garret9
AKA#VitoCorrelationi
I'm going to start off with this. None of this thread is to do with his attitude, rumours (unfounded or founded), showing up one day early instead of two or three, or whatever people are being sensitive about; please, respect my hard work and do the same. Now let's breakdown this young goalscorer.
Even Strength and PP Production
YEAR
|
GP
|
ESTOI/60
|
ESP/60
|
ESG
|
ESA
|
PPTOI/60
|
PPP/60
|
PPG
|
PPA
|
SHTOI/60
|
SHG
|
SHA
|
SOG
|
SH%
2009| 66|12.27| 1.85| 13|12 | 0.34| 0.00| 0|0 | 1.15|1|0 | 127| 11.0
2010| 73|14.07| 1.81| 15|20 | 2.26| 2.54| 4|4 | 0.84|0|0 | 234| 08.1
2011| 74|14.74| 2.42| 24|24 | 2.16| 3.39| 6|3 | 0.05|0|0 | 287| 10.5
Kane has had interesting development. He's consistently increased his scoring chances by shooting the puck more each season. Heck, last season Kane had 15 games with >5 shots (3 games with 9!) and Wellwood's goal totals would like to thank Kane for that. You can see how in the second season Kane gained more ice-time and his shooting % went down, but his ES scoring rate stayed consistent thanks to him shooting more often. Side note: drop in sh% is really rare for someone who increases their PP time dramatically, usually it's the opposite. The next season we see a dramatic increase in scoring rates, as Kane continues to shoot more and his sh% goes up (possibly also influenced by Wheeler, Wellwood and Burmistrov being better line-mates than Stewart and Thorburn).
Even Strength Advance Stats
YEAR
|
RelQoC
|
OZS
|
RelCorsi
|
Corsi
|
G/60
|
A1/60
|
P/60
2009| 0.611| 47.1| -2.4|-3.33| 0.96| 0.59| 1.85
2010| 0.499| 54.5| 0.7|-0.64| 0.76| 0.82| 1.81
2011| -0.028| 57.6| 8.7| 6.21| 1.26| 0.55| 2.42
2009: Kane enters the league playing tough minutes, along same competition levels as LLW but less OZS. He actually scores at a decent rate but isn't out-chancing the competition.
2010: Kane is pushed into the offensive zone more, which helps his Corsi. His scoring drops and so does his sh% (chicken or the egg). You can decide what combination of him, team-mates, luck, etc causes it. He actually sports a team best SA/60 for the PK, similar #s to Burmistrov in 2011.
2011: Kane loses a bit of PP time but gains more offensive minded line-mates and Noel begins to slightly shelter him from tough line-matches. Kane puts up goals at almost the same rate as Little puts up points. Kane puts heavy load of shots onto the net. In fact, Kane had more goalies make saves on him than any player in the league. Also, Kane is 5th in SOG/GP with Malkin, Neal, Kovalchuk, and Ovechkin in the lead.
Summary
Kane nows his role and he does it right. He is a top 10 goal scorer for even strength. When you look at guys who play top6 the top 10 goal scoring rates are (in order):
Stamkos, Malkin, Pacioretty, Ryder, Toews, Gaborik, Benn, Eberle (unsustainable 18.9 sh%), Sharp and Kane.
Not bad when you consider most of these guys are on top teams and have much better line-mates than Burmistrov and Wellwood (no offence to them).
Remove the filters so you get also people who played 5 mins a game but had high sh% and he's 13th in goal scoring rate... out of 407 NHL forwards... that's top 3% #s... That's literately within elite levels.
People may complain about the amount of shots Kane seems to pepper on the goalie, but these are the reason why he's so successful. You may think of it as dumb hockey at times, but in the end it works.
There are two types of goal scorers: mass shooters (Stamkos, Kane, Ovechkin, Neal) or pick your moment shooters (Stamkos, Little, Toews, Hudler) or the grand master who seems to do both effectively and consistently (probably guessed it... Stamkos). The streaky goal scorers are usually the pick your moment guys because they rely on their sh% (as we showed on Little breakdown), the mass shooters tend to be more consistent.
Watch out for him with Jokinen this season. I'm quite excited to see what Kane can do with someone who will drive to the net with him.
Game on haters... Embrace the hate!
1-2 Years in the Future
All that at 20? OKAY!
Guys at or under 20 that have scored 30+ goals since the lockout (in G/GP order):
Ovechkin, Stamkos, Crosby, Malkin, Kane, Toews, Kopitar, Bergeron, Skinner
Of course you know what line Kane goes on. Find a natural centre that can play with Kane and (Scheifele? Jokinen? Getzlaf?).
1: Kane-x-Wheeler
2: Ladd-x-Little
3: x-x-x
Even Strength and PP Production
2009| 66|12.27| 1.85| 13|12 | 0.34| 0.00| 0|0 | 1.15|1|0 | 127| 11.0
2010| 73|14.07| 1.81| 15|20 | 2.26| 2.54| 4|4 | 0.84|0|0 | 234| 08.1
2011| 74|14.74| 2.42| 24|24 | 2.16| 3.39| 6|3 | 0.05|0|0 | 287| 10.5
Even Strength Advance Stats
2009| 0.611| 47.1| -2.4|-3.33| 0.96| 0.59| 1.85
2010| 0.499| 54.5| 0.7|-0.64| 0.76| 0.82| 1.81
2011| -0.028| 57.6| 8.7| 6.21| 1.26| 0.55| 2.42
2010: Kane is pushed into the offensive zone more, which helps his Corsi. His scoring drops and so does his sh% (chicken or the egg). You can decide what combination of him, team-mates, luck, etc causes it. He actually sports a team best SA/60 for the PK, similar #s to Burmistrov in 2011.
2011: Kane loses a bit of PP time but gains more offensive minded line-mates and Noel begins to slightly shelter him from tough line-matches. Kane puts up goals at almost the same rate as Little puts up points. Kane puts heavy load of shots onto the net. In fact, Kane had more goalies make saves on him than any player in the league. Also, Kane is 5th in SOG/GP with Malkin, Neal, Kovalchuk, and Ovechkin in the lead.
Summary
Kane nows his role and he does it right. He is a top 10 goal scorer for even strength. When you look at guys who play top6 the top 10 goal scoring rates are (in order):
Stamkos, Malkin, Pacioretty, Ryder, Toews, Gaborik, Benn, Eberle (unsustainable 18.9 sh%), Sharp and Kane.
Not bad when you consider most of these guys are on top teams and have much better line-mates than Burmistrov and Wellwood (no offence to them).
Remove the filters so you get also people who played 5 mins a game but had high sh% and he's 13th in goal scoring rate... out of 407 NHL forwards... that's top 3% #s... That's literately within elite levels.
People may complain about the amount of shots Kane seems to pepper on the goalie, but these are the reason why he's so successful. You may think of it as dumb hockey at times, but in the end it works.
There are two types of goal scorers: mass shooters (Stamkos, Kane, Ovechkin, Neal) or pick your moment shooters (Stamkos, Little, Toews, Hudler) or the grand master who seems to do both effectively and consistently (probably guessed it... Stamkos). The streaky goal scorers are usually the pick your moment guys because they rely on their sh% (as we showed on Little breakdown), the mass shooters tend to be more consistent.
Watch out for him with Jokinen this season. I'm quite excited to see what Kane can do with someone who will drive to the net with him.
Game on haters... Embrace the hate!
1-2 Years in the Future
All that at 20? OKAY!
Guys at or under 20 that have scored 30+ goals since the lockout (in G/GP order):
Ovechkin, Stamkos, Crosby, Malkin, Kane, Toews, Kopitar, Bergeron, Skinner
Of course you know what line Kane goes on. Find a natural centre that can play with Kane and (Scheifele? Jokinen? Getzlaf?).
1: Kane-x-Wheeler
2: Ladd-x-Little
3: x-x-x
