Why was Panarin never drafted ?

Mickey Marner

Registered User
Jul 9, 2014
19,471
21,084
Dystopia
He probably should've been drafted after the world jrs, but he was small and didn't really break out until he got to play with talent on SKA instead of goons on Vityaz.
 

WarriorofTime

Registered User
Jul 3, 2010
28,780
16,931
And? One of those three played in NA, two others played a lot of international games. It doesn't change anything. Panarin would have been a 1st rounder today even if NHL teams picked zero Russians in the 1st... I mean, look at the guys, who are projected as 1st rounders in the coming draft. How many games have they played in the KHL? How many points have they scored? Panarin had 8 points in 20 games...
Yes he was obviously under-scouted, I didn't disagree but you can't just say he would have been a first rounder. That is speaking with total hindsight. He was underscouted in large part because he was a small kid and he didn't play for a big team or at the Under-18s, which is in large part because he didn't make Chelyabinsk's top team at the beginnings of Junior Hockey, which is in large part because he was skating with oversized used equipment and had to overcome poverty...

....And of course there are undrafted guys out of North America that make the NHL as well even if they didn't necessarily have those same disadvatages. Some guys just bloom late. Mark Giordano played Junior Hockey in Canada but wasn't drafted in any of his go arounds and he became a future Norris winner. Jonathan Marchessault is around Panarin's age and went undrafted despite playing in the QMJHL in Canada. He's managed to carve out a long, successful career for himself.
 

majormajor

Registered User
Jun 23, 2018
24,641
29,343
Yes he was obviously under-scouted, I didn't disagree but you can't just say he would have been a first rounder. That is speaking with total hindsight. He was underscouted in large part because he was a small kid and he didn't play for a big team or at the Under-18s, which is in large part because he didn't make Chelyabinsk's top team at the beginnings of Junior Hockey, which is in large part because he was skating with oversized used equipment and had to overcome poverty...

When did he go to Vityaz youth academy, age 11? By that point he had proper equipment and training. He may have been somewhat more of a late bloomer because of his impoverished beginning but there was a big gap between that early time and his Chelyabinsk Jr. time.

....And of course there are undrafted guys out of North America that make the NHL as well even if they didn't necessarily have those same disadvatages. Some guys just bloom late. Mark Giordano played Junior Hockey in Canada but wasn't drafted in any of his go arounds and he became a future Norris winner. Jonathan Marchessault is around Panarin's age and went undrafted despite playing in the QMJHL in Canada. He's managed to carve out a long, successful career for himself.

Marty St. Louis is an even better example.
 

Hockeyville USA

Registered User
Dec 30, 2023
1,590
1,208
Central Ohio
Because teams still don't value production enough to at least make calculated gambles on offensive producers. Logan Morrison was never drafted and he's playing far better in the A than most guys in his birthyear who were drafted.
 

GreatSaveEssensa

The Dark Side Of The Goon
Feb 16, 2016
3,648
5,807
Manitoba
Disadvantaged/poor background mixed with being a late bloomer.

He was probably too good to eventually go unnoticed, but it does make you question how many other potentially good players, that never had the financial means, have been passed up (or never had a chance) over the years because of their upbringing.
There have a been a ton that have slipped through the cracks. Most common cause is due to a families financial situation, and a lot to do with ‘hockey politics’.
 
  • Like
Reactions: SnowblindNYR

Hockeyville USA

Registered User
Dec 30, 2023
1,590
1,208
Central Ohio
Why was Tom Brady a 6th round draft pick? These things happen. Martin St Louis, Ed Belfour, Curtis Joseph, Dino Ciccerelli were all undrafted and had great careers.
St Louis & Ciccarelli = < 6'0
Belfour & Joseph = not playing in high quality leagues in their 17 year old season, later bloomers, went NCAA route
 

Djp

Registered User
Jul 28, 2012
23,926
5,665
Alexandria, VA
Why was Tom Brady a 6th round draft pick? These things happen. Martin St Louis, Ed Belfour, Curtis Joseph, Dino Ciccerelli were all undrafted and had great careers.
Apes and oranges.....

You did have many Europeans coming over even after the eastern bloc fell. Teams didnt invest much in scouting there.

In 90s things started to change. Even then. You still had small town player playing for smaller teams not get discovered till pist drsfy.

In NA you have had a few players who developed later on in their career.
 

Whoot Whoot

Biased Rangers Fan
Feb 28, 2007
5,752
3,449
Los Angeles
Panarin came from a very poor childhood. He came from a small mining town. He was a small kid that used lousy equipment that didn't fit growing up. He was not one of those Russians that came out of one of the elite Moscow academies that would have been on the hockey world's radar at ages 13/14/15/16 when the top players start separating themselves and I believe played on Chelyabinsk's second division junior team for his age group at first. He just was not heavily scouted and flew under the radar. He wasn't with one of the big Russian clubs during his draft eligible years (their senior team is consistently one of the worst in the KHL). He was also not on Russia's under-18 team which likely suggests a player that broke out late and his name was likely not even known by a lot of NHL scouts as a first time draft eligible players. By the time he did break out, NHL franchises weren't looking at players on a small Russian team and any success without looking too closely can be dismissed as a player who is "old" relative to the first time draft eligibles. Once he became a really good KHL player he was traded to St. Petersburg which is one of the big teams and the NHL took notice.

TLDR; late bloomer plus not looked at heavily the way he might have been if he was in a Canadian junior league at the age players get drafted.
Poetic of you
 

Machinehead

GoAwayTrouba
Jan 21, 2011
142,689
113,327
NYC
You can say "well they took a flier on so and so" but that's different when the player is Russian and way more likely to play in the KHL than come over and be an NHL bottom sixer.

The risk of not getting an NHL player is a big deterrent at the draft.
 

BB79

Registered User
Apr 30, 2011
3,637
3,910
Apes and oranges.....

You did have many Europeans coming over even after the eastern bloc fell. Teams didnt invest much in scouting there.

In 90s things started to change. Even then. You still had small town player playing for smaller teams not get discovered till pist drsfy.

In NA you have had a few players who developed later on in their career.
I was never really arguing the "why", I was just saying it happens all the time that players go undrafted then get in the pros and have a successful career..and yes for various reasons. Sheesh..
 

Kshahdoo

Registered User
Mar 23, 2008
19,342
8,639
Moscow, Russia
You can say "well they took a flier on so and so" but that's different when the player is Russian and way more likely to play in the KHL than come over and be an NHL bottom sixer.

The risk of not getting an NHL player is a big deterrent at the draft.

NHL teams spend picks on players who 99% will never become NHLers. Being-Russian-staying-in-KHL chance is way below 99%, like really way below.

As I said Russian kids were underscouted back then, but the situation has changed. Look at Artamonov, Panarin would have been projected at the same level nowadays, maybe even higher.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Machinehead

Machinehead

GoAwayTrouba
Jan 21, 2011
142,689
113,327
NYC
NHL teams spend picks on players who 99% will never become NHLers. Being-Russian-staying-in-KHL chance is way below 99%, like really way below.

As I said Russian kids were underscouted back then, but the situation has changed. Look at Artamonov, Panarin would have been projected at the same level nowadays, maybe even higher.
I'm not saying I agree with it.

And yes, a lot of the hoodoo surrounding it has subsided.
 

lawrence

Registered User
May 19, 2012
15,996
6,785
They weren’t aware of him. All 30 teams.

Similar to Alex edler. Only 2 teams watched him play. Correction. Only 2 scouts heard of him. One from Vancouver and one from Detroit.
 

80shockeywasbuns

Registered User
Feb 12, 2022
1,244
2,176

Panarin was just a huge fail in scouting/talent evaluation. This guy is a draft expert and thinks he should’ve been a mid 1st rounder based on production alone
 

80shockeywasbuns

Registered User
Feb 12, 2022
1,244
2,176
Kuznetsov was 26th pick, and he was ahead of Panarin back then. Tarasenko was a mid 1st rounder. On the other hand Atlanta spent its 8th OA on Burmistrov...
Somehow Panarin was even ahead of Kuznetsov in KHL production in their first draft eligible year, although Kuznetsov was more productive in the years immediately following the draft. It’s insane that Panarin wasnt drafted any of those years
 

Ad

Upcoming events

  • Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks
    Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks
    Wagers: 6
    Staked: $6,201.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:
  • Inter Milan vs Torino
    Inter Milan vs Torino
    Wagers: 4
    Staked: $1,752.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:
  • Metz vs Lille
    Metz vs Lille
    Wagers: 2
    Staked: $220.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:
  • Cádiz vs Mallorca
    Cádiz vs Mallorca
    Wagers: 2
    Staked: $240.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:
  • Bologna vs Udinese
    Bologna vs Udinese
    Wagers: 3
    Staked: $265.00
    Event closes
    • Updated:

Ad

Ad