zeke
The Dube Abides
- Mar 14, 2005
- 66,937
- 36,957
As for the projections themselves, VUKOTA produces conservative predictions. Everyone, especially goaltenders, are projected to regress towards the mean. That's why the projected standings are so tight. We don't really think the last-place team in the NHL will get 79 points. The spreads will be greater that projected. But this is the first go-around. Improvements will come.
Just wondering - what kind of weight do you put on:
a) Ice Time for defensemen (the comment that Beauch and Komi were similar in value struck me as off, for example - as was the downplaying of what Bo meant to FLA)
b) Save Percentage for goalies (as compared to other goalie stats)
and any chance you guys can redo the Toronto numbers taking the Kessel addition into account?
P.S. Great Work! this kind of analysis is badly, badly needed in this sport. hell, a good number of GMs would be wise to take a look.