Yea I'm pretty sure in his ability. I would be comfortable giving him 4.5 million for 5-6 years. I get it, that there's question marks, but they did a similar thing with Stepan.
Gave him a bridge deal, and he's now signed for 6.5 million. What if the team had skipped the bridge and signed him to a longer deal? Could he have been had for 4.5 million? Who knows, but it's a risk they took.
Or does it play out like Hagelin where he gets a bridge, and in two years when he wants the payday, the team ships him out, only to burn the team?
These are risks, but generally the good teams that lock up their young players have it pay off
That's where we differ, I'm couldn't give Miller $4.5m for 5-6 years now after one good year and really just a couple of good months. What is he a winger, a center? PP guy? definitely not a pk guy. I think we're all still figuring out what Miller becomes and what his upside could be. I really like him as a player but with messed up cap book I couldn't risk losing future rfa's over, at this point.
Stepan they really messed up with, he was immediately a 20 goal scorer, pp and pk guy. Followed it up with good years. He should've got that 6 year deal that McDonagh got and my guess it was Richards and other RFA's at the time that prevented it, not that they didn't want to hand it out. Haglin is a similar story to Stepan, probably should've locked him up long term and probably could've done it for $3-3.5m, but he was never quite a top 6 guy.
I think it's really important to take the gamble out of the equation as much as possible. Stepan long term wasn't a gamble and they should've be smart enough to see it, neither was McDoangh and they did, Miller, Hayes, both are. Kreider is a different story since he's older and already coming off a bridge deal.