Playoff Error Rate vs. Expectation - O6-era goalies

Black Gold Extractor · Mar 15, 2017

I've started compiling data for error rate vs. expectation for goalies in the O6 era (as well as shot and shooting percentage data for teams in the regular season) from HSP. Please let me know if I'm doing something wrong (or if I'm presenting the data poorly). Here are 52-53 through 54-55 for now.

1953

1953	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
DET	2215	222	10.02%	Sawchuk	160	139	0.869	0.913	150.25%						150.25%
MTL	2038	155	7.61%	McNeil	136	125	0.919	0.918	98.69%	61	58	0.951	0.913	56.30%	84.98%
				Plante	57	56	0.982	0.918	21.41%	49	43	0.878	0.913	140.17%	78.19%
BOS	1740	152	8.74%	J. Henry	251	230	0.916	0.900	83.48%	80	75	0.938	0.924	82.18%	83.22%
				G. Henry						82	71	0.866	0.924	176.38%	176.38%
CBH	2062	169	8.20%	Rollins	200	186	0.930	0.924	92.04%						92.04%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
DET	2215	222	10.02%	Sawchuk	66	57	0.864	0.913	156.10%						156.10%
MTL	2038	155	7.61%	McNeil	92	84	0.913	0.918	106.10%	21	21	1.000	0.913	0.00%	85.34%
				Plante	34	33	0.971	0.918	35.89%	49	43	0.878	0.913	140.17%	99.05%
BOS	1740	152	8.74%	J. Henry	128	123	0.961	0.900	38.97%				0.924		38.97%
				G. Henry						59	49	0.831	0.924	222.85%	222.85%
CBH	2062	169	8.20%	Rollins	92	87	0.946	0.924	71.46%						71.46%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
DET	2215	222	10.02%	Sawchuk	94	82	0.872	0.913	146.14%						146.14%
MTL	2038	155	7.61%	McNeil	44	41	0.932	0.918	83.19%	40	37	0.925	0.913	85.86%	84.50%
				Plante	23	23	1.000	0.918	0.00%	0	0		0.913		0.00%
BOS	1740	152	8.74%	J. Henry	123	107	0.870	0.900	129.79%	80	75	0.938	0.924	82.18%	114.06%
				G. Henry						23	22	0.957	0.924	57.17%	57.17%
CBH	2062	169	8.20%	Rollins	108	99	0.917	0.924	109.57%						109.57%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

1954

1954	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
DET	2114	191	9.04%	Sawchuk	159	151	0.950	0.928	69.68%	175	163	0.931	0.914	80.18%	75.62%
MTL	2280	195	8.55%	Plante	89	85	0.955	0.909	49.39%	120	109	0.908	0.910	101.46%	79.19%
				McNeil						89	86	0.966	0.910	37.31%	37.31%
TOR	2105	152	7.22%	Lumley	160	145	0.906	0.910	103.76%						103.76%
BOS	1945	177	9.10%	Henry	149	133	0.893	0.914	125.55%						125.55%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
DET	2114	191	9.04%	Sawchuk	103	97	0.942	0.928	80.67%	92	86	0.935	0.914	76.25%	78.40%
MTL	2280	195	8.55%	Plante	42	41	0.976	0.909	26.16%	66	59	0.894	0.910	117.39%	81.76%
				McNeil						34	33	0.971	0.910	32.55%	32.55%
TOR	2105	152	7.22%	Lumley	57	52	0.912	0.910	97.09%						97.09%
BOS	1945	177	9.10%	Henry	76	70	0.921	0.914	92.31%						92.31%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
DET	2114	191	9.04%	Sawchuk	56	54	0.964	0.928	49.46%	83	77	0.928	0.914	84.52%	71.80%
MTL	2280	195	8.55%	Plante	47	44	0.936	0.909	70.14%	54	50	0.926	0.910	81.99%	76.45%
				McNeil						55	53	0.964	0.910	40.25%	40.25%
TOR	2105	152	7.22%	Lumley	103	93	0.903	0.910	107.46%						107.46%
BOS	1945	177	9.10%	Henry	73	63	0.863	0.914	160.17%						160.17%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

1955

1955 RS SOG RS G RS S% Goalie Rnd 1 SA Rnd 1 SV Rnd 1 SV% Rnd 1 ESV% Err. v. Exp. Rnd 2 SA Rnd 2 SV Rnd 2 SV% Rnd 2 ESV% Err. v. Exp. Total Err. v. Exp.
DET 2426 204 8.41% Sawchuk 123 117 0.951 0.932 71.78% 187 167 0.893 0.889 96.40% 89.33%
MTL 2055 228 11.09% Plante 79 72 0.911 0.913 101.87% 259 235 0.907 0.916 110.20% 108.20%
Hodge 35 33 0.943 0.913 65.70% 10 7 0.700 0.916 356.76% 128.70%
TOR 2163 147 6.80% Lumley 137 123 0.898 0.916 121.53% 121.53%
BOS 1943 169 8.70% Henry 72 64 0.889 0.889 100.15% 100.15%
Henderson 53 45 0.849 0.889 136.05% 136.05%
[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home RS SOG RS G RS S% Goalie Rnd 1 SA Rnd 1 SV Rnd 1 SV% Rnd 1 ESV% Err. v. Exp. Rnd 2 SA Rnd 2 SV Rnd 2 SV% Rnd 2 ESV% Err. v. Exp. Total Err. v. Exp.
DET 2426 204 8.41% Sawchuk 66 61 0.924 0.932 111.47% 92 87 0.946 0.889 48.98% 68.06%
MTL 2055 228 11.09% Plante 37 35 0.946 0.913 62.15% 115 107 0.930 0.916 82.73% 77.59%
Hodge 19 19 1.000 0.913 0.00% 0.916 0.00%
TOR 2163 147 6.80% Lumley 67 62 0.925 0.916 88.75% 88.75%
BOS 1943 169 8.70% Henry 47 41 0.872 0.889 115.06% 115.06%
Henderson 0.889
[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away RS SOG RS G RS S% Goalie Rnd 1 SA Rnd 1 SV Rnd 1 SV% Rnd 1 ESV% Err. v. Exp. Rnd 2 SA Rnd 2 SV Rnd 2 SV% Rnd 2 ESV% Err. v. Exp. Total Err. v. Exp.
DET 2426 204 8.41% Sawchuk 57 56 0.982 0.932 25.81% 95 80 0.842 0.889 142.31% 111.00%
MTL 2055 228 11.09% Plante 42 37 0.881 0.913 136.87% 144 128 0.889 0.916 132.14% 133.23%
Hodge 16 14 0.875 0.913 143.71% 10 7 0.700 0.916 356.76% 223.96%
TOR 2163 147 6.80% Lumley 70 61 0.871 0.916 152.90% 152.90%
BOS 1943 169 8.70% Henry 25 23 0.920 0.889 72.11% 72.11%
Henderson 53 45 0.849 0.889 136.05% 136.05%
[TBODY] [/TBODY]

quoipourquoi · Mar 15, 2017

You're saving me a lot of time. Keep going!!! :laugh:

Black Gold Extractor · Mar 16, 2017

quoipourquoi said:
You're saving me a lot of time. Keep going!!!

That's the point. I assume you're kind of busy with some kind of top playoff performer project or something.

Anyhow, here's 1955-56 through 1957-58:

1956

1956	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2241	222	9.91%	Plante	109	100	0.917	0.888	73.58%	124	115	0.927	0.922	93.05%	82.18%
DET	2346	183	7.80%	Hall	147	137	0.932	0.929	95.55%	158	140	0.886	0.901	115.00%	107.21%
NYR	1818	204	11.22%	Worsley	135	118	0.874	0.901	127.12%						127.12%
				Bell	36	29	0.806	0.901	196.28%						196.28%
TOR	2149	153	7.12%	Lumley	180	166	0.922	0.922	99.71%						99.71%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2241	222	9.91%	Plante	78	73	0.936	0.888	57.13%	75	69	0.920	0.922	102.56%	75.33%
DET	2346	183	7.80%	Hall	72	68	0.944	0.929	78.03%	51	47	0.922	0.901	79.17%	78.60%
NYR	1818	204	11.22%	Worsley	57	49	0.860	0.901	141.68%						141.68%
				Bell
TOR	2149	153	7.12%	Lumley	71	66	0.930	0.922	90.28%						90.28%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2241	222	9.91%	Plante	31	27	0.871	0.888	114.99%	49	46	0.939	0.922	78.49%	95.88%
DET	2346	183	7.80%	Hall	75	69	0.920	0.929	112.37%	107	93	0.869	0.901	132.08%	125.48%
NYR	1818	204	11.22%	Worsley	78	69	0.885	0.901	116.48%						116.48%
				Bell	36	29	0.806	0.901	196.28%						196.28%
TOR	2149	153	7.12%	Lumley	109	100	0.917	0.922	105.85%						105.85%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

1957

1957	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
DET	2129	198	9.30%	Hall	129	114	0.884	0.908	126.30%						126.30%
MTL	2253	210	9.32%	Plante	138	126	0.913	0.902	89.13%	130	124	0.954	0.908	50.13%	70.78%
BOS	2118	195	9.21%	Simmons	126	112	0.889	0.907	119.47%	142	127	0.894	0.907	113.33%	116.21%
NYR	1886	184	9.76%	Worsley	197	175	0.888	0.907	119.81%						119.81%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
DET	2129	198	9.30%	Hall	76	67	0.882	0.908	128.62%						128.62%
MTL	2253	210	9.32%	Plante	74	67	0.905	0.902	96.96%	74	72	0.973	0.908	29.36%	64.14%
BOS	2118	195	9.21%	Simmons	47	44	0.936	0.907	68.63%	46	42	0.913	0.907	93.29%	80.84%
NYR	1886	184	9.76%	Worsley	75	68	0.907	0.907	100.13%						100.13%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
DET	2129	198	9.30%	Hall	53	47	0.887	0.908	122.96%						122.96%
MTL	2253	210	9.32%	Plante	64	59	0.922	0.902	80.08%	56	52	0.929	0.908	77.58%	78.95%
BOS	2118	195	9.21%	Simmons	79	68	0.861	0.907	149.72%	96	85	0.885	0.907	122.93%	135.01%
NYR	1886	184	9.76%	Worsley	122	107	0.877	0.907	131.91%						131.91%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

1958

1958	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2429	250	10.29%	Plante	136	130	0.956	0.919	54.32%	183	169	0.923	0.911	86.34%	73.37%
NYR	2007	195	9.72%	Worsley	218	190	0.872	0.911	144.96%						144.96%
DET	2167	176	8.12%	Sawchuk	137	118	0.861	0.897	134.75%						134.75%
BOS	2246	199	8.86%	Lumley	30	25	0.833	0.903	171.54%						171.54%
				Simmons	148	137	0.926	0.903	76.50%	225	209	0.929	0.897	69.09%	71.93%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2429	250	10.29%	Plante	66	64	0.970	0.919	37.31%	101	93	0.921	0.911	89.40%	69.89%
NYR	2007	195	9.72%	Worsley	54	47	0.870	0.911	146.31%						146.31%
DET	2167	176	8.12%	Sawchuk	62	56	0.903	0.897	94.03%						94.03%
BOS	2246	199	8.86%	Lumley				0.903
				Simmons	118	110	0.932	0.903	69.78%	100	91	0.910	0.897	87.44%	78.14%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2429	250	10.29%	Plante	70	66	0.943	0.919	70.36%	82	76	0.927	0.911	82.58%	77.22%
NYR	2007	195	9.72%	Worsley	164	143	0.872	0.911	144.52%						144.52%
DET	2167	176	8.12%	Sawchuk	75	62	0.827	0.897	168.41%						168.41%
BOS	2246	199	8.86%	Lumley	30	25	0.833	0.903	171.54%
				Simmons	30	27	0.900	0.903	102.92%	125	118	0.944	0.897	54.41%	63.37%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Canadiens1958 · Mar 17, 2017

Home and Away

Home and away would be interesting but not critical since match-ups and rink size were factors.

Black Gold Extractor · Mar 17, 2017

Canadiens1958 said:
Home and away would be interesting but not critical since match-ups and rink size were factors.

I've edited my two posts above to add home and away breakdowns. Cheers!

blogofmike · Mar 17, 2017

Very nice BGE.

'Tis a shame about the 1953 cutoff in HSP. I imagine Sawchuk's .971 in the first and .981 in Finals would look golden.

Canadiens1958 · Mar 18, 2017

Good Work

Good work, well formated. Starting to see research avenues for certain questions namely about the 1957-1959 almost going to three SC finals, one game seven win short. Keep the data coming.

Black Gold Extractor · Mar 18, 2017

Thanks, guys!

Here's 1959 to 1961:

1959

Total	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2405	258	10.73%	Plante	155	139	0.897	0.902	105.43%	151	139	0.921	0.906	84.64%	95.39%
BOS	2095	205	9.79%	Lumley	229	209	0.913	0.906	93.02%						93.02%
CBH	2012	197	9.79%	Hall	230	209	0.909	0.893	85.11%						85.11%
TOR	2013	189	9.39%	Bower	226	205	0.907	0.902	94.96%	187	169	0.904	0.893	89.73%	92.47%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2405	258	10.73%	Plante	67	62	0.925	0.902	76.22%	93	86	0.925	0.906	80.17%	78.47%
BOS	2095	205	9.79%	Lumley	126	116	0.921	0.906	84.53%						84.53%
CBH	2012	197	9.79%	Hall	109	101	0.927	0.893	68.42%						68.42%
TOR	2013	189	9.39%	Bower	111	102	0.919	0.902	82.86%	65	60	0.923	0.893	71.71%	78.50%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2405	258	10.73%	Plante	88	77	0.875	0.902	127.66%	58	53	0.914	0.906	91.82%	113.78%
BOS	2095	205	9.79%	Lumley	103	93	0.903	0.906	103.41%						103.41%
CBH	2012	197	9.79%	Hall	121	108	0.893	0.893	100.15%						100.15%
TOR	2013	189	9.39%	Bower	115	103	0.896	0.902	106.64%	122	109	0.893	0.893	99.33%	102.71%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

1960

Total	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2484	255	10.27%	Plante	102	96	0.941	0.910	65.48%	120	115	0.958	0.907	44.68%	54.04%
TOR	2134	199	9.33%	Bower	227	211	0.930	0.919	87.35%	142	127	0.894	0.897	102.90%	94.24%
CBH	2126	191	8.98%	Hall	130	116	0.892	0.897	104.90%						104.90%
DET	2305	186	8.07%	Sawchuk	189	169	0.894	0.907	113.48%						113.48%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2484	255	10.27%	Plante	54	48	0.889	0.910	123.68%	56	53	0.946	0.907	57.45%	89.34%
TOR	2134	199	9.33%	Bower	99	91	0.919	0.919	100.14%	64	55	0.859	0.897	136.99%	116.77%
CBH	2126	191	8.98%	Hall	58	52	0.897	0.897	100.77%						100.77%
DET	2305	186	8.07%	Sawchuk	107	97	0.907	0.907	100.22%						100.22%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2484	255	10.27%	Plante	48	48	1.000	0.910	0.00%	64	62	0.969	0.907	33.51%	19.45%
TOR	2134	199	9.33%	Bower	128	120	0.938	0.919	77.45%	78	72	0.923	0.897	74.93%	76.35%
CBH	2126	191	8.98%	Hall	72	64	0.889	0.897	108.24%						108.24%
DET	2305	186	8.07%	Sawchuk	82	72	0.878	0.907	130.78%						130.78%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

1961

Total	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2476	254	10.26%	Plante	178	162	0.910	0.910	99.74%						99.74%
TOR	2208	234	10.60%	Maniago	63	57	0.905	0.918	116.34%						116.34%
				Bower	101	92	0.911	0.918	108.85%						108.85%
CBH	2197	198	9.01%	Hall	225	210	0.933	0.897	64.99%	199	187	0.940	0.918	73.66%	68.58%
DET	2382	195	8.19%	Sawchuk	145	137	0.945	0.894	52.06%	82	72	0.878	0.910	135.32%	79.10%
				Bassen						111	102	0.919	0.910	89.97%	89.97%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2476	254	10.26%	Plante	85	76	0.894	0.910	117.49%						117.49%
TOR	2208	234	10.60%	Maniago	63	57	0.905	0.918	116.34%						116.34%
				Bower	33	30	0.909	0.918	111.05%						111.05%
CBH	2197	198	9.01%	Hall	138	132	0.957	0.897	42.38%	109	103	0.945	0.918	67.24%	51.99%
DET	2382	195	8.19%	Sawchuk	62	61	0.984	0.894	15.22%	27	26	0.963	0.910	41.10%	22.21%
				Bassen						52	46	0.885	0.910	128.03%	128.03%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2476	254	10.26%	Plante	93	86	0.925	0.910	83.52%						83.52%
TOR	2208	234	10.60%	Maniago				0.918
				Bower	68	62	0.912	0.918	107.78%						107.78%
CBH	2197	198	9.01%	Hall	87	78	0.897	0.897	100.84%	90	84	0.933	0.918	81.44%	92.07%
DET	2382	195	8.19%	Sawchuk	83	76	0.916	0.894	79.58%	55	46	0.836	0.910	181.57%	116.34%
				Bassen						59	56	0.949	0.910	56.42%	56.42%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Black Gold Extractor · Mar 19, 2017

1962

Total	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2395	259	10.81%	Plante	195	176	0.903	0.899	96.94%						96.94%
TOR	2256	232	10.28%	Bower	195	180	0.923	0.903	79.49%	105	98	0.933	0.899	66.33%	74.77%
				Simmons						72	64	0.889	0.899	110.55%	110.55%
CBH	2159	217	10.05%	Hall	204	191	0.936	0.892	58.93%	202	184	0.911	0.897	86.65%	72.37%
NYR	2015	195	9.68%	Worsley	257	235	0.914	0.897	83.24%						83.24%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2395	259	10.81%	Plante	95	87	0.916	0.899	83.78%						83.78%
TOR	2256	232	10.28%	Bower	124	118	0.952	0.903	50.00%	57	54	0.947	0.899	52.36%	50.76%
				Simmons						30	26	0.867	0.899	132.66%	132.66%
CBH	2159	217	10.05%	Hall	103	99	0.961	0.892	35.91%	87	84	0.966	0.897	33.53%	34.85%
NYR	2015	195	9.68%	Worsley	82	76	0.927	0.897	71.15%						71.15%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2395	259	10.81%	Plante	100	89	0.890	0.899	109.44%						109.44%
TOR	2256	232	10.28%	Bower	71	62	0.873	0.903	130.99%	48	44	0.917	0.899	82.91%	111.15%
				Simmons						42	38	0.905	0.899	94.76%	94.76%
CBH	2159	217	10.05%	Hall	101	92	0.911	0.892	82.40%	115	100	0.870	0.897	126.84%	105.50%
NYR	2015	195	9.68%	Worsley	175	159	0.909	0.897	88.91%						88.91%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

1963

Total	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
TOR	2346	221	9.42%	Bower	158	152	0.962	0.908	41.27%	157	147	0.936	0.919	78.69%	58.72%
CBH	2202	194	8.81%	Hall	241	216	0.896	0.919	128.16%						128.16%
MTL	2445	225	9.20%	Plante	140	126	0.900	0.906	106.15%						106.15%
DET	2471	200	8.09%	Sawchuk	171	152	0.889	0.912	126.12%	157	140	0.892	0.906	114.94%	120.58%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
TOR	2346	221	9.42%	Bower	86	83	0.965	0.908	37.91%	86	81	0.942	0.919	71.83%	53.78%
CBH	2202	194	8.81%	Hall	109	99	0.908	0.919	113.35%						113.35%
MTL	2445	225	9.20%	Plante	46	43	0.935	0.906	69.23%						69.23%
DET	2471	200	8.09%	Sawchuk	63	56	0.889	0.912	126.12%	65	59	0.908	0.906	97.99%	111.36%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
TOR	2346	221	9.42%	Bower	72	69	0.958	0.908	45.28%	71	66	0.930	0.919	87.01%	64.66%
CBH	2202	194	8.81%	Hall	132	117	0.886	0.919	140.40%						140.40%
MTL	2445	225	9.20%	Plante	94	83	0.883	0.906	124.22%						124.22%
DET	2471	200	8.09%	Sawchuk	108	96	0.889	0.912	126.12%	92	81	0.880	0.906	126.92%	126.50%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

1964

Total	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2509	209	8.33%	Hodge	218	201	0.922	0.916	92.60%						92.60%
CBH	2311	218	9.43%	Hall	220	198	0.900	0.922	127.49%						127.49%
				Dejordy	9	7	0.778	0.922	283.30%						283.30%
TOR	2280	192	8.42%	Bower	212	198	0.934	0.917	79.28%	250	233	0.932	0.922	86.69%	83.18%
DET	2435	191	7.84%	Sawchuk	122	115	0.943	0.906	60.82%	237	215	0.907	0.916	110.23%	92.16%
				Champoux	18	14	0.778	0.906	235.58%				0.916		235.58%
				Crozier	60	53	0.883	0.906	123.68%				0.916		123.68%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2509	209	8.33%	Hodge	117	110	0.940	0.916	71.05%						71.05%
CBH	2311	218	9.43%	Hall	125	113	0.904	0.922	122.39%						122.39%
				Dejordy				0.922
TOR	2280	192	8.42%	Bower	88	82	0.932	0.917	81.85%	148	140	0.946	0.922	68.91%	73.92%
DET	2435	191	7.84%	Sawchuk	66	63	0.955	0.906	48.19%	105	94	0.895	0.916	124.40%	92.91%
				Champoux				0.906					0.916
				Crozier	21	19	0.905	0.906	100.96%				0.916		100.96%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2509	209	8.33%	Hodge	101	91	0.901	0.916	117.57%						117.57%
CBH	2311	218	9.43%	Hall	95	85	0.895	0.922	134.20%						134.20%
				Dejordy	9	7	0.778	0.922	283.30%						283.30%
TOR	2280	192	8.42%	Bower	124	116	0.935	0.917	77.45%	102	93	0.912	0.922	112.49%	92.74%
DET	2435	191	7.84%	Sawchuk	56	52	0.929	0.906	75.72%	132	121	0.917	0.916	98.96%	91.47%
				Champoux	18	14	0.778	0.906	235.58%				0.916		235.58%
				Crozier	39	34	0.872	0.906	135.91%				0.916		135.91%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Black Gold Extractor · Mar 20, 2017

1965

Total	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
DET	2360	224	9.49%	Crozier	187	164	0.877	0.887	108.44%						108.44%
MON	2035	211	10.37%	Hodge	58	55	0.948	0.906	55.07%	47	45	0.957	0.887	37.52%	46.39%
				Worsley	131	120	0.916	0.906	89.40%	118	108	0.915	0.887	74.72%	81.75%
CBH	1975	224	11.34%	Hall	183	170	0.929	0.905	74.84%	192	177	0.922	0.896	75.35%	75.11%
				DeJordy	35	29	0.829	0.905	180.61%	13	10	0.769	0.896	222.57%	192.72%
TOR	2172	204	9.39%	Bower	194	177	0.912	0.896	84.51%						84.51%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
DET	2360	224	9.49%	Crozier	112	100	0.893	0.887	94.47%						94.47%
MON	2035	211	10.37%	Hodge	58	55	0.948	0.906	55.07%	23	23	1.000	0.887	0.00%	37.24%
				Worsley	28	27	0.964	0.906	38.03%	62	60	0.968	0.887	28.44%	31.05%
CBH	1975	224	11.34%	Hall	94	91	0.968	0.905	33.62%	71	68	0.958	0.896	40.75%	36.85%
				DeJordy				0.905					0.896
TOR	2172	204	9.39%	Bower	93	85	0.914	0.896	82.96%						82.96%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
DET	2360	224	9.49%	Crozier	75	64	0.853	0.887	129.32%						129.32%
MON	2035	211	10.37%	Hodge				0.906		24	22	0.917	0.887	73.47%	73.47%
				Worsley	103	93	0.903	0.906	103.37%	56	48	0.857	0.887	125.96%	112.32%
CBH	1975	224	11.34%	Hall	89	79	0.888	0.905	118.38%	121	109	0.901	0.896	95.65%	104.79%
				DeJordy	35	29	0.829	0.905	180.61%	13	10	0.769	0.896	222.57%	192.72%
TOR	2172	204	9.39%	Bower	101	92	0.911	0.896	85.94%						85.94%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

1966

Total	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2294	239	10.42%	Worsley	114	108	0.947	0.908	57.44%	175	161	0.920	0.902	81.70%	72.51%
CBH	2069	240	11.60%	Hall	174	152	0.874	0.902	129.13%						129.13%
				Dryden	7	7	1.000	0.902	0.00%						0.00%
TOR	2270	208	9.16%	Sawchuk	72	66	0.917	0.896	79.99%						79.99%
				Bower	76	67	0.882	0.896	113.66%						113.66%
DET	2257	221	9.79%	Crozier	153	143	0.935	0.884	56.35%	172	154	0.895	0.896	100.45%	78.50%
				Bassen				0.884		6	6	1.000	0.896	0.00%	0.00%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2294	239	10.42%	Worsley	53	50	0.943	0.908	61.77%	91	82	0.901	0.902	101.00%	87.17%
CBH	2069	240	11.60%	Hall	82	69	0.841	0.902	161.91%						161.91%
				Dryden	7	7	1.000	0.902	0.00%						0.00%
TOR	2270	208	9.16%	Sawchuk				0.896
				Bower	76	67	0.882	0.896	113.66%						113.66%
DET	2257	221	9.79%	Crozier	73	68	0.932	0.884	59.05%	80	71	0.888	0.896	107.98%	83.32%
				Bassen						6	6	1.000	0.896	0.00%	0.00%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
MTL	2294	239	10.42%	Worsley	61	58	0.951	0.908	53.67%	84	79	0.940	0.902	60.79%	57.91%
CBH	2069	240	11.60%	Hall	92	83	0.902	0.902	99.91%						99.91%
				Dryden				0.902
TOR	2270	208	9.16%	Sawchuk	72	66	0.917	0.896	79.99%						79.99%
				Bower				0.896
DET	2257	221	9.79%	Crozier	80	75	0.938	0.884	53.88%	92	83	0.902	0.896	93.90%	74.21%
				Bassen									0.896

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

1967

Total	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
CBH	2186	264	12.08%	DeJordy	102	92	0.902	0.904	102.36%						102.36%
				Hall	104	96	0.923	0.904	80.32%						80.32%
MTL	2211	202	9.14%	Vachon	117	109	0.932	0.915	80.38%	179	165	0.922	0.904	81.66%	81.19%
				Worsley	0	0		0.915		46	43	0.935	0.904	68.09%	68.09%
TOR	2130	204	9.58%	Sawchuk	210	198	0.943	0.879	47.32%	152	139	0.914	0.909	93.61%	63.70%
				Bower	12	10	0.833	0.879	138.01%	104	101	0.971	0.909	31.57%	45.66%
NYR	2210	188	8.51%	Giacomin	134	120	0.896	0.909	114.36%						114.36%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Home	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
CBH	2186	264	12.08%	DeJordy	100	91	0.910	0.904	93.97%						93.97%
				Hall				0.904
MTL	2211	202	9.14%	Vachon	53	48	0.906	0.915	110.90%	88	79	0.898	0.904	106.78%	108.22%
				Worsley				0.915		10	10	1.000	0.904	0.00%	0.00%
TOR	2130	204	9.58%	Sawchuk	97	91	0.938	0.879	51.22%	81	74	0.914	0.909	94.59%	68.01%
				Bower				0.879		62	60	0.968	0.909	35.31%	35.31%
NYR	2210	188	8.51%	Giacomin	67	62	0.925	0.909	81.68%						81.68%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Away	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
CBH	2186	264	12.08%	DeJordy	2	1	0.500	0.904	522.06%						522.06%
				Hall	104	96	0.923	0.904	80.32%						80.32%
MTL	2211	202	9.14%	Vachon	64	61	0.953	0.915	55.10%	91	86	0.945	0.904	57.37%	56.50%
				Worsley				0.915		36	33	0.917	0.904	87.01%	87.01%
TOR	2130	204	9.58%	Sawchuk	113	107	0.947	0.879	43.97%	71	65	0.915	0.909	92.50%	59.60%
				Bower	12	10	0.833	0.879	138.01%	42	41	0.976	0.909	26.06%	56.75%
NYR	2210	188	8.51%	Giacomin	67	58	0.866	0.909	147.03%						147.03%

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

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Playoff Error Rate vs. Expectation - O6-era goalies

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1955	RS SOG	RS G	RS S%	Goalie	Rnd 1 SA	Rnd 1 SV	Rnd 1 SV%	Rnd 1 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Rnd 2 SA	Rnd 2 SV	Rnd 2 SV%	Rnd 2 ESV%	Err. v. Exp.	Total Err. v. Exp.
DET	2426	204	8.41%	Sawchuk	123	117	0.951	0.932	71.78%	187	167	0.893	0.889	96.40%	89.33%
MTL	2055	228	11.09%	Plante	79	72	0.911	0.913	101.87%	259	235	0.907	0.916	110.20%	108.20%
				Hodge	35	33	0.943	0.913	65.70%	10	7	0.700	0.916	356.76%	128.70%
TOR	2163	147	6.80%	Lumley	137	123	0.898	0.916	121.53%						121.53%
BOS	1943	169	8.70%	Henry	72	64	0.889	0.889	100.15%						100.15%
				Henderson	53	45	0.849	0.889	136.05%						136.05%