17/18 season : HFOil consensus point expectations for every Oiler... plus post season results.

[nexttothemoon]

So what would be a decent over/under point for (nearly) every player on the Oilers this season?

Trying to come up with the number that would basically be the 50-50 point where 50% feel that player would score more than that # of points and 50% feel that player would score less than that number of points.

So far this is what I have come up with for my best guesstimates:

McDavid 100
Draisaitl 75
RNH 55
Lucic 50
Strome 50
Maroon 40
Jokinen 35
Puljujarvi 35
Kassian 30
Letestu 30
Caggiula 30
Slepyshev 25
Pakarinen 15
Khaira 15

Klefbom 40
Larsson 25
Sekera 20
Russell 20
Benning 20
Nurse 20
Auvitu 20
Gryba 10

Please post your own pts prediction for each player on this list so I can get an overall idea what the average point production figure will be (according to the HFOil members here) for each Oilers player this season.

Thanks.

Click to read more...

 

[PaPaDee]

McDavid 95
Draisaitl 68
RNH 52
Lucic 55
Strome 40
Maroon 48
Jokinen 42
Puljujarvi 30
Kassian 28
Letestu 32
Caggiula 37
Slepyshev 34
Pakarinen 8
Khaira 12

Klefbom 43
Larsson 30
Sekera 34
Russell 18
Benning 20
Nurse 17
Auvitu 10
Gryba 8

 

[Gordian Knot]

McDavid 111
Draisaitl 79
Lucic 58
RNH 57
Strome 49
Maroon 42
Puljujarvi 41
Jokinen 41
Caggiula 41
Slepyshev 35
Kassian 33
Letestu 32
Khaira 9
Pakarinen 8

TDL forward X and/or prospects together 19

Klefbom 46
Larsson 33
Sekera 34
Russell 19
Benning 23
Nurse 19
Auvitu 14
Gryba 6

TDL defender X and/or prospects together 11

 

[russianoiler]

McDavid 110
Draisaitl 80
Puljujarvi 55
RNH 55
Lucic 55
Strome 40
Maroon 35
Jokinen 35
Slepyshev 30
Kassian 20
Letestu 20
Caggiula 20
Pakarinen ?
Khaira ?

Klefbom 45
Larsson 30
Sekera 20
Nurse 20
Russell 15
Benning 15

 

[nexttothemoon]

Thanks for these predictions guys... this thread is getting buried by these old threads coming up now.

Please keep posting predictions in this thread.

 

[RebuildTheRebuild]

McDavid 106
Draisaitl 70
Lucic 49
RNH 43
Strome 42
Maroon 38
Puljujarvi 36
Slepyshev 32
Jokinen 30
Cagguila 29
Kassian 27
Letestu 21


Klefbom 39
Sekera 21
Benning 18
Larsson 18
Nurse 17
Russell 13

 

[Aerchon]

McDavid 95
Draisaitl 67
RNH 43
Lucic 59
Strome 48
Maroon 47
Jokinen 32
Puljujarvi 36
Kassian 31
Letestu 33
Caggiula 37
Slepyshev 25
Khaira 15

Klefbom 47
Larsson 28
Sekera 22
Russell 24
Benning 21
Nurse 15
Gryba 10

Just for fun. Pure guess. Seems high but ah well.

 

[Spawn]

McDavid 95
Drai 65
Lucic 45
Maroon 45
Strome 45
Nuge 35
Jokinen 30
Letestu 30
Caggiula 30
Pulju 25
Kassian 25
Slepy 15
Khaira 5
Pak 5

Klefbom 40
Sekera 25
Russell 20
Larsson 20
Benning 15
Nurse 15
Gryba 5

Predictions based on if McDavid, Drai and Nuge all center their own lines.

 

[booyakasha]

McDavid 118
Draisaitl 63
RNH 59
Lucic 52
Strome 48
Maroon 41
Jokinen 48
Puljujarvi 51
Kassian 33
Letestu 30
Caggiula 39
Slepyshev 25
Pakarinen 15
Khaira ??

Klefbom 38
Larsson 29
Sekera 20
Russell 14
Benning 18
Nurse 22
Auvitu 8
Gryba 8

 

[McShogun99]

Assuming everyone but Sekera and Slepyshev play a full season.

McDavid 112
Draisaitl 84
RNH 57
Lucic 53
Strome 61
Maroon 49
Jokinen 38
Puljujarvi 49
Kassian 27
Letestu 29
Caggiula 35
Slepyshev 25
Pakarinen 9
Khaira 14

Klefbom 51
Larsson 22
Sekera 12
Russell 17
Benning 31
Nurse 24
Auvitu 4
Gryba 6

 

[oiler4ever]

McDavid 105
Drai 79
Strome 65
Lucic 51
Maroon 49
Nuge 47
Puljujarvi 41
Caggiula 40
Jokinen 31
Letestu 30
Kassian 29
Slepy 22
Khaira 11


Klefbom 44
Benning 33
Nurse 24
Larsson 21
Russell 20
Sekera 14
Auvitu 11
Gryba 9
Stanton 5

 

[Aerrol]

McDavid 110
Draisaitl 75
RNH 55
Lucic 50
Strome 20
Maroon 40
Jokinen 35
Puljujarvi 30
Kassian 30
Letestu 35
Caggiula 35
Slepyshev 30
Pakarinen 15
Khaira 12

Klefbom 38
Larsson 22
Sekera 20
Russell 10
Benning 17
Nurse 20
Auvitu 12
Gryba 4
Jones 3

Edit: these are my best guesses at point totals. Re-reading the OP, are you asking us to pick points that the player is 50% likely to go over or under at?

 

[Cloned]

If Strome clicks with McDavid and they overload line 1 with Strome-McDavid-Draisaitl, I could see Strome cracking 60 points, Drai cracking 80 points and McDavid 110+.

Of course that would leave something like Maroon/RNH/Lucic all at around 40-ish.

 

[MuzzaFuzza]

McDavid 108
Draisaitl 73
RNH 50
Lucic 56
Strome 58
Maroon 44
Jokinen 40
Puljujarvi 45
Kassian 30
Letestu 26
Caggiula 33
Slepyshev 22
Pakarinen 10
Khaira 9

Klefbom 45
Larsson 25
Sekera 16
Russell 13
Benning 25
Nurse 20
Auvitu 18
Gryba 7

 

[Paralyzer008]

McDavid 102
Draisaitl 91
Lucic 53
Strome 52
RNH 47
Klefbom 42
Maroon 32
Caggiula 26
Jokinen 26
Letestu 24
Benning 23
Slepyshev 21
Nurse 21
Puljujarvi 20
Kassian 18
Larsson 18

Everyone else under 15

 

[nexttothemoon]

These are great guys... I'm trying to come up with an average/medium predicted pts value for each player so all predictions are appreciated. Obviously these are guesses and speculation but it's interesting to see what the overall consensus pts expectations are for each player.

 

[MessierII]

Mcdavid 110
Drai 70
Lucic 58
Nuge 45
Strome 40
Klefbom 38
Caguila 38
Maroon 35
Pulijaarvi 35
Jokinen 28
Benning 28
Sekera 25
Letestu 25
Benning 25
Larsson 25
Kassian 25
Slep 25
Nurse 20
Gryba 15
Pakarinen 15
Jujar 7

 

[OnTheBrink]

McDavid 104
Draisaitl 71
RNH 52
Lucic 49
Strome 49
Maroon 44
Jokinen 32
Puljujarvi 38
Kassian 28
Letestu 31
Caggiula 29
Slepyshev 28
Pakarinen 15
Khaira 15

Klefbom 42
Larsson 27
Sekera 17
Russell 24
Benning 22
Nurse 23
Auvitu 14
Gryba 7

 

[killercookie]

McDavid 115
Draisaitl 75
RNH 45
Lucic 60
Strome 50
Maroon 50
Jokinen 35
Puljujarvi 35
Kassian 30
Letestu 30
Caggiula 35
Slepyshev 25
Pakarinen 15
Khaira 15

Klefbom 45
Larsson 20
Sekera 20
Russell 20
Benning 25
Nurse 25
Auvitu 20
Gryba 10

 

[Jet Walters]

McDavid 108
Draisaitl 73
Strome 66 (as long as he gets the Letestu spot on PP#1)
Lucic 55
Maroon 41
RNH 39
Caggiula 38
Jokinen 32
Puljujarvi 31
Kassian 25
Letestu 24
Slepyshev 20
Khaira 15
Pakarinen 7

Klefbom 49
Larsson 27
Sekera 19
Russell 17
Benning 24
Nurse 18
Auvitu 15
Gryba 10

Really surprised how many have RNH at 55+ points. If he's our 3C with 2nd unit PP time there's no chance he hits 50. 35-45 is a reasonable expectation for him in that role. I'm getting serious deja vu from the same thread last year in regards to RNH. If Strome gets that 1RW spot and the Letestu PP time we should see at least 60 points from him. The power of McDavid compels him.

 

[FlameChampion]

McDavid 105
Draisaitl 75
RNH 50
Lucic 50
Strome 40
Maroon 40
Jokinen 40
Puljujarvi 40
Kassian 30
Letestu 30
Caggiula 30
Slepyshev 25
Pakarinen 15
Khaira 15

Klefbom 45
Larsson 30
Benning 25
Nurse 25
Sekera 20 (hard to say here due to injury)
Russell 20
Auvitu 20
Gryba 10

 

[nexttothemoon]

Edit: these are my best guesses at point totals. Re-reading the OP, are you asking us to pick points that the player is 50% likely to go over or under at?

Best guesses are perfect. I'm basically just looking for as many opinions as possible from the HFOil minds here... then come up the median value for each player. That will give me an idea of what the expectations are from each player this season.

 

[nexttothemoon]

Thanks everyone for your predictions on the points output of all the Oilers players for this upcoming season.

For anyone who hasn't put in their predictions yet... please do so.

Here are the median pts predictions for each player so far:

McDavid 107
Draisaitl 74
Lucic 53
RNH 50
Strome 49
Klefbom 44
Maroon 42
Puljujarvi 36
Caggiula 35
Jokinen 35
Letestu 30
Kassian 29
Larsson 25
Slepyshev 25
Benning 23
Nurse 20
Sekera 20
Russell 19
Pakarinen 15
Auvitu 14
Khaira 13
Gryba 8
Stanton 5
Jones 3

I'll keep updating this as more predictions come in.

 

[OilTastic]

McDavid 130
Draisaitl 87
Puljujarvi 55
RNH 65
Lucic 55
Strome 60
Maroon 55
Jokinen 35
Slepyshev 40
Kassian 40
Letestu 40
Caggiula 40
Pakarinen 7
Khaira 37

Klefbom 45
Larsson 30
Sekera 20
Nurse 40
Russell 18
Benning 35

 

[nexttothemoon]

Here are the updated median pts predictions for each player so far:

McDavid 108
Draisaitl 75
Lucic 53
RNH 50
Strome 49
Klefbom 44
Maroon 42
Puljujarvi 36
Caggiula 35
Jokinen 35
Letestu 30
Kassian 29
Larsson 25
Slepyshev 25
Benning 23
Nurse 20
Sekera 20
Russell 18
Pakarinen 15
Auvitu 14
Khaira 14
Gryba 8
Stanton 5
Jones 3