2011 Update
Here's a complete update of the numbers through 2011.
I have made a couple of changes to the method. First, I lowered the adjustment factor slightly, to the benefit of players who were on good teams. Second, I made a change to the way I estimate and remove shorthanded goals from the numbers, using actual SHP, which hurts a few players who scored a lot of SHP.
Top 50
Player | SFrac | $ESGF/G | $ESGA/G | R-ON | R-OFF | XEV+/- | EV+/- | AEV+/- | /Season
Ray Bourque | 20.3 | 1.16 | 0.85 | 1.37 | 0.95 | -54 | 523 | 577 | 28
Bobby Orr | 7.7 | 1.81 | 0.84 | 2.15 | 1.09 | 47 | 610 | 562 | 73
Jaromir Jagr | 15.9 | 1.25 | 0.91 | 1.37 | 0.95 | -49 | 444 | 493 | 31
Larry Robinson | 17.3 | 1.31 | 0.82 | 1.60 | 1.34 | 285 | 696 | 411 | 24
Al MacInnis | 17.7 | 1.10 | 0.78 | 1.41 | 1.12 | 98 | 467 | 369 | 21
Mark Howe | 11.7 | 1.11 | 0.75 | 1.48 | 0.97 | -20 | 347 | 367 | 31
Eric Lindros | 9.6 | 1.24 | 0.82 | 1.52 | 0.95 | -29 | 334 | 363 | 38
Bobby Clarke | 14.5 | 0.87 | 0.48 | 1.79 | 1.20 | 93 | 454 | 361 | 25
Teemu Selanne | 15.7 | 0.97 | 0.79 | 1.23 | 0.85 | -121 | 237 | 357 | 23
Nicklas Lidstrom | 18.6 | 1.18 | 0.84 | 1.40 | 1.18 | 164 | 517 | 353 | 19
Borje Salming | 14.4 | 1.17 | 1.02 | 1.14 | 0.82 | -169 | 172 | 340 | 24
Wayne Gretzky | 18.8 | 1.38 | 1.12 | 1.23 | 1.05 | 64 | 404 | 339 | 18
Dave Taylor | 13.8 | 0.88 | 0.67 | 1.31 | 0.84 | -99 | 234 | 333 | 24
Peter Forsberg | 9.0 | 1.12 | 0.66 | 1.69 | 1.09 | 37 | 340 | 303 | 34
Guy Lafleur | 14.1 | 1.06 | 0.64 | 1.67 | 1.35 | 193 | 492 | 299 | 21
Mike Bossy | 9.4 | 1.08 | 0.60 | 1.79 | 1.18 | 69 | 365 | 297 | 32
Bryan Trottier | 16.0 | 0.93 | 0.63 | 1.49 | 1.17 | 104 | 400 | 296 | 19
John Leclair | 12.2 | 1.01 | 0.68 | 1.49 | 1.07 | 38 | 333 | 295 | 24
Marcel Dionne | 16.9 | 0.92 | 0.84 | 1.09 | 0.81 | -171 | 110 | 281 | 17
Larry Murphy | 20.3 | 1.06 | 0.88 | 1.20 | 1.02 | 20 | 298 | 278 | 14
Denis Potvin | 13.3 | 1.18 | 0.79 | 1.49 | 1.23 | 145 | 420 | 275 | 21
Mario Lemieux | 11.3 | 1.26 | 1.07 | 1.18 | 0.87 | -96 | 176 | 273 | 24
Ron Francis | 21.7 | 0.88 | 0.80 | 1.11 | 0.90 | -106 | 157 | 263 | 12
Brad Park | 14.1 | 1.21 | 0.86 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 144 | 400 | 256 | 18
Brad McCrimmon | 15.4 | 0.94 | 0.65 | 1.44 | 1.18 | 107 | 362 | 255 | 17
Joe Thornton | 12.1 | 0.99 | 0.75 | 1.32 | 0.97 | -18 | 237 | 255 | 21
Scott Stevens | 20.5 | 1.13 | 0.86 | 1.31 | 1.19 | 188 | 443 | 255 | 12
Brian Rafalski | 10.2 | 1.10 | 0.78 | 1.41 | 1.05 | 27 | 266 | 239 | 24
Steve Shutt | 11.7 | 0.94 | 0.52 | 1.81 | 1.45 | 168 | 404 | 235 | 20
Steve Larmer | 12.9 | 0.83 | 0.64 | 1.30 | 0.94 | -29 | 202 | 231 | 18
Patrik Elias | 11.7 | 0.87 | 0.59 | 1.47 | 1.09 | 37 | 267 | 229 | 20
Sergei Fedorov | 15.6 | 0.91 | 0.68 | 1.33 | 1.09 | 59 | 287 | 227 | 15
Brian Propp | 12.7 | 0.84 | 0.57 | 1.47 | 1.12 | 56 | 277 | 222 | 18
Zigmund Palffy | 8.6 | 0.99 | 0.81 | 1.23 | 0.80 | -91 | 131 | 221 | 26
Alex Tanguay | 10.0 | 1.02 | 0.72 | 1.41 | 1.06 | 25 | 244 | 219 | 22
Chris Pronger | 14.4 | 1.01 | 0.83 | 1.22 | 0.99 | -6 | 213 | 219 | 15
Jean Ratelle | 13.0 | 0.98 | 0.65 | 1.51 | 1.27 | 135 | 353 | 218 | 17
Craig Ramsay | 13.4 | 0.72 | 0.48 | 1.50 | 1.12 | 47 | 264 | 217 | 16
Charlie Simmer | 8.9 | 0.82 | 0.62 | 1.33 | 0.83 | -64 | 147 | 211 | 24
Alex Ovechkin | 5.8 | 1.22 | 0.85 | 1.44 | 0.90 | -32 | 176 | 208 | 36
Pavel Datsyuk | 8.1 | 1.01 | 0.64 | 1.58 | 1.12 | 40 | 247 | 207 | 26
Gary Roberts | 15.1 | 0.87 | 0.65 | 1.33 | 1.10 | 60 | 266 | 207 | 14
Milan Hejduk | 11.1 | 0.96 | 0.72 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 13 | 217 | 204 | 18
Keith Tkachuk | 15.0 | 0.92 | 0.83 | 1.10 | 0.87 | -101 | 103 | 203 | 14
Pierre Turgeon | 16.3 | 0.89 | 0.72 | 1.24 | 1.04 | 25 | 228 | 203 | 12
Jere Lehtinen | 10.7 | 0.78 | 0.52 | 1.49 | 1.07 | 26 | 226 | 200 | 19
Henrik Sedin | 9.9 | 0.85 | 0.58 | 1.46 | 1.05 | 19 | 219 | 200 | 20
Luc Robitaille | 17.9 | 0.94 | 0.80 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 3 | 202 | 199 | 11
Chris Chelios | 20.7 | 0.99 | 0.77 | 1.27 | 1.18 | 162 | 359 | 196 | 10
Daniel Sedin | 9.6 | 0.82 | 0.55 | 1.49 | 1.04 | 15 | 210 | 195 | 20
Other players of interest
Player | SFrac | $ESGF/G | $ESGA/G | R-ON | R-OFF | XEV+/- | EV+/- | AEV+/- | /Season
Joe Sakic | 17.3 | 1.00 | 0.88 | 1.14 | 1.01 | 9 | 173 | 164 | 10
Cam Neely | 9.4 | 0.90 | 0.73 | 1.23 | 0.93 | -30 | 130 | 160 | 17
Sidney Crosby | 5.0 | 1.18 | 0.88 | 1.34 | 0.89 | -32 | 122 | 154 | 31
Brendan Shanahan | 19.0 | 0.84 | 0.70 | 1.21 | 1.10 | 72 | 224 | 152 | 8
Doug Gilmour | 18.5 | 0.85 | 0.75 | 1.13 | 1.00 | 0 | 151 | 151 | 8
Paul Coffey | 17.8 | 1.29 | 1.04 | 1.23 | 1.21 | 206 | 357 | 151 | 8
Stan Mikita | 10.8 | 0.89 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.12 | 51 | 198 | 147 | 14
Frank Mahovlich | 6.6 | 1.10 | 0.74 | 1.49 | 1.19 | 56 | 198 | 142 | 21
Yvan Cournoyer | 9.9 | 0.98 | 0.60 | 1.63 | 1.50 | 168 | 308 | 140 | 14
Steve Yzerman | 19.0 | 0.98 | 0.84 | 1.17 | 1.10 | 88 | 225 | 136 | 7
Jacques Laperriere | 5.7 | 1.45 | 0.95 | 1.53 | 1.31 | 97 | 233 | 136 | 24
Gordie Howe | 4.8 | 1.01 | 0.74 | 1.37 | 0.90 | -24 | 106 | 131 | 27
Jari Kurri | 15.8 | 0.98 | 0.81 | 1.21 | 1.13 | 92 | 221 | 129 | 8
Denis Savard | 15.2 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 1.13 | 0.99 | -4 | 117 | 121 | 8
Rod Langway | 12.4 | 0.91 | 0.70 | 1.29 | 1.20 | 95 | 210 | 115 | 9
Bill Barber | 11.3 | 0.83 | 0.53 | 1.57 | 1.50 | 164 | 278 | 114 | 10
Scott Niedermayer | 15.8 | 1.04 | 0.83 | 1.25 | 1.22 | 155 | 265 | 110 | 7
Serge Savard | 13.2 | 1.28 | 0.89 | 1.44 | 1.52 | 318 | 425 | 107 | 8
Brian Leetch | 15.2 | 1.14 | 1.07 | 1.06 | 0.97 | -24 | 76 | 101 | 7
Igor Larionov | 11.6 | 0.73 | 0.61 | 1.20 | 1.06 | 22 | 118 | 96 | 8
Phil Esposito | 13.4 | 1.15 | 0.91 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 162 | 253 | 91 | 7
Alex Delvecchio | 6.0 | 0.96 | 0.83 | 1.16 | 0.93 | -21 | 65 | 86 | 14
Pat Lafontaine | 10.9 | 0.91 | 0.85 | 1.07 | 0.95 | -27 | 55 | 82 | 8
Sergei Makarov | 5.6 | 0.93 | 0.74 | 1.26 | 1.04 | 11 | 87 | 76 | 14
Vyacheslav Fetisov | 6.8 | 0.91 | 0.69 | 1.33 | 1.21 | 57 | 128 | 71 | 10
Norm Ullman | 7.7 | 0.93 | 0.82 | 1.13 | 1.01 | 3 | 68 | 66 | 9
Henri Richard | 6.4 | 0.89 | 0.62 | 1.43 | 1.35 | 78 | 141 | 63 | 10
Mark Recchi | 20.6 | 0.89 | 0.84 | 1.06 | 1.03 | 24 | 87 | 63 | 3
Tim Horton | 6.0 | 1.18 | 1.02 | 1.15 | 1.04 | 15 | 78 | 63 | 10
J.C. Tremblay | 4.7 | 1.32 | 0.96 | 1.37 | 1.33 | 82 | 138 | 57 | 12
Jean Beliveau | 3.4 | 0.96 | 0.65 | 1.48 | 1.29 | 38 | 88 | 50 | 15
Dale Hawerchuk | 14.9 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 1.00 | 0.93 | -50 | -2 | 49 | 3
Darryl Sittler | 13.8 | 0.89 | 0.82 | 1.08 | 1.04 | 27 | 75 | 48 | 3
John Bucyk | 10.1 | 0.87 | 0.64 | 1.37 | 1.47 | 157 | 196 | 39 | 4
Guy Lapointe | 11.1 | 1.23 | 0.87 | 1.41 | 1.66 | 313 | 324 | 11 | 1
Brett Hull | 16.0 | 0.95 | 0.87 | 1.09 | 1.14 | 99 | 106 | 7 | 0
Gilbert Perreault | 15.0 | 0.91 | 0.84 | 1.08 | 1.12 | 83 | 85 | 3 | 0
Mark Messier | 22.1 | 0.89 | 0.82 | 1.08 | 1.14 | 127 | 118 | -10 | 0
Dave Keon | 10.6 | 0.69 | 0.71 | 0.97 | 1.01 | 4 | -16 | -20 | -2
Vaclav Nedomansky | 5.3 | 0.46 | 0.62 | 0.75 | 0.81 | -32 | -66 | -34 | -6
Bob Gainey | 14.5 | 0.62 | 0.50 | 1.23 | 1.51 | 177 | 136 | -41 | -3