Mathletic's Rankings for the 2013 QMJHL Draft

[Mathletic]

So, here's my first try at rankings for the Q draft. For those who don't know me. My rankings are based only on data. They range from goals, assists to stuff like height and weight. Anything I can find baiscally. You can take a look at my latest rankings for the NHL draft.

http://hfboards.mandatory.com/showthread.php?t=1431547&highlight=

I'm not trying to predict the draft order. Simply who will be the best Q players. Only players present in my rankings are from the Q/NB-PEI/NS/NL Midget AAA leagues. You will not find Midget Espoir, High School and various other players. So, examples of players missing: Nathan Noel, Noah Hanifin, Daniel Sprong, etc.

There could still be players missing on my lists. I tried to speed things up a bit, so I could post this before the draft. Feel free to ask any question.

Forgot to translate the positions for each player but here they are for those wondering:

AG = LW
AD = RW
DG = LD
DD = RD


Rankings

Round 1

#1 Jérémy Roy, DD, C.Antoine-Girouard
#2 Anthony Beauvillier, C, C.Antoine-Girouard
#3 Nicolas Meloche, DD, Saint-Eustache
#4 Nicolas Roy, AD, Amos
#5 Luc Deschenes, D, Fredericton Canadiens
#6 Jean-Michel LeBlanc, F, Saint John Vitos
#7 Thomas Chabot, DG, Lévis
#8 Olivier Galipeau, DG, C.Esther-Blondin
#9 Alexandre Alain, AD, Sém. Saint-François
#10 Jason Bell, DD, Laval-Montréal
#11 Julien Gauthier, AD, Laval-Montréal
#12 Gabriel Fontaine, C, Magog
#13 Frédéric Allard, DD, Sém. Saint-François
#14 David Henley, DD, Amos
#15 Guillaume Brisebois, DG, C.Antoine-Girouard
#16 Samuel Montembeault, G, Trois-Rivières
#17 Philippe Myers, D, Moncton Flyers
#18 Campbell Pickard, F, Halifax Titans


Round 2

#19 Charles-Anthony Poulin, AD, Magog
#20 Joey Richard, F, Moncton Flyers
#21 Alexandre Goulet, C, Lévis
#22 Philippe Chamberland, AD, C.Charles-Lemoyne
#23 Jesse Murphy-Hamer, F, Dartmouth Taylor Flooring Major Midgets
#24 Christophe Boivin, AG, Sém. Saint-François
#25 Jérémy Bouchard, AG, Châteauguay
#26 Dillon Boucher, F, Halifax Titans
#27 Will Bower, F, Saint John Vitos
#28 Nicholas Welsh, D, Halifax Titans
#29 Jeremy Davies, DG, Lac St-Louis
#30 Colby Tower, C, Cape Breton West Islanders
#31 Brandon Gignac, C, C.Esther-Blondin
#32 Éric Léger, AG, C.Esther-Blondin
#33 Alex Dostie, C, Magog
#34 Shawn Ouellet-St-Amant, C, Gatineau
#35 Simon Bourque, DD, C.Charles-Lemoyne
#36 Alexandre Drapeau, DD, Collège Notre-Dame


Round 3

#37 Tobie Paquette-Bisson, DG, Saint-Eustache
#38 Vincent Lanoue, DG, C.Esther-Blondin
#39 Brandon McCulloch, AG, Châteauguay
#40 Joseph L'Heureux, C, Lévis
#41 William Gignac, C, C.Esther-Blondin
#42 Danick Crête, DG, Châteauguay
#43 Matthew Paul, D, Fredericton Canadiens
#44 Jordan Ty Fournier, AD, Lac St-Louis
#45 Anthoni Nadeau, AD, C.Antoine-Girouard
#46 Layton Parsons, F, Halifax Titans
#47 William Côté, DD, C.Charles-Lemoyne
#48 Philippe Forcier, DG, Magog
#49 Jonathan Fillion, DD, C.Charles-Lemoyne
#50 Drew Packman, F, Halifax Titans
#51 Nicolas Boudreau, DD, Saint-Eustache
#52 Jérémy Lauzon, DG, Amos
#53 Marc-André Gauvreau, DG, Gatineau
#54 Lucas Sangster, D, Weeks Major Midgets


Limited Info

X - Nathan Noel
X - Noah Hanifin
X - Daniel Sprong

Click to read more...

 

[Mathletic]

To give you an idea, say you had the 12th overall pick and the equivalent pick in subsequent rounds. If you followed my lists this is how your draft would have turned out in recent years.

I tried to avoid players who threatened of going the US route like Huberdeau. That said, it's possible there may still be a few. Please let me know if there is any left. Also, I wasn't sure when the US rule came in, so for now I only stick to the Q, NB-PEI, NS and NL Midget AAA players.

Edit: Changed some picks due to the 15 year old rule prior to 2011


2013

#12 Nicolas Meloche, DD, Saint-Eustache
LHJMQ: Jason Bell

#32 Luc Deschênes, D, Fredericton Canadiens
LHJMQ: Mathieu Nadeau

#49 Jean-Michel LeBlanc, F, Saint John Vitos
LHJMQ: Cody Petawabano

#67 Campbell Pickard, F, Halifax Titans
LHJMQ: Antoine Waked

#85 Jesse Murphy-Hamer, F, Dartmouth Taylor Flooring Major Midgets
LHJMQ: Nicolas Leblond

#103 Dillon Boucher, F, Halifax Titans
LHJMQ: Julien Simounet

#122 Shawn Ouellet-St-Amant, C, Gatineau
LHJMQ: Jeremy Belisle

#139 Brandon Mc Culloch, AG, Châteauguay
LHJMQ: Charles-Antoine Côté

#157 Joseph L'Heureux, C, Lévis
LHJMQ: Félix-André Bouchard

#175 William Gignac, C, C.Esther-Blondin
LHJMQ: Jordan Picard

#193 Anthoni Nadeau, AD, C.Antoine-Girouard
LHJMQ: Anthony-John Greer

#211 Jonathan Fillion, DD, C.Charles-Lemoyne
LHJMQ: Bryan Lemos

#229 Nicolas Boudreau, DD, Saint-Eustache
LHJMQ: Bryan Nelson

#247 X
LHJMQ: Yami Girard


2012

#12 Julio Billia, G, Laval-Montréal
LHJMQ: Nicolas Hébert

#30 Joey Ratelle, C, C. Antoine-Girouard
LHJMQ: Julien Nantel

#48 Justin Samson, C, Châteaugay
LHJMQ: Nicholas Quillan

#66 Antoine Landry, G, Miramichi Rivermen
LHJMQ: David Storto

#84 Françis Robichaud, DD, Magog
LHJMQ: Anthony Beaulieu

#102 Philippe-Alexandre Vinette, G, Trois-Rivières
LHJMQ: Anthony Beauregard

#120 Devin Brosseau, C, C. Charles-Lemoyne
LHJMQ: Jérémy Lépine

#138 Mathieu Leclerc, DG, C. Esther-Blondin
LHJMQ: Ara Nazarian

#156 X
LHJMQ: Robby Klein

#174 X
LHJMQ: Maxime Presseault

#191 X
LHJMQ: Thomas Stavert

#207 X
LHJMQ: Mathieu Newcomb



2011

#12 Vincent Dunn, C, Gatineau
LHJMQ: Jean-Simon Deslauriers

#30 Émile Poirier, AG, Laval-Montréal
LHJMQ: Alexandre Michaud

#48 Émeric Hudon, C, Gatineau
LHJMQ: Carl Chenier

#66 Michaël Fratangelo, DD, Laval-Montréal
LHJMQ: Kelly Bent

#84 Michael-Anthony Guerrera, DG, Laval-Montréal
LHJMQ: Gabriel Forcier

#102 Matthew Martin, DG, Magog
LHJMQ: Samuel Landry

#120 X
LHJMQ: Antoine Venne

#138 X
LHJMQ: Raphael-Pier Richer

#156 X
LHJMQ: Charles-Antoine Alain

#174 X
LHJMQ: Frédéric Bergeron

#191 X
LHJMQ: X

#207 X
LHJMQ: X



2010

#12 Louick Marcotte, AD, C.Charles-Lemoyne
LHJMQ: Austyn Hardie

#30 Brandon Whitney, G, Valley Wildcats
LHJMQ: Samuel Hodod

#48 Shawn Jeffrey, G, Cape Breton West Islanders
LHJMQ: Marc-Olivier Roy

#66 Jacob Brennan, G, Halifax Titans (Taylar Made)
LHJMQ: Guillaume Gélinas

#84 Jérémy Beaudry, DD, Collège Notre-Dame
LHJMQ: Jacob Brennan

#102 Jonathan Delorme, DG, Magog
LHJMQ: Jordan McInnis

#120 Bryan McCormick, DD, Amos
LHJMQ: Chris Eiserman

#138 Emilio Audi, C, Montréal
LHJMQ: Brandon Boutilier

#156 Samuel Aquin, AG, C.Esther-Blondin
LHJMQ: Jean-Philippe Marcoux-Tortillet

#174 X
LHJMQ: Sébastien Sylvestre

#191 X
LHJMQ: Matthew Symes

#207 X
LHJMQ: Dylan McQuaid



2009

#12 Alex Saulnier, C, Moncton Flyers
LHJMQ: Benjamin Laliberté

#30 Allain Saulnier, AD, Moncton Flyers
LHJMQ: Gabriel Carrignan

#48 Darcy Ashley, F, Cornwall Superior Thunder
LHJMQ: Alex Gagnon

#66 Philippe Maillet, C, C. Esther-Blondin
LHJMQ: Brad Cuzner

#84 Gabriel Bourret, DD, C.Charles-Lemoyne
LHJMQ: Alexandre Veronneau

#102 Jean-Gabriel Pageau, C, Gatineau
LHJMQ: Sébastien Bergeron

#120 X
LHJMQ: Alexandre Côté

#138 X
LHJMQ: Louis-Philippe Chasle

#156 X
LHJMQ: Philippe Halley

#174 X
LHJMQ: Jacob Conrad

#191 X
LHJMQ: Bill Arnold

#207 X
LHJMQ: Mathieu Talbot



2008

#12 Jérôme Gauthier-Leduc, DD, Sém. Saint-François
LHJMQ: Logan Shaw

#30 Zach O'Brien, AD, St. John's Fog Devils
LHJMQ: Bradley MacDonald

#48 Ryan Kavanagh, D, Lac St-Louis
LHJMQ: Matthew Fortune

#66 Christian Ouellet-Martel, AD, Jonquière
LHJMQ: Jason Rajotte

#84 Alexandre Comtois, C, Magog
LHJMQ: Alexandre Comtois

#102 Matthew Hobbs, D, Gatineau
LHJMQ: Alex Newman

#120 Hugo Turcotte, C, Laval-Bourassa
LHJMQ: Anbdrew Bonazza

#138 Nicolas Deslongchmps, G, Crabtree
LHJMQ: Olivier Bibeau

#156 Antonio Mastropietro, G, Laval-Bourassa
LHJMQ: Jean-Sébastien Fournier

#174 Alexandre Alain-Rajotte, G, C.C.Lemoyne
LHJMQ: Steven Brazil

#191 Tristan Valiquette-Leclerc, DD, Magog
LHJMQ: Éliot G. Lapointe

#207 Vincent Demers, DG, Gatineau
LHJMQ: Brandon Pilgrim



2007

#12 Olivier Bellavance-Roy, G, École Sec. Notre-Dame
LHJMQ: Nicolas Deschamps

#30 David Savard, DD, Sém. Saint-François
LHJMQ: Alex Émond

#48 Pierre-Olivier Morin, AG, Trois-Rivières
LHJMQ: Mathieu Loisel

#66 Félix-Antoine Poulin, DG, C.A.Girouard
LHJMQ: Pierre-Olivier Morin

#84 Nicolas Boyer, C, Laval-Bourassa
LHJMQ: Olivier Hinse

#102 Maxime Frenette, AG, Laurentides
LHJMQ: Matthew Whitaker

#120 Vincent Couture, C, C.A.Girouard
LHJMQ: Lee Denny

#138 Marc-Antoine Coulombe, G, Lévis
LHJMQ: Shane Robar

#156 Jeff Falcon, AG, Gatineau
LHJMQ: Simon Ferland-Chapdeleine

#174 Mathieu Perron, DG, C.C.Lemoyne
LHJMQ: Adam Molloy

#191 Anthony Mezzagno, C, Laurentides
LHJMQ: Ryan Mitchell

#207 Nicolas Poulin, DD, Lévis
LHJMQ: Françis Pelletier



2006

#12 Samuel Morneau, C, Magog
LHJMQ: Mark Barberio

#30 Joel Chouinard, DG, Magog
LHJMQ: Steven Delisle

#48 Samuel Groulx, DG, Gatineau
LHJMQ: Samuel Groulx

#66 Éric Faille, AD, Lac St-Louis
LHJMQ: Kelsey Tessier

#84 Nicolas Therrien, DG, Châteauguay
LHJMQ: Evan Watts

#102 Alexandre Quesnel, AG, Lac St-Louis
LHJMQ: Chris Steele

#120 Jean-François Caron, DD, Lévis
LHJMQ: Alexandre Quesnel

#138 Françis Piché, C, Laurentides
LHJMQ: Kyle Downer

#156 Jean-François Boisvert, AG, Laurentides
LHJMQ: Jean-Christophe Gauthier

#174 David Houde, C, Jonquière
LHJMQ: Curtis MacDonald

#191 Samuel Pomerleau, AD, Châteauguay
LHJMQ: Peter Stevens

#207 Éric-Alexandre Roy, C, Jonquière
LHJMQ: Dave Lepage

 

[VanNistelrooy]

The list is really interesting.

Why didn't you use players from Espoirs? Lack of stats?

Is there a "bonus" granted for points in playoffs ? - Since most of them are 15 years old they might have big improvements in their play from the start of the season and the end.

Your maths seems to confirm the notion that this is a defender year for the Q.

 

[Mathletic]

The list is really interesting.

Why didn't you use players from Espoirs? Lack of stats?

Yeah, I don't have the stats for the western league. I could do the eastern but lacked some time to get it done. I may post an update sometime this summer with the added players.

Sure is a year for the D in the Q. Should be interesting how many go in the first round tomorrow.

I also started playing around giving "grades" to prospect coaches. Bryan Lizotte, HC for SSF gets the highest grade among coaching candidates in the Q.

 

[VanNistelrooy]

Yeah, I don't have the stats for the western league. I could do the eastern but lacked some time to get it done. I may post an update sometime this summer with the added players.

Sure is a year for the D in the Q. Should be interesting how many go in the first round tomorrow.

I also started playing around giving "grades" to prospect coaches. Bryan Lizotte, HC for SSF gets the highest grade among coaching candidates in the Q.

I wonder what are the main criterias for your grades?

Giving grades is complicated when you know the prospect pool for College Notre-Dame or Jonquière is really not the same as, let's say, LSL or SFF

 

[Mathletic]

I wonder what are the main criterias for your grades?

Giving grades is complicated when you know the prospect pool for College Notre-Dame or Jonquière is really not the same as, let's say, LSL or SFF

I won't go into too much details, as I try to keep these things for myself as much as possible. It's not impossible I could get some papers published in the near future. That said, the idea is always the same. How much more does a player or in this case a coach, bring to the table compared to an average player or objective expectations in this case.

 

[Mathletic]

A bit of an update as to how the draft would have turned with my list


2013

#12 Nicolas Meloche, DD, Saint-Eustache
LHJMQ: Jason Bell

#32 Luc Deschênes, D, Fredericton Canadiens
LHJMQ: Mathieu Nadeau

#49 Jean-Michel LeBlanc, F, Saint John Vitos
LHJMQ: Cody Petawabano

#67 Campbell Pickard, F, Halifax Titans
LHJMQ: Antoine Waked

#85 Jesse Murphy-Hamer, F, Dartmouth Taylor Flooring Major Midgets
LHJMQ: Nicolas Leblond

#103 Dillon Boucher, F, Halifax Titans
LHJMQ: Julien Simounet

#122 Shawn Ouellet-St-Amant, C, Gatineau
LHJMQ: Jeremy Belisle

#139 Brandon Mc Culloch, AG, Châteauguay
LHJMQ: Charles-Antoine Côté

#157 Joseph L'Heureux, C, Lévis
LHJMQ: Félix-André Bouchard

#175 William Gignac, C, C.Esther-Blondin
LHJMQ: Jordan Picard

#193 Anthoni Nadeau, AD, C.Antoine-Girouard
LHJMQ: Anthony-John Greer

#211 Jonathan Fillion, DD, C.Charles-Lemoyne
LHJMQ: Bryan Lemos

#229 Nicolas Boudreau, DD, Saint-Eustache
LHJMQ: Bryan Nelson

#247 X
LHJMQ: Yami Girard