A team that relies on Anders Lee and Josh Bailey as Tavares’s best set of wingers to date is a joke - it’s an embarrassment with a 5.5M Tavares and before that an ELC Tavares. Neither are as good as Schwartz. If we’re going to be ridiculous about it, Tavares>>>Schenn, and Schwartz looks better than both Lee and Bailey with an inferior center. Yes, Bailey and Lee are products of John Tavares. If Tavares wants to win, he will need to leave.
Again, does anyone actually think NYI has the money to bring in a good goalie, let alone better wingers? The best they’ve been able bring in during the entirety of Tavares’s “bridge” deal was Okposo (gone), Eberle (playing with Barzal), and Ladd (soon to be LTIRetired). They have very few trade chips, anchor contracts in Ladd and Boychuk, and they don’t play to the cap, which is rising significantly. Then they have to pay Tavares x2 as much as he makes now while waiting on a stadium for three years. Where is the cash and assets to acquire a top-6 winger or two, a good goalie, and pay the bills? They certainly aren’t going to be able to for the first three years of Tavares’s new contract - not while having to wait to get out of the money pit that is Barclay’s. Even when they move to a new stadium, there’s no guarantee they will suddenly start turning a profit - even when not playing to the cap.
Sure they might be a playoff team if they can address the goalie situation, but even then they aren’t close to a contender - and that’s IF they can address the goalie situation. Even after adding a 1G, they are still missing 2 top-4 D (one of which is a 1D), and 1 or 2 top-6 wingers. They just don’t have the money or assets to do that, let alone during the first half of Tavares’s new contract. What FA is going to want to play in Barclay’s for 3 more years to eventually be on a “contender” with a 30 year old Tavares? If Tavares wants to win, he’ll have to go elsewhere.
There are multiple other teams with a brighter future, brighter present, and better financial situation. The only reason Tavares stays is if his loyalty to the team is bigger than any desire he has to win. The money isn’t an object at this point because other teams could match what NYI could offer him. The question then becomes about talent, and affording that additional talent, and NYI doesn’t have it.
I’m not saying he’s leaving, but I am saying the only reason he might stay is loyalty - and I wouldn’t bet on loyalty running that deep twice (he took a huge discount last-time, and they’ve been to the 1st round once, I believe). Is John Tavares going to base his future on something so abstract? Acting like it’s a foregone conclusion that he’s not leaving, even after the stadium deal, seems like a prime candidate for a “well, of course he left” situation in a year’s time. The evidence just points overwhelmingly against it.