Gulls fan coming in peace.
Their chances are not bad. Not a slam dunk, but I give the 'Cuda an edge at least to begin the series. Mostly because the regular-season series was a near-tie, with the home team winning EVERY SINGLE ONE of the 10 matches between the teams. The Gulls were shut out three times in the SAP Center, scored once in another, and had the lead 3-2 in another until a last-minute comeback that the 'Cuda rode to an OT win. The Barracuda were shut out once in San Diego, scored one goal twice, lost a 3-2 game in a shootout, and lost a 7-6 OT carnival show (with 10 seconds left in the OT) that the Gulls led 6-3 at one point.
As others have mentioned, several Gulls are up with the Ducks, including their top two defensemen (Montour and Theodore) and talented scoring forward Ondrej Kase. However, the addition of Enroth to the Gulls in net has been a major turnaround for the team - they don't make it out of the first round without him, no question. If the Ducks get eliminated (as I hope they do, cause I'm a Kings fan), Kase and Montour at least should return to the Gulls, and that could happen as early as Game Three here in San Diego, MAYBE by Game Two, but that would require the Ducks to lose their next two games AND rush to get their prospects to San Jose by the next day.
All the Barracuda need to do to win is hold serve at home - the Gulls are under far more pressure to come up with at least one road win to prevail. I'm hoping for a well-contested series, either way.