Riggins
Registered User
I did some number crunching and came up with what the draft order would look like if they averaged the point totals over the last 3 or 4 seasons. For the lottery to move up to #1, my formula is that the top team gets 30 chances and the bottom team gets 1 (30+29+28…+3+2+1 = 465). So I also included the % chance of the team moving up to 1st overall.
Four year average
1. Columbus (259) – 6.45%
2. Atlanta (266) – 6.24%
3. Florida (271) – 6.02%
4. Pittsburgh (288) – 5.81%
5. New York Rangers (299) – 5.59%
6. Chicago (305) – 5.38%
7. Anaheim (306) – 5.16%
8. Nashville (314) – 4.95%
9. Carolina (316) – 4.73%
10. Minnesota (319) – 4.52%
11. Calgary (321) – 4.30%
12. New York Islanders (322) – 4.09%
13. Montreal (327) – 3.87%
14. Tampa Bay (329) – 3.66%
15. Phoenix (331) – 3.44%
16. Washington (332) – 3.23%
17. Buffalo (337) – 3.01%
18. Los Angeles (346) – 2.80%
19. Edmonton (366) – 2.58%
20. San Jose (371) – 2.37%
21. Boston (380) – 2.15%
22. Vancouver (389) – 1.94%
23. St. Louis (391 – 166 wins) – 1.72%
24. Toronto (391 – 169) – 1.51%
25. Dallas (404) – 1.29%
26. Philadelphia (405) – 1.08%
27. New Jersey (414) – 0.86%
28. Ottawa (420) – 0.65%
29. Colorado (422) – 0.43%
30. Detroit (446) – 0.22%
Three year average
1. Columbus (188)
2. Pittsburgh (192)
3. Florida (205)
4. Atlanta (206)
5. New York Rangers (227)
6. Carolina (228)
7. Chicago (234 – 91 wins)
8. Nashville (234 – 93)
9. Washington (236)
10. Buffalo (239)
11. Anaheim (240)
12. Phoenix (241)
13. Calgary (248)
14. Minnesota (251)
15. Los Angeles (254)
16. Montreal (257)
17. Tampa Bay (270 – 110 wins)
18. New York Islanders (270 – 115)
19. Edmonton (273)
20. San Jose (276)
21. St. Louis (288)
22. Boston (292)
23. Dallas (298)
24. Vancouver (299)
25. Toronto (301)
26. New Jersey (303)
27. Colorado (304)
28. Philadelphia (305)
29. Ottawa (311)
30. Detroit (335)
What do you think of this way of going about it?
Four year average
1. Columbus (259) – 6.45%
2. Atlanta (266) – 6.24%
3. Florida (271) – 6.02%
4. Pittsburgh (288) – 5.81%
5. New York Rangers (299) – 5.59%
6. Chicago (305) – 5.38%
7. Anaheim (306) – 5.16%
8. Nashville (314) – 4.95%
9. Carolina (316) – 4.73%
10. Minnesota (319) – 4.52%
11. Calgary (321) – 4.30%
12. New York Islanders (322) – 4.09%
13. Montreal (327) – 3.87%
14. Tampa Bay (329) – 3.66%
15. Phoenix (331) – 3.44%
16. Washington (332) – 3.23%
17. Buffalo (337) – 3.01%
18. Los Angeles (346) – 2.80%
19. Edmonton (366) – 2.58%
20. San Jose (371) – 2.37%
21. Boston (380) – 2.15%
22. Vancouver (389) – 1.94%
23. St. Louis (391 – 166 wins) – 1.72%
24. Toronto (391 – 169) – 1.51%
25. Dallas (404) – 1.29%
26. Philadelphia (405) – 1.08%
27. New Jersey (414) – 0.86%
28. Ottawa (420) – 0.65%
29. Colorado (422) – 0.43%
30. Detroit (446) – 0.22%
Three year average
1. Columbus (188)
2. Pittsburgh (192)
3. Florida (205)
4. Atlanta (206)
5. New York Rangers (227)
6. Carolina (228)
7. Chicago (234 – 91 wins)
8. Nashville (234 – 93)
9. Washington (236)
10. Buffalo (239)
11. Anaheim (240)
12. Phoenix (241)
13. Calgary (248)
14. Minnesota (251)
15. Los Angeles (254)
16. Montreal (257)
17. Tampa Bay (270 – 110 wins)
18. New York Islanders (270 – 115)
19. Edmonton (273)
20. San Jose (276)
21. St. Louis (288)
22. Boston (292)
23. Dallas (298)
24. Vancouver (299)
25. Toronto (301)
26. New Jersey (303)
27. Colorado (304)
28. Philadelphia (305)
29. Ottawa (311)
30. Detroit (335)
What do you think of this way of going about it?