I'm generally less concerned with *when* a prospect is drafted so much as *where* they're drafted. Of course, it helps if they are, in fact, drafted... This is the second year in a row I've taken three names that did not end up getting called in the NHL draft - none of the three last year were called this year either. I call these players my "black aces", although "eventual, inevitable cuts" is probably more accurate.
LD Dylan Olsen
NHL: 1/28 to CHI
HFNHL: 1/20 overall
-8
Very pleased with Olsen going to the Blackhawks. He's a throwback to the old days there, and will be very popular with the fans. Chicago has a good young blueline, so they may not be anxious about pressuring Olsen to go to the WHL, and may be patient while he develops at the Univerisyt of Minnesota-Duluth for the next few years. That said, Olsen should be pro-ready within two years, so we'll see what he chooses to do.
RD Charles Olivier-Roussel
NHL: 2/42 to NAS
HFNHL: 1/30
-12
Nashville has a great record drafting and developing two-way defencemen, so I'm particularly pleased to see Roussel going there. There is a lot of depth in the organization, however, so he may have to wait a few years to make his NHL debut.
G Mike Lee
NHL: 3/91 to PHX
HFNHL: 3/70
-21
Although in good shape for now with Bryzgalov and Montoya manning the pipes, the Coyotes recognize that goalie development is an unpredictable science, and as such it pays to have a quality netminder or two in development at all times. Lee fits the bill here, and will be given time to hone his game with St. Cloud State in the NCAA. Maybe by the time her graduates the team will have resolved its financial crisis...
RW Andrej Nestrasil
NHL: 3/75 to DET
HFNHL: 3/84
+9
Hard not to like this selection by the Wings. Nestrasil is a big body who can play in traffic and dish the puck with aplomb. He would look very good as the set-up man on a typical gritty Detroit third line. He has some work to do, particularly on his skating - since that's usually a high priority for Detroit's scouts, it suggests they think he can improve upon it in time, and time he'll have, as Detroit lets their prospects take their time developing. Perhaps we'll see him in Detroit in 4 years.
G Jean-Francois Berube
NHL: 4/95 to LAK
HFNHL: 4/101
+6
Another team with goaltending on its mind, the Kings look to be in strong shape in net with Quick, Ersberg and Bernier, but they sitll don't know which if any of them will provide them with the kind of top-10 golatending they'll need season-in and season out. Berube is a bit of a sleeper pick here, as he will need lots more starts and lots of seasoning over the coming years. Look for the Rockets to move one of him or Jake Allen during the coming QMJHL season.
LD Nate Schmidt
NHL: Undrafted
HFNHL: 4/102
***
This is the first of three 4th-round Jackets' picks that went undrafted in the NHL... picks we traded our 2nd and 4th in 2011 to acquire. We had better get at least *one* HFNHL player out of them, but this is not a promising beginning... Nevertheless, we feel Schmidt has good potential, and hopefully a good freshman season with the University of Minnesota will see his name getting called in next summer's NHL Entry Draft..
LD Nico Manelius
NHL: Undrafted
HFNHL: 4/106
***
Not surprised that Manelius didn't get selected, as he missed most of the season with a knee injury, and doesn't have prototypical size for a stay-at-home defenceman. However, we like his game, and hope he will be able to come back next season and pick up where he left off, as a Captain and leader on his team, and earning lots of game time in all situations. Had we not picked him this summer, we're confident another HFNHL team would have.
LW Levko Koper
NHL: ATL 7/185
HFNHL: 4/108
-77
A real surprise to slip as late as he did, but was dogged by questions about his consistency. A super-fast two-way player who has good hands and is terrific on the PK, Koper joins an Atlanta organization that is in desperate need of talent. A great value pick for the Thrashers.
RW Michal Hlinka
NHL: Undrafted
HFNHL: 4/118
***
Hlinka has pro skills, but needs a *lot* of work on his physical play and mental focus. Those question marks left him off the NHL's draft list this time around. Now he must either commit to improving significantly with Chicoutimi next year, or limp home to a forgettable career in the Czech league. A gamble pick, and right now the odds do not seem stacked in Columbus' favour.
C Dave Labrecque
NHL: 6/153
HFNHL: 5/126
-27
Slick playmaker Labrecque goes to the Flyers, who have had a lot of recent success with offensive players from the Q. While he lacks the of a Claude Giroux or Simon Gagne, Labrecque does offer high-end vision, creativity and passing skills in the Mike Ribeiro mould. As with many Q players, however, he is seriously lacking in the physical dimensions of the game. Will he be someone who benefits from the so-called "new NHL", or will he max out as a minor-league playmaker? Time will tell. For now he just has to focus on improving his play for league runner-up Shawinigan, along with fellow Jackets draftee Roussel.
LW Gabriel Dumont
NHL: 5/139 to MTL
HFNHL: 6/152
+13
Dumont not only has an outstanding name that conjures up images of Canada's brief flirtation with revolutionary fervour, but he also has a non-stop grinding game that endears him to coaches, teammates and fans alike. Although he may never be more than a Steve Begin-type in the NHL, that will still make him a very popular player for Les Habitants.
C Jere Sallinen
NHL: 6/163
HFNHL: 7/200
+37
After the league's most conservative team made a lot of noise recently about embracing a new offence-friendly approach to the game, the Wild went and selected this feisty Finn who appears for all the world like a classic Minnesota player: good hustle, character and defensive acumen, but not much to offer offensively. Hopefully the organiation's new look rubs off on Sallinen.
All in all, a mix of pleasure and disappointment in this year's draft, with a lot of situations to watch over the coming year.
Draft by position
The breakdown of positions drafted shows near-perfect balance, all the more strange for being completely unintentional:
2 LW: Koper, Dumont
2 C: Labrecque, Sallinen
2 RW: Nestrasil, Hlinka
3 LD: Olsen, Schmidt, Manelius
1 RD: Roussel
2 G: Lee, Berube
Draft by source:
More interesting is the source of the players. Despite having only limited success with the Q in the past, fully half the Jackets' selections were from there, and three of their 7 CHL players were imports:
QMJHL (6): Dumont, Labrecque, Nestrasil, Hlinka, Roussel, Berube
US (2): Lee, Schmidt
FIN (2): Manelius, Sallinen
WHL (1): Koper
AJHL (1): Olsen
Looks like I'll be streaming a lot of QMJHL games next year.