GDT: 2014 NHL Draft Lottery

[DCDM]

2014 NHL Draft Lottery

The 2014 NHL Draft Lottery will take place live on TSN, Tuesday April 15 2014 at 8pm EST/5pm EST.
Source: http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/feature/?id=115803

Rank| Team
1 |Florida Panthers
2 |Buffalo Sabres
3 |Edmonton Oilers
4 |Calgary Flames
5 |New York Islanders
6 |Vancouver Canucks
7 |Carolina Hurricanes
8 |Toronto Maple Leafs
9 |Winnipeg Jets
10 |Anaheim Ducks
11 |Nashville Predators
12 |Phoenix Coyotes
13 |Washington Capitals
30 |New Jersey Devils

Rank |Team |% of Winning |Actual % of Winning
1 | Buffalo Sabres | 25.0 | 25.4
2 | Florida Panthers | 18.8 | 19.1
3 | Edmonton Oilers | 14.2 | 14.4
4 | Calgary Flames | 10.7 | 10.9
5 |New York Islanders* | 8.1 | 8.2
6 |Vancouver Canucks|6.2 | 6.3
7 |Carolina Hurricanes| 4.7 | 4.8
8 |Toronto Maple Leafs | 3.6 | 3.7
9 |Winnipeg Jets|2.7 | 2.7
10 |Anaheim Ducks** | 2.1 | 2.1
11 |New Jersey Devils***| 1.5 | 0.0
12 |Nashville Predators | 1.1 | 1.1
13 |Phoenix Coyotes| 0.8 | 0.8
14 |Washington Capitals | 0.5 | 0.5

% Of Winning - represents the chance the team has of winning the draft lottery.

* - The New York Islanders must surrender either their 2014 or 2015 first-round draft pick to the Buffalo Sabres as part of the trade that sent Thomas Vanek to New York. The Islanders decide which pick to surrender prior to the 2014 NHL Draft.

** - The Senators' first-round pick is property of the Anaheim Ducks, who acquired it in a trade for Bobby Ryan to Ottawa.

*** - The New Jersey Devils will receive the 30th overall pick regardless of their final standing as penalty for cap circumvention in signing Ilya Kovalchuk. They are ineligible to receive the first overall pick via the Draft Lottery. If they are drawn, the NHL will redraw.

Calgary Flames Draft Pick Odds:

1st Overall| 10.7%
4th Overall| 58.0%
5th Overall| 31.3%

Go Flames!​

Click to read more...

 

[Taranis]

Winning the lottery would be amazing but honestly at this point I'm just hoping we don't get knocked down a spot.

 

[Pirate King Luffy]

I will eat a rock if we win the lottery.

 

[DCDM]

Winning the lottery would be amazing but honestly at this point I'm just hoping we don't get knocked down a spot.

I agree.

 

[Lunatik]

I will eat a rock if we win the lottery.

how big of a rock?

 

[MuffinMerc]

Oilers suck.

 

[Anglesmith]

Actual odds of winning (adjusted for NJD):

EDIT: redundant.

 

[DCDM]

Actual odds of winning (adjusted for NJD):

Rank |Team |% of Winning |Actual % of Winning
1 | Buffalo Sabres | 25.0 | 25.4
2 | Florida Panthers | 18.8 | 19.1
3 | Edmonton Oilers | 14.2 | 14.4
4 | Calgary Flames | 10.7 | 10.9
5 |New York Islanders* | 8.1 | 8.2
6 |Vancouver Canucks|6.2 | 6.3
7 |Carolina Hurricanes| 4.7 | 4.8
8 |Toronto Maple Leafs | 3.6 | 3.7
9 |Winnipeg Jets|2.7 | 2.7
10 |Anaheim Ducks** | 2.1 | 2.1
11 |New Jersey Devils***| 1.5 | 0.0
12 |Nashville Predators | 1.1 | 1.1
13 |Phoenix Coyotes| 0.8 | 0.8
14 |Washington Capitals | 0.5 | 0.5

Perfect, I'll edit this into the OP!

 

[InfinityIggy]

All I care about it the Oilers not winning. Thats it. Its ****ing ridiculous they are picking in the top 3 again. Id literally rather see the Canucks win the lotto than have to watch the Oilers get gifted another fantastic prospect, and watch them ruin him.

 

[Pirate King Luffy]

how big of a rock?

Your choice.

 

[YMCMBYOLO]

Would speed up our rebuild if we won the lottery, that's for sure!

 

[Lunatik]

Your choice.

I hope you're hungry

I recommend a few truck loads of ketchup

 

[Anglesmith]

Your choice.

 

[Flames Fanatic]

I will eat a rock if we win the lottery.

Quoted so you can't back out. That and then I'll be twice as amused if we win. Edit: Damnit, go away for five minutes on this board and fail to refresh the page and this **** happens!

I'm content with anything that happens as long as the Canucks, Oilers, or Leafs don't win the 1st overall. I kinda want the Devils to win it just so HF melts down in laughter.

Sorry Devil's fans.

 

[DCDM]

All I care about it the Oilers not winning. Thats it. Its ****ing ridiculous they are picking in the top 3 again. Id literally rather see the Canucks win the lotto than have to watch the Oilers get gifted another fantastic prospect, and watch them ruin him.

If we win, they get pushed down to 4th.

Hooray, win-win.

 

[Pirate King Luffy]

I hope you're hungry

I recommend a few truck loads of ketchup

I'm feeling full.

 

[Flames Fanatic]

I'm feeling full.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/0/04/Moon_Farside_LRO.jpg

Technically just a big rock right?


I am a benevolent overlord, as at least it will taste like cheese right?

 

[Ace Rimmer]

That's no moon, it's a Death Star!

Other probabilities for outcomes other than the first overall pick (without Anglesmith's voodoo math):

1. Buffalo - 75% 2nd pick
2. Florida - 25% 2nd pick, 56.2% 3rd pick
3. Edmonton - 43.8% 3rd pick, 42% 4th pick
4. Calgary - 58% 4th pick, 31.3% 5th pick
5. Islanders - 68.7% 5th pick, 23.2% 6th pick
6. Vancouver - 76.8% 6th pick, 17% 7th pick
7. Carolina - 83% 7th pick, 12.3% 8th pick
8. Toronto - 87.7% 8th pick, 8.7% 9th pick
9. Winnipeg - 91.3% 9th pick, 6% 10th pick
10. Anaheim - 94% 10th pick, 3.9% 11th pick
11. New Jersey - 1.5% chance of a redraw, 100% 30th pick
12. Nashville - 97.6% 11th pick, 1.3% 12th pick
13. Phoenix - 98.7% 12th pick, 0.5% 13th pick
14. Washington - 99.5% 13th pick.

 

[Turning Mangiapanese]

Thanks for the 85MB pic, guys.

I just hope the Oilers or Canucks don't win the lottery. I also hope we don't have to see this thread next year or ever again.

 

[Anglesmith]

That's no moon, it's a Death Star!

Other probabilities for outcomes other than the first overall pick (without Anglesmith's voodoo math):

1. Buffalo - 75% 2nd pick
2. Florida - 25% 2nd pick, 56.2% 3rd pick
3. Edmonton - 43.8% 3rd pick, 42% 4th pick
4. Calgary - 58% 4th pick, 31.3% 5th pick
5. Islanders - 68.7% 5th pick, 23.2% 6th pick
6. Vancouver - 76.8% 6th pick, 17% 7th pick
7. Carolina - 83% 7th pick, 12.3% 8th pick
8. Toronto - 87.7% 8th pick, 8.7% 9th pick
9. Winnipeg - 91.3% 9th pick, 6% 10th pick
10. Anaheim - 94% 10th pick, 3.9% 11th pick
11. New Jersey - 1.5% chance of a redraw, 100% 30th pick
12. Nashville - 97.6% 11th pick, 1.3% 12th pick
13. Phoenix - 98.7% 12th pick, 0.5% 13th pick
14. Washington - 99.5% 13th pick.

With voodoo added:

Rank |Team |% of Winning |Actual % Pick First |% Stay | % Move Down
1 | Buffalo Sabres | 25.0 | 25.4 | 25.4 | 74.6
2 | Florida Panthers | 18.8 | 19.1 | 25.4 | 55.5
3 | Edmonton Oilers | 14.2 | 14.4 | 44.5 | 41.1
4 | Calgary Flames | 10.7 | 10.9 | 58.9 | 30.2
5 |New York Islanders* | 8.1 | 8.2 | 69.8 | 22.0
6 |Vancouver Canucks|6.2 | 6.3 | 78.0 | 15.7
7 |Carolina Hurricanes| 4.7 | 4.8 | 84.3 | 10.9
8 |Toronto Maple Leafs | 3.6 | 3.7 | 89.1 | 7.2
9 |Winnipeg Jets|2.7 | 2.7 | 92.8 | 4.5
10 |Anaheim Ducks** | 2.1 | 2.1 | 95.5 | 2.4
11 |New Jersey Devils***| 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0
12 |Nashville Predators | 1.1 | 1.1 | 97.6 | 1.3
13 |Phoenix Coyotes| 0.8 | 0.8 | 98.7 | 0.5
14 |Washington Capitals | 0.5 | 0.5 | 99.5 | 0.0

 

[WhereIsIt]

Anybody but the Canucks or Oilers is a huge success.

 

[TheHudlinator]

With voodoo added:

Rank |Team |% of Winning |Actual % Pick First |% Stay | % Move Down
1 | Buffalo Sabres | 25.0 | 25.4 | 25.4 | 74.6
2 | Florida Panthers | 18.8 | 19.1 | 25.4 | 55.5
3 | Edmonton Oilers | 14.2 | 14.4 | 44.5 | 41.1
4 | Calgary Flames | 10.7 | 10.9 | 58.9 | 30.2
5 |New York Islanders* | 8.1 | 8.2 | 69.8 | 22.0
6 |Vancouver Canucks|6.2 | 6.3 | 78.0 | 15.7
7 |Carolina Hurricanes| 4.7 | 4.8 | 84.3 | 10.9
8 |Toronto Maple Leafs | 3.6 | 3.7 | 89.1 | 7.2
9 |Winnipeg Jets|2.7 | 2.7 | 92.8 | 4.5
10 |Anaheim Ducks** | 2.1 | 2.1 | 95.5 | 24.4
11 |New Jersey Devils***| 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0
12 |Nashville Predators | 1.1 | 1.1 | 97.6 | 1.3
13 |Phoenix Coyotes| 0.8 | 0.8 | 98.7 | 0.5
14 |Washington Capitals | 0.5 | 0.5 | 99.5 | 0.0

Poor Ducks, 24.4% chance to drop to 11

 

[Anglesmith]

Anybody but the Canucks or Oilers is a huge success.

We have a 20.7% chance of crying ourselves to sleep tonight.

 

[Taranis]

Always interesting to see whos going to be buried in Florida next.

 

[Anglesmith]

Always interesting to see whos going to be buried in Florida next.

It is pretty amazing how little we see or hear about the Panthers. I remember thinking "oh yeah, Jovanovski still plays hockey" when we played them this year.