Value of: Mitch Marner this offseason (2.5 mil retained)

Pinkfloyd

Registered User
Oct 29, 2006
70,474
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Folsom
On one hand, if all our futures plus Eklund and Zetterlund are off the table, there really isn’t anything valuable you’re offering up (Ferraro? Sturm? Granlund?) so I understand you. But on the other hand, the Sharks really shouldn’t be trading for Marner. I’d explore trying to sign him as a UFA, though.
That’s the idea. If it’s done on those terms, the Sharks could assess how he’d like being a long term option here or get real future value renting him out to a playoff team. I might consider some prospects but it’d have to be someone without much belief anymore like Coe or Laroque because they’re still from the previous management’s stock.
 
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Blackhawkswincup

RIP Fugu
Jun 24, 2007
187,431
20,905
Chicagoland
To :hawks
RW Mitch Marner (1 x $10.903M)

To :leafs
LW Lukas Reichel (RFA)
D Connor Murphy (2 x $4.4M)
Hawks 2025 1st (Top 10 protected, becomes Hawks 2026 1st if Hawks draft in top 10)

- Hawks take risk that Marner is willing to sign, if he isn't they flip him midseason

- Leafs get young winger (21 yrs old), A defender who fits need (RD) and a future 1st

Marner and Murphy would have to waive (Murphy would be fool to not given his career has been spent on losing teams)

In end Hawks look to add talent to NHL roster to try and improve going forward while Leafs get reset opening up cap room to potentially extend Bertuzzi and shakeup core
 

Leafsfanperson

Registered User
Jan 27, 2024
232
235
Let's trade Mitch for a late first and a busted prospect or two then will have cap space.

...... when if ever in the cap era has MLSE sign a UFA that worked out ever? From Kubina to Bertuzzi they're all garbage or at best meh. This is what you want Leafs Nation?

Toronto tries to capitalize on this Mitch hate and get him to a somewhat reasonable number instead of him and father gouging the team like he did last contract.

Have fun posting trade proposals and have other fanbases just bash you for suggesting Marner has any value at all. I mean Panarin can suck in the playoffs and no one bats an eye to his contract. You want to make a Panarin for Saad deal? Get some perspective.

I’m all over this for the Pens.
Ok give us Sid.
 
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bme44

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Feb 18, 2010
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That offer is garbage

Your not getting an expiring Marner without a 1st + Pettersson at minimum

As bad as he has been in the playoffs this year hes the pens best or second best player

if he comes with an extensio

Yager + 1st +
Keep dreaming
 

dirtydanglez

Registered User
Oct 30, 2022
4,804
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I love how everyone is throwing Marner under the bus but Matthews and Tavares keep getting away with subpar performances in the playoffs.
matthews is the face of the franchise and there is nothing you can do with tavares. marner is the obvious sacrificial goat.



sorokin would address a huge need for the leafs. sorkin+ for marner ($8.5m) + woll
 

Dion TheFluff

Registered User
Jun 22, 2015
3,905
3,364
To :hawks
RW Mitch Marner (1 x $10.903M)

To :leafs
LW Lukas Reichel (RFA)
D Connor Murphy (2 x $4.4M)
Hawks 2025 1st (Top 10 protected, becomes Hawks 2026 1st if Hawks draft in top 10)

- Hawks take risk that Marner is willing to sign, if he isn't they flip him midseason

- Leafs get young winger (21 yrs old), A defender who fits need (RD) and a future 1st

Marner and Murphy would have to waive (Murphy would be fool to not given his career has been spent on losing teams)

In end Hawks look to add talent to NHL roster to try and improve going forward while Leafs get reset opening up cap room to potentially extend Bertuzzi and shakeup core
I'd be fine with a return like that
 
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Leafsfanperson

Registered User
Jan 27, 2024
232
235
Keep dreaming
Dreaming of what? So Pettersson is a playoff performer now? He's lead a team there what twice and once in a gimmick season of fake division?

If the standard is be great in the playoffs what is to said about other teams 'superstars' that either can't make the playoffs or the there once every three or four years and get annihilated each time?

Most NHL markets are just ignored so you never see the warts on their inconsistent stars too.

Conn Smyth favorite Pettersson... the bs gets a bit thick here at times.
 
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Fatass

Registered User
Apr 17, 2017
22,289
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what kind of value would the Leafs be looking at, if moving Mitch Marner retained to $8.5 mil this year?
Really depends on whether his new club believes they can extend him. But if Marner would waive for Detroit (for example) then he could return a lot if Leafs retain that much.

Dreaming of what? So Pettersson is a playoff performer now? He's lead a team there what twice and once in a gimmick season of fake division?

If the standard is be great in the playoffs what is to said about other teams 'superstars' that either can't make the playoffs or the there once every three or four years and get annihilated each time?

Most NHL markets are just ignored so you never see the warts on their inconsistent stars too.

Conn Smyth favorite Pettersson... the bs gets a bit thick here at times.
It might be better for Marner to play down south.
 

Junohockeyfan

Registered User
Dec 16, 2018
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That offer is garbage

Your not getting an expiring Marner without a 1st + Pettersson at minimum

As bad as he has been in the playoffs this year hes the pens best or second best player

if he comes with an extensio

Yager + 1st +
That’s ridiculous. Marner’s caphit makes him negative value. Any team trading for Marner will have to overpay him on his next contract. The 11+M is better spent elsewhere than in a soft winger who craps the bed post season.

At 8M aav on his next deal, he would have value. That is the only way he returns value.
 

CallMeShaft

Calder Bedard Fan
Apr 14, 2014
15,946
21,784
As a Hawks fan, only reason I'd want Marner is to trade him at the deadline for assets. Of course he'd still have total control of where he went, so the return then wouldn't amount to anything unless he was open to a handful of teams.

So I'd maybe be so generous as to give a 2nd round pick for him (and take his entire cap hit), in hopes of turning him into a late 1st and B prospect. Maybe that's not enough for Toronto, but that's just what I would feel comfortable enough to part with.
 

hamzarocks

Registered User
Jul 22, 2012
20,638
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Pickering, Ontario
That’s ridiculous. Marner’s caphit makes him negative value. Any team trading for Marner will have to overpay him on his next contract. The 11+M is better spent elsewhere than in a soft winger who craps the bed post season.

At 8M aav on his next deal, he would have value. That is the only way he returns value.
Hes the best player on the habs in 20 years

His cap hit will fit for any team looking to seriously contend with 2 better players

Kessel made 8M retained down to 6.8M in 2016 at a 70M cap (9.7%)

Marner will extend on a 92M cap as a better player. He will get 10-11M on a non-leaf team which he will be worth.

Negative contracts are gallagher, Anderson etc, not a 90+ winger
 

TheNumber4

Registered User
Nov 11, 2011
38,124
44,272
It’s wild how much pure and seething hate there is for Marner and Tavares right now. Being a pajama boy ain’t what it’s cracked up to be.

I think it’s time for a trade, it’s in the best interests of both the Leafs and Marner at this point. But with only a year remaining and reputation as a soft choke artist I don’t think the return will be high.
 

Junohockeyfan

Registered User
Dec 16, 2018
14,579
12,142
Hes the best player on the habs in 20 years

His cap hit will fit for any team looking to seriously contend with 2 better players

Kessel made 8M retained down to 6.8M in 2016 at a 70M cap (9.7%)

Marner will extend on a 92M cap as a better player. He will get 10-11M on a non-leaf team which he will be worth.

Negative contracts are gallagher, Anderson etc, not a 90+ winger
When you are paid 11M, you are expected to be not only a 90+ point player, you are also expected to lead your team in the playoffs.

The book on Marner is written. He's a regular season superstar and a playoff dud. No team that commits 11+M to a player will accept that.

To make matters more complicated, he has 1 year remaining on his contract and a NMC. That will minimize the number of teams that could even take him on and further reduce his already negative value.
 

hamzarocks

Registered User
Jul 22, 2012
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Pickering, Ontario
When you are paid 11M, you are expected to be not only a 90+ point player, you are also expected to lead your team in the playoffs.

The book on Marner is written. He's a regular season superstar and a playoff dud. No team that commits 11+M to a player will accept that.

To make matters more complicated, he has 1 year remaining on his contract and a NMC. That will minimize the number of teams that could even take him on and further reduce his already negative value.
This thread has [email protected] retained for a year so 8.5M and if a team is trad8ng for a 90 pt winger they expect he can be a long term core piece and woll pay what they believe is FMV

NMC is being assumed to be flexible this thread. If its not, than no Marner trade, we either do 1 more year of this shitty group and then let him walk, or somehow they pull it out of their ass and he gets signed

Leafs wont deal [email protected] for Tristian Jarry + Rielly Smith like that oens fans suggested
 

Junohockeyfan

Registered User
Dec 16, 2018
14,579
12,142
This thread has [email protected] retained for a year so 8.5M and if a team is trad8ng for a 90 pt winger they expect he can be a long term core piece and woll pay what they believe is FMV

NMC is being assumed to be flexible this thread. If its not, than no Marner trade, we either do 1 more year of this shitty group and then let him walk, or somehow they pull it out of their ass and he gets signed

Leafs wont deal [email protected] for Tristian Jarry + Rielly Smith like that oens fans suggested
So the deal is effectively Marner as a rental at 8.5M? Who would take on Marner as a rental? Teams that are competing for he cup would not have any interest. You can't get past Marner's NMC. Its a huge stumbling block.
 
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iggy

Registered User
Aug 2, 2005
292
130
Looks like Marner led the team in playoff scoring last year. I think many people here are really over dramatic about this. I would take Marner on the Islanders all day long.

Regular SeasonPlayoffsVitals
#Player NamePos.GPGAPtsPIM+/-GPGAPtsPIMBirthplaceAge
16Mitch MarnerR80306999281811311142ONT: Markham25
44Morgan RiellyD654374121-91148126BC: Vancouver28
34Auston MatthewsC7440458520311156117CA: San Ramon24
88William NylanderR8240478728101146102ALTA: Calgary26
90Ryan O'Reilly 4C13471163113695ONT: Clinton31
91John TavaresC8036448034-7114484ONT: Mississauga31
23Matthew KniesL30112171344AZ: Phoenix19
28Sam Lafferty 5C192469-191232PA: Hollidaysburg27
78T.J. BrodieD582121414101103312ONT: Chatham32
64David KampfC827202786110334Czech Rep.: Chomutov27
19Calle JarnkrokC73201939149111230Sweden: Gavle30
22Jake McCabe 5D2114529121102210WI: Eau Claire28
52Noel Acciari 4C23415112112022RI: Johnston30
55Mark GiordanoD78420245327110227ONT: Toronto38
15Alex KerfootC82102232308112024BC: Vancouver28
58Michael BuntingL8223264910321711215ONT: Scarborough26
2Luke Schenn 11D1510113-11101111SASK: Saskatoon32
56Erik Gustafsson 7D90442021010Sweden: Nynashamn30
12Zachary Aston-ReeseC771041425-661010NY: Staten Island28
3Justin HollD80216183915801111MN: Tonka Bay30
30Matt MurrayG2600000----------ONT: Thunder Bay28
50Erik KallgrenG1000000----------Sweden: Stockholm25
60Joseph WollG70000040000MO: Dardenne Prairie24
96Nicolas Aube-Kubel 2R60004-1----------ALTA: Slave Lake26
46Alex SteevesC30000-2----------MN: Saint Paul22
82Filip KralD200020----------Czech Rep.: Blansko22
40Jett AlexanderG100000----------ONT: Bloomfield22
85Semyon Der-ArguchintsevC100001----------Russia: Moscow21
74Bobby McMannC100112-2----------ALTA: Wainwright26
8Jake MuzzinD401120----------ONT: Woodstock33
43Kyle CliffordL201121----------ONT: Ayr31
20Dryden Hunt 10L91019-2----------BC: Cranbrook26
53Radim Zohorna 9L210101----------Czech Rep.: Havlickuv26
35Ilya SamsonovG420220090000Russia: Magnitogorsk25
24Wayne SimmondsR18022491----------ONT: Scarborough34
98Victor MeteD1102243----------ONT: Woodbridge24
81Mac HollowellD602223----------ONT: Niagara Falls23
26Nick AbruzzeseC202201----------NY: Slate Hill23
18Jordie BennD1211212-1----------BC: Victoria35
28Joey Anderson 8R1421301----------MN: Roseville24
62Denis Malgin 6C232244-1----------Switzerland: Olten25
89Nicholas RobertsonL1523502----------CA: Pasadena20
29Pontus HolmbergR375813180----------Sweden: Vasteras23
25Conor Timmins 3D252121481----------ONT: St. Catharines23
37Timothy LiljegrenD6761218302450000Sweden: Kristianstad23
38Rasmus Sandin 2D52416202310----------Sweden: Uppsala22
47Pierre Engvall 1L5812921251----------Sweden: Ljungby26
Totals278479757685


t
Goalies
Player NameGPMinGAGAAWLTSvsPctENSO
Jett Alexander1100.0000
Joseph Woll7416152.166102040.93200
Ilya Samsonov422476962.332710510880.91904
Erik Kallgren10562252.673242210.89800
Matt Murray261473743.0114826870.90301
 
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hamzarocks

Registered User
Jul 22, 2012
20,638
13,812
Pickering, Ontario
So the deal is effectively Marner as a rental at 8.5M? Who would take on Marner as a rental? Teams that are competing for he cup would not have any interest. You can't get past Marner's NMC. Its a huge stumbling block.
Teams would see him as an elite player that cant work with another group of soft players (leafs core)

Leafs individual core pieced as the 2nd to 4th best players on another team woth better playoff performers and culture will be attractable

Also teams like Seattle, Pens, Isles, Rangers (depending on how they do and how Panarin produces these playoffs in R2 onwards), Utah, Stars, Nashville, are a few that could have interest both as a rental and as a long term piece

Those teams lack super stars and could use a marner guy with their quality offensive depth if he comes in at under 11M as a long term deal (probably 10M max)
 

Junohockeyfan

Registered User
Dec 16, 2018
14,579
12,142
Teams would see him as an elite player that cant work with another group of soft players (leafs core)

Leafs individual core pieced as the 2nd to 4th best players on another team woth better playoff performers and culture will be attractable

Also teams like Seattle, Utah, Stars, Nashville, are a few that could have interest both as a rental and as a long term piece

Those teams lack super stars and could use a marner guy with their quality offensive depth if he comes in at under 11M as a long term deal (probably 10M max)
Leafs core isn't soft. Leafs added toughness for this run. It's Marner (and Tavares) that is soft and ineffective when the hitting picks up. Marner will get at least what Nylander signed for. He won't take less and allow a trade.

The Habs would never add Marner given the makeup of the team. Habs are looking for big, strong players that compete. Like a Slafkovsky / Dach type. They already have the Cole Caufield / Newhook types. They won't waste 11+ million on Marner.
 

Habsolutely Awesome

Jesus is Life
Jan 18, 2005
131
1
Florida
Florida - Marner

Toronto - Spencer Knight and negotiating rights to S. Reinhart if Florida can't sign him, if T.O. doesn't sign him, add a little more from Florida 1st rounder or second.
 

NVious

Registered User
Dec 20, 2022
1,052
2,076
Unfortunately, Marner appears to be a "Beautiful Loser", similar to his Knights contemporaries, Horvat, Domi and Andersson.

Buyer beware.
Fun fact:
Marner is ranked 36th in p/60 in the playoffs with 2.5
Domi is ranked 53th in p/60 in the playoffs with 2.35

Marner costs 11 million
Domi costs 3 million

I'll take 4 Domis over Marner any day of the week, hell I'll take two of him because despite being even smaller than Mitch he actually has heart
 

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