VoluntaryDom
Formerly DominicBoltsFan / Ⓐ / ✞
Btw I think we waive Dotchin now. This is because a friend of mine earlier today said he had an inside tip that Dotchin may be traded. Maybe not a trade, maybe it's waivers.
Btw I think we waive Dotchin now. This is because a friend of mine earlier today said he had an inside tip that Dotchin may be traded. Maybe not a trade, maybe it's waivers.
from your keyboard to god's ears, my friendThis is almost certainly the end of Dotchin in Tampa. Here’s why:
Barring an unforeseen development it is likely that Hedman, McDonagh, Stralman, Girardi, and Sergachev are all coming back next season. That leaves Coburn, Dotchin, and Koekkoek fighting for two roster spots (assuming we aren’t going to carry eight defensemen again.) There’s a decent chance at least one of those three is traded at the draft, but let’s assume for the moment that all three return to battle for those final two spots.
Of the five defensemen who are near locks to return three are left handed and two are right handed; that plus the fact that Dotchin is our only RD signed beyond next season would seem to argue for him to be kept around. But where we would play him? Dotchin clearly isn’t good enough for top four duties which leaves him at best on the bottom pairing. But putting McDonagh there with him would be a waste and pairing Sergachev with him would be dicey at best. What makes far more sense and better balances our pairings would be to move either McDonagh or Sergachev to the right, opening a hole on the left side of our defense and forcing Dotchin out of the lineup.
That in turn means that either Koekkoek or Coburn would end up starting on the left (most likely on the bottom pairing) with the loser fighting Dotchin for the last roster spot. But while McDonagh, Sergachev, and Coburn can all play the right side none of our righties to my knowledge can play the left. We are also stronger on the right side than the left below the NHL level. So our seventh defenseman should ideally be a lefty in case of injury (or even simply to allow us to rest players from time to time.)
To me that makes Dotchin the odd man out. Even if we traded both Coburn and Koekkoek there still wouldn’t be a spot for Dotchin in the starting lineup because there’s not a pairing that makes sense to put him on, and not only do we ideally want a lefty at 7D but it’d be pointless to keep him there as he’s not going to get any better with little to no playing time.
It’s also possible we bring in another defensemen either internally or via trade. If that defenseman plays the right side then once again Dotchin is forced out of the lineup; if he plays the left then he still forces Dotchin out because either McDonagh or Sergachev would move to the right. (In either of these scenarios Koekkoek/Coburn would also be forced out of the lineup.)
So in short while there are scenarios where Koekkoek and/or Coburn might remain with us next season, whether as a starter or in a backup role, barring some unforeseen circumstance I really don’t see any place for Dotchin.
Hedman - StralmanSo do we go
Hedman - Stralman
McDonagh - Girardi
or
Hedman - Girardi
McDonigh - Stralman
Serg - Coburn
being the 3rd pair
My guess for playoff forward lines are
Gourde-Stamkos-Kucherov
Palat-Point-Johnson
Killorn-Miller-Peca
Callahan-Paq-Kunitz
This is almost certainly the end of Dotchin in Tampa. Here’s why:
Barring an unforeseen development it is likely that Hedman, McDonagh, Stralman, Girardi, and Sergachev are all coming back next season. That leaves Coburn, Dotchin, and Koekkoek fighting for two roster spots (assuming we aren’t going to carry eight defensemen again.) There’s a decent chance at least one of those three is traded at the draft, but let’s assume for the moment that all three return to battle for those final two spots.
Of the five defensemen who are near locks to return three are left handed and two are right handed; that plus the fact that Dotchin is our only RD signed beyond next season would seem to argue for him to be kept around. But where we would play him? Dotchin clearly isn’t good enough for top four duties which leaves him at best on the bottom pairing. But putting McDonagh there with him would be a waste and pairing Sergachev with him would be dicey at best. What makes far more sense and better balances our pairings would be to move either McDonagh or Sergachev to the right, opening a hole on the left side of our defense and forcing Dotchin out of the lineup.
That in turn means that either Koekkoek or Coburn would end up starting on the left (most likely on the bottom pairing) with the loser fighting Dotchin for the last roster spot. But while McDonagh, Sergachev, and Coburn can all play the right side none of our righties to my knowledge can play the left. We are also stronger on the right side than the left below the NHL level. So our seventh defenseman should ideally be a lefty in case of injury (or even simply to allow us to rest players from time to time.)
To me that makes Dotchin the odd man out. Even if we traded both Coburn and Koekkoek there still wouldn’t be a spot for Dotchin in the starting lineup because there’s not a pairing that makes sense to put him on, and not only do we ideally want a lefty at 7D but it’d be pointless to keep him there as he’s not going to get any better with little to no playing time.
It’s also possible we bring in another defensemen either internally or via trade. If that defenseman plays the right side then once again Dotchin is forced out of the lineup; if he plays the left then he still forces Dotchin out because either McDonagh or Sergachev would move to the right. (In either of these scenarios Koekkoek/Coburn would also be forced out of the lineup.)
So in short while there are scenarios where Koekkoek and/or Coburn might remain with us next season, whether as a starter or in a backup role, barring some unforeseen circumstance I really don’t see any place for Dotchin.
Why can't we keep all 8 defenders and the only one we lose is Sustr? Dotchin sucks but most 8th Defenseman do so no different than any other team. Just keep him around for injuries, play him once in awhile to see if he can be competent and either help or show enough that someone trades for him. Cernak could use more time in the minors and Thomas isn't an upgrade, his skating is but not much more.
On the left I'd like to trade Coburn. He's a 3.7mil luxury that we aren't bringing back and we can use that money to add a forward. We don't have a forward besides Peca and Erne who need to be up next year. Kunitz most likely leaves and Conacher hopefully is back in Syracuse, he's not good enough to be a fulltime NHLer. Koekkoek can do just as good for less. The only issue is Coburn is a strong vet which Yzerman likes so we wouldn't need to trade for a rental as we'd be set on defense.
I don't really mind if Miller hasn't scored a lot in the playoffs with the Rangers when all it takes is one good series with the Bolts to completely change that narrative. And tbh I can't take fans complaining about a just traded player's playoff scoring very seriously since Bruins fans still try to use it to justify trading Seguin.Yeah, McDonagh is definitely gonna play with Girardi again... Miller on the other hand is a tad bit more difficult to pencil in. I'm apprehensive as hell about him. 40 games and 1 playoff goal is NO bueno man
Hedman - Stralman
McD - Girardi
Serge - Coburn
Girardi with McDonagh again? You want to hamper him like they did in New York? NYR fans exaggerated some things on Girardi but these 2 were not a great fit and he did hold McDonagh back during their time together. This is where I hope Dotchin can find his game because he has value playing next to Hedman where Sustr and KK can't, Dotchin is the most stable of the 3 when he's on his game. Also gives us an elite and mobile shutdown pairing in McDonagh-Stralman, Girardi stays on the 3rd pairing where he's most suited and babysits Sergachev. Coburn has lost a step this season, shouldn't be about the 3rd pairing either.
If Dotchin gets his head on, our defense is at it's best:
Hedman-Dotchin
McDonagh-Stralman
Sergachev-Girardi/Coburn
I wonder if they start trying Sergachev on the right at any time.
Wait, what's the off ice trouble with Dotchin?
This is nonsense. I've read the same rumors here when Tampa signed Girardi but it's honestly all bs. Told you back then and nothing has changed since. Girardi was always a fine defenseman...the only problem being his health. He basically played a full season injured and was barely able to skate. Yet still he was forced to play top pairing minutes alongside McDonagh because the Rangers didn't have anybody capable of stepping in. Wasn't for a lack of trying...they tried to shut Girardi down multiple times but always had to turn back to him.
Girardi and McDonagh have been an elite duo for years and everybody telling you anything else is just flat out lying. As long as Girardi doesn't have to play 25mins per game they'll be just fine. This will be much easier for the duo anyway...they were the only top4 defenders in New York but in Tampa they're only the 2nd pairing.
I fear that it's gonna be Dotchin they'll chase out of town and I feel like it has to do with the off ice trouble he caused. Sad story if he's the odd man out because he's clearly better than Sustr. Also adds a physical element other defenders (except McDonagh) don't have.