well, that is just historical revisionism. Braun and Demers were both considered offensive defensemen with holes defensively. Braun remodeled his game, and was able to get a full-time NHL job tied to Vlasic's hip, but the offensive skills and inclination used to be there. Again, he has good hockey sense, a very hard and accurate shot, is an above-average passer, and is a good skater. On top of that, he has the frame and size.
As for Vlasic, he had one great offensive year in juniors.
Out of three seasons, yes
He didn't make the big club based on his offensive prowess.
No, but Tim Burke had said that the organization saw him as a two-way defenseman when they drafted him.
The Sharks did not draft him based off of that year either because that came after his draft.
Right, because drafting only involves looking at the here and now. No predictive elements.
The talent was never there unless you surrounded him with great offensive players that would dominate their time on ice. That could happen in the Q but not in the NHL. People thought he could be like Lidstrom because he played similarly to him but the thing that was missing and was always missing that never made that come true was his offensive game.
Except that those skills, the potential, was always evident. Am I the only one who remembers how, in 2009, he actually was a good PP quarterback? Back then, thinking of him as a guy playing on a team's 2nd PP unit wasn't a crazy idea...
Not having the shot is a pretty important thing to not have when you want to be compared to Lidstrom. A big chunk of Lidstrom's offensive game came because he had a great shot and could utilize it in so many ways to produce offense.
Lidstrom had an accurate shot and could find the lanes very well. His shot was far from hard. Vlasic has the brains to find the lanes and has an accurate shot as well. Not at Lidstrom's level, but more than enough that 30+ points should not at all be a problem.
Also, having great anticipation defensively doesn't mean that it will or should translate into great anticipation offensively. They are two different beasts and it's easier to anticipate defensively than offensively especially as a d-man.
They are two different beasts with a lot of similarity. You'd be surprised how great hockey sense and positioning translate across both disciplines...there is a reason why people say Alexander Semin is an underrated penalty killer.
It is like playing tennis to playing table tennis. They are different games, but the skills are very transferrable.