Hopefully Brock is able to play
Edit
Who is their backup to Purdy? Purdy is already QB3. Josh Johnson?
This is a game I think Seattle has to sell out to stop the run and place their CB on an island vs Ayiuk and #15. No Deebo, so that helps Seattle in the pass game. SF pass game more short routes that rely on YAC than throwing the ball 15 yards plus down the field.Yes. Hopefully Brock has the game he had on Sunday and Johnson plays the 4th quarter because the 49ers will have the division wrapped up by then.
as a bengals fan I'm all for it lol (now watch us lose to the titans in the playoffs)Using the playoff machine, 538's game predictions (based on their QB + ELO model), and a random number generator, I simmed the remainder of the season 10 times to see what the results would be. Here is the average playoff tree over 10 runs:
AFC
1. Kansas City (won #1 seed 5 out of 10 times, but never was lower than #2)
2. Buffalo (won AFC East 8/10 times, and was #1 5 times, but dropped to #3 once and all the way down to #6 once)
3. Baltimore (won AFC North 8/10 times)
4. Tennessee (won AFC South 10/10 times - only two sims were close)
5. Cincinnati (#5 seed 6/10 times and also won the north four times. Never lower than #5)
6. Miami (won AFC East 2/10 times, 5th once, 6th 3 times, 7th 3 times, and only missed once)
7. LA Chargers (#6 3 times, #7 twice, missed 5 times...which barely beats out....
ALSO QUALIFIED AT LEAST ONCE:
New England - #7 5 times, missed 5 times.
NY Jets - #6 the only time they made it.
NFC
1. Philadelphia - #1 seed and NFC North winner 9/10 times. Dallas took it once.
2. Minnesota - #2 seed 8/10 times, and #3 twice
3. San Francisco - Reverse of Minnesota. #3 8/10 times, #2 twice.
4. Carolina - Pipped Tampa Bay by winning the South 6/10 times (ahahahahahah)
5. Dallas - #5 9/10 times, top seed once.
6. Washington - #6 7/10 times, #7 seed once, missed twice
7. Seattle - #6 3/10 times, #7 five times, missed twice.
ALSO QUALIFIED AT LEAST ONCE
Tampa Bay - won NFC South 4 times
NY Giants - #7 seed twice, missed 8 times
Detroit - #7 seed twice, missed 8 times.
The model really doesn't like the either NYC team - the Giants certainly have a tough schedule coming in, but so does Washington. New England and LA Chargers is basically a dead tie for #7 after 10 runs - the only difference being the Chargers got to #6 a few times when they made it, while NE was always #7.
Yeah as a Bills fan I'd probably prefer to see New England in the first round than LA (although LA would be in for a much greater weather shock)...but I'm fine with letting you guys deal with the Chiefs in the divisional round this yearas a bengals fan I'm all for it lol (now watch us lose to the titans in the playoffs)
i would be so disappointed if tom brady misses the playoffs. by that i mean i will laugh hysterically (now watch them beat us this week)
LA...you never know what you're going to get with them but they do have a QB that can make plays. The Patriots...if you get in front of them they simply can't catch up unless you self-destruct, and while the Bills definitely have a history of doing so they own the Pats right now pending Allen's health.Yeah as a Bills fan I'd probably prefer to see New England in the first round than LA (although LA would be in for a much greater weather shock)...but I'm fine with letting you guys deal with the Chiefs in the divisional round this year
Maybe it's because i'm pessimistic as shit, but as a Miami fan "1 miss" reads more like 11 times lol.Using the playoff machine, 538's game predictions (based on their QB + ELO model), and a random number generator, I simmed the remainder of the season 10 times to see what the results would be. Here is the average playoff tree over 10 runs:
AFC
1. Kansas City (won #1 seed 5 out of 10 times, but never was lower than #2)
2. Buffalo (won AFC East 8/10 times, and was #1 5 times, but dropped to #3 once and all the way down to #6 once)
3. Baltimore (won AFC North 8/10 times)
4. Tennessee (won AFC South 10/10 times - only two sims were close)
5. Cincinnati (#5 seed 6/10 times and also won the north four times. Never lower than #5)
6. Miami (won AFC East 2/10 times, 5th once, 6th 3 times, 7th 3 times, and only missed once)
7. LA Chargers (#6 3 times, #7 twice, missed 5 times...which barely beats out....
ALSO QUALIFIED AT LEAST ONCE:
New England - #7 5 times, missed 5 times.
NY Jets - #6 the only time they made it.
NFC
1. Philadelphia - #1 seed and NFC North winner 9/10 times. Dallas took it once.
2. Minnesota - #2 seed 8/10 times, and #3 twice
3. San Francisco - Reverse of Minnesota. #3 8/10 times, #2 twice.
4. Carolina - Pipped Tampa Bay by winning the South 6/10 times (ahahahahahah)
5. Dallas - #5 9/10 times, top seed once.
6. Washington - #6 7/10 times, #7 seed once, missed twice
7. Seattle - #6 3/10 times, #7 five times, missed twice.
ALSO QUALIFIED AT LEAST ONCE
Tampa Bay - won NFC South 4 times
NY Giants - #7 seed twice, missed 8 times
Detroit - #7 seed twice, missed 8 times.
The model really doesn't like the either NYC team - the Giants certainly have a tough schedule coming in, but so does Washington. New England and LA Chargers is basically a dead tie for #7 after 10 runs - the only difference being the Chargers got to #6 a few times when they made it, while NE was always #7.
Baltimore vs Miami would come down to who can f*** up the least. Neither team can play defense particularly well unless they're facing a trash can QB, and both offenses at the moment appear to be incredibly one dimensional. Lamar absolutely torched them earlier in the year and i expect he would do so again.LA...you never know what you're going to get with them but they do have a QB that can make plays. The Patriots...if you get in front of them they simply can't catch up unless you self-destruct, and while the Bills definitely have a history of doing so they own the Pats right now pending Allen's health.
I don't think we beat KC if we face them again. They'll be out for revenge big-time, and while the Titans would also be out for revenge they're not on the same planet as KC. We'd have a good chance against them.
Baltimore v.s. Miami I don't know, there's a lot of health-related and other variables with that one as things stand today.
This is fine. Everything is fine.
'Tis a humid hellscape down here. January is our only "cool" month.Growing up in Bills territory, we used to endlessly mock any Floridians that dared venture into our neighborhood in the winter. Anyone that came for the games was a snowball target.
Then I moved to Miami, and I understood. That one year when it was 85 degrees, on Black Friday...at 2:30 in the f***ing morning? Yeah, I got it. You get used to never feeling anything even remotely cool, as the average January high is like 77 or 78 degrees. I miss Miami in January.
I always tell people it's all about your proximity to the ocean in FL, or lack thereof.'Tis a humid hellscape down here. January is our only "cool" month.
Yeah, same phenomon that makes us go out in shorts when it hits 45 for the first time in February. It's just been so cold it feels like paradise.Growing up in Bills territory, we used to endlessly mock any Floridians that dared venture into our neighborhood in the winter. Anyone that came for the games was a snowball target.
Then I moved to Miami, and I understood. That one year when it was 85 degrees, on Black Friday...at 2:30 in the f***ing morning? Yeah, I got it. You get used to never feeling anything even remotely cool, as the average January high is like 77 or 78 degrees. I miss Miami in January.
I had a friend in college from Long Beach, CA. I remember her vividly saying "I like the cold!" when I met her in August my freshman year. My response was "give it time."Yeah, same phenomon that makes us go out in shorts when it hits 45 for the first time in February. It's just been so cold it feels like paradise.
I honestly can't even manage living in the northern reaches of the midwest (talking like northern ND and MN). It's regularly like 20 degrees colder there than in the northeast. Sure they don't get as much snow but good lord.I had a friend in college from Long Beach, CA. I remember her vividly saying "I like the cold!" when I met her in August my freshman year. My response was "give it time."
In January, we had a -35 wind chill one day and she's literally crying. After comforting her (I'm not a COMPLETE asshole) she confirmed to me that she was wrong and I was right.
Prarie cold is brutal. Just brutal.I honestly can't even manage living in the northern reaches of the midwest (talking like northern ND and MN). It's regularly like 20 degrees colder there than in the northeast. Sure they don't get as much snow but good lord.
Beast Mode!Pete's in his 13th season . Man , time flies by. Was his first season that 7-9 year where they won the West and beat the Saints in the WC round?