KlimasLoveChild
Registered User
- Feb 25, 2012
- 2,922
- 570
The cap rises virtually every year, unless some artificial factor kicks in. And even if for some reason it doesn't go up in 2014, then it will rise in 2015. It is not speculation, it is reality as informed by history and awareness of the NHL's economics. And even if you don't know it, Yakupov and his representatives do.
If Yakupov signs for the same money as Hall (presuming he doesn't sink next season), it will be because he made a selfless team-oriented decision with little regard to his economic bargaining power. Don't talk to me about fairy tales when you're the one wishin' and a hopin' and a prayin' that a 1st overall pick is going to roll back his salary demands to fit a 2012 (Hall, Eberle) or 2011 (Stamkos, Tavares) paradigm.
You are talking about negotiations within a couple years in which time the cap has been rolled back....to me that means deflation. Do you not think that eliminates the supposed differences in paradigm? We're talking a few short years here not decade lets get real. If anything it works against Yak in that the new cap world is dealing with a roll back, and revenue uncertainty related to the work stoppage. What we do know is the cap is lower now then when Ebs and Hall signed. Will it be back to the same level when yak signs? Maybe but this history you speak of is a grand total of seven years in the cap world.
The Salary Cap for the 2015-2016 will almost certainly be higher than that of the 2013-2014 (or 2011-12) season. PLUS Yakupov will have higher-salaried comparables, thanks to the new CBA rules. PLUS he will have greater negotiating power, as a result of the very real KHL threat. (Yakupov may not want to play in the KHL, but he is a greater threat to go there than Hall, Eberle, etc. and his agent would be a fool not to exploit that in negotiation.) PLUS there is no way for the team to reduce the cap hit by front-loading it or signing a massive extension. PLUS, assuming he stays healthy next season, he has less incentive to sign an early extension than Hall did following two injury-shortened seasons.
How many NHL players have been stolen to the KHL? I can think of one and anyone else that goes there is a hack, a never was or never will be. Idle threats and mystery contract offers aren't going to heavily impact his contract negotiations. The KHL isn't very enticing even for Russians.
Many people here in their assumptions seem to view the Hall/Eberle contracts as maximums for the rest of the core. In Yakupov's case - assuming he more or less approximates Hall's sophomore numbers - the Hall contract is more likely a minimum.
You seem to like to down grade others for their assumptions then in the same breath base your entire argument on a number of your own.... Interesting. I still don't see how you figure he matches halls numbers then expects to use his contract as a minimum starting point. Doesn't really pass the smell test.
There is virtually no reason for Yakupov to demand or expect anything less than that. And that's a statement without judgment on his character. That is a simple fact. Take it from someone with professional negotiation and advocacy training and experience - there is very little compelling reason to use those numbers as anything other than a starting point. Taylor Hall does not set a salary cap for Nail Yakupov. It's a loose guideline at best, and more likely a salary floor. If he signs for Hall's numbers, it's likely going to be a shorter term deal. And why not?
I like the back pedaling at the end there. You must be doubting yourself or at the very least leaving yourself an out it the event you are wrong. If Yak signs short term it is because he has crapped the bed and not lived up to expectations.
You - and a large portion of the Edmonton fanbase & media in general - better prepare for the likelihood of a larger contract than expected. And watch out if Yakupov manages to exceed Hall's numbers and put up something near Stamkos's, because his salary demands are going to blow some small market minds. Especially when he gets them.
If he puts up Stamkos numbers he will get Stamkos type money...my mind isn't blown. I'd be happy we have a fifty goal scorer on the team.
And again, that's not judgment on Yakupov. That's not me saying the Oilers can't afford him or have to trade him. That's just me saying the economic reality is likely harsher than most people expect, and people need to put themselves in Yakupov's (or his agent's) shoes and think about things from that business perspective. Because it could be a PR disaster if he gets treated like a villain for serving his own business interests, and I sure as hell don't trust this current Oilers management to be able to finesse that issue.
So let me get this straight..... you created this huge hypothetical based on a number misguided assumptions in order to be the guy who said I told you so and Oilers management is incompetent. Ok......to you it is man... to you it is Let me guess...former oilers employee??