Everyone is writing us off again, but the pesky Sens have a good chance to win this series. There's no debating that the Penguins were the better team during the regular season, but things have looked different in the Playoffs. As a team, the Senators have played at least as well as the Penguins - and I would argue that Ottawa had the tougher first round opponent.
Similar to how things looked at the beginning of the Montreal series, none of Ottawa's forwards have compared to Pittsburgh's best - and the Penguins have more in terms of both quality and quantity than the Habs do. Pascal Dupuis, Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, Tyler Kennedy, and Jarome Iginla have been absolutely phenomenal, and will be giving us nightmares. However, at least 10 of Ottawa's forwards (I'm excluding Colin Greening, Matt Kassian, and Zack Smith) have played better than all of the other Pittsburgh forwards. I have a feeling that Kyle Turris is going to step up in a huge way during this series.
It's a similar story on defense - the Senators spreading out the success - however we hold the two strongest cards thus far in Erik Karlsson and Marc Methot. Karlsson has been amazing and yet was definitely not at 100%. Methot was even more of a stable force during Round 1 than he was during the regular season, and I believe he can be nearly as effective at shutting down Pittsburgh's big guns as he was the entire Montreal team. Brooks Orpik, Paul Martin, Kris Letang, and Douglas Murray are going to form a challenging top-four pair however, and they are all considerably capable and experienced defensemen. But I see them having quite a bit of trouble with a healthier Erik Karlsson.
Ottawa, possibly more than any other Eastern Conference team, is playing like a team. Teams tend to win Stanley Cups more often than star players do, and Pittsburgh had been eliminated by that kind of play in their previous two Round 1 series - against Philadelphia in 2012 and against Tampa Bay in 2011.
Additionally, it looks as if Jussi Jokinen will continue to sit in favor of Joe Vitale. While I do think Vitale looked good in his two playoff games, I think he was one of their worst players during the regular season. I'm not complaining if Jokinen doesn't lace up. I think that dressing Guillaume Latendresse to begin this series would be a smart decision, and I actually thought he looked good in our first two games. I don't think Matt Kassian should be out there. Either way, Latendresse should be in... maybe in favor of Greening if Kassian is, for some reason, a must.
Sens in 7