Series Talk: Leafs vs CBJ Part 2

[Warden of the North]

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[Warden of the North]

Anyways, the way the former league executives in the media are raving about Keefes decision to try Matthews, JT, A and Mitch together reinforces my belief that it really isn't that hard to be a GM.

I mean, they're treating it like it's some sort of revolutionary throught process, while we the fans literally scream at the TV that playing stars with plugs maybe isn't the best decision all of the time

 

[The Iceman]

I just read an interesting bit of trivia.

Columbus was the least penalized team in the NHL this season. Upon looking it up they were second to Arizona.

Anyways these aren't the Broad Street Bullies...Leafs in 3

 

[Mess]

The winner of game #1 has a huge advantage in all these best of 5 play-in series, as it would force the loser to win 3 of the next 4 games with little room for error thereafter.

I would say the winner of game #1 is going to win 62.5% of the time and advance.

That is based on the average with needing to winning 2 of the last 4 games at 50% odds and winning 3 of the last 4 games at 75% making the average the middle to advance on % odds likelihood of winning the series with a game #1 win at the median.

Now I understand odds do not work exactly like that, however I suggest the chance of advancing with a game #1 win makes the series about 60-40 in favor of that team.

 

[deltamachine]

The winner of game #1 has a huge advantage in all these best of 5 play-in series, as it would force the loser to win 3 of the next 4 games with little room for error thereafter.

I would say the winner of game #1 is going to win 62.5% of the time and advance.

That is based on the average with needing to winning 2 of the last 4 games at 50% odds and winning 3 of the last 4 games at 75% making the average the middle to advance on % odds likelihood of winning the series with a game #1 win at the median.

Now I understand odds do not work exactly like that, however I suggest the chance of advancing with a game #1 win makes the series about 60-40 in favor of that team.

In this matchup, i would say the odds would be more tilted in favour of the team winning the first game, especially the leafs. In a matchup of opposing styles, if the leafs can get that first goal, that may be the key to forcing the play and making it a quick series. If they score the first goal in game 1, i put the series odds at 60-40 right after the first goal. 80-20 if they win the first game.

 

[willmma]

Winning the first game is huge. And if you look at the remaining 4 games, it might look daunting, having to win 3 in four

But if the other team wins the second game then that evens it up and both teams have to win 2 of 3.

So losing the first game is not a disaster. Losing the first 2 games, is.

But, yes, it's better to win the first.

 

[Wafflewhipper]

I sure am liking the last change for a change.Should help loads that our centers win more face offs too.

 

[Stephen]

I wonder how the Leafs are managing the psychological aspect of playing in Toronto. Publicly you have to pay lip service to the fact that there’s no home ice advantage and it’s a unique experience. But behind the scenes are they amping themselves up like no Eastern Conference team is going to punch their ticket to the finals in our rink kind of thing.

 

[Punch Drunk Loov]

It's going to be a long offseason if we lose this round lol

 

[robertmac43]

So losing the first game is not a disaster. Losing the first 2 games, is.

Even then, you are not sunk. Look to Jays v Texas from 2015 for a great 2-0 come back by a Toronto team.

 

[BrannigansLaw]

Only 5 more days til we see some form of organized hockey. I hope we smoke the Habs and they lose all confidence

 

[Nineteen67]

Only 5 more days til we see some form of organized hockey. I hope we smoke the Habs and they lose all confidence

I want Montreal to beat Pittsburgh then get swept in the 1st round.

 

[JT AM da real deal]

I want Montreal to beat Pittsburgh then get swept in the 1st round.

If Price lights it up for 3 games then Pens are gone ... big ifs though ... Habs can skate with Pens but don't have goal scoring so requires a couple shutouts to win

 

[LeafsNation75]

Anyways, the way the former league executives in the media are raving about Keefes decision to try Matthews, JT, A and Mitch together reinforces my belief that it really isn't that hard to be a GM.

I mean, they're treating it like it's some sort of revolutionary throught process, while we the fans literally scream at the TV that playing stars with plugs maybe isn't the best decision all of the time

Maybe they were talking like that because since Tavares signed in Toronto we never saw Mike Babcock try anything like that even in practice putting Matthews, Tavares, and Marner on the same line.

 

[ToDavid]

I sure am liking the last change for a change.Should help loads that our centers win more face offs too.

Any idea how they're splitting the home/away games in the 5-game series? H-A-H-A-H or H-H-A-A-H?

 

[The Iceman]

I want Montreal to beat Pittsburgh then get swept in the 1st round.

Agree, but it has to be by some form of a fluke as to not have to hear Habs fans boasting.

So if 1/2 the Pens come in contact with someone known to have COVID and they all have to sit out the playin series quarantining for 2 weeks. That works for me.

 

[The Iceman]

Maybe they were talking like that because since Tavares signed in Toronto we never saw Mike Babcock try anything like that even in practice putting Matthews, Tavares, and Marner on the same line.

Would have been easy last year plugging Kadri onto the second line.

 

[Suntouchable13]

Any idea how they're splitting the home/away games in the 5-game series? H-A-H-A-H or H-H-A-A-H?

My guess is it would be done as usual. Leafs will have last change for first 2 games, then BJs will for games 3 and 4. Why change that? That's just my thinking.

 

[LeafsNation75]

My guess is it would be done as usual. Leafs will have last change for first 2 games, then BJs will for games 3 and 4. Why change that? That's just my thinking.

That's exactly what will happen.

For Games 1 and 2 if you at look on nhl.com they have Columbus listed on top as the road team and Toronto listed at the bottom as the home team.

For Game 3 Toronto is listed at the top as the road team and Columbus is listed at the bottom as the home team.

 

[stickty111]

An unbeatable Torts who is also mad? The Leafs should just forfeit now.

 

[Wafflewhipper]

Th

Any idea how they're splitting the home/away games in the 5-game series? H-A-H-A-H or H-H-A-A-H?

2-2-1

 

[LeafsNation75]

An unbeatable Torts who is also mad? The Leafs should just forfeit now.

On the Stanley Cup Playoffs forums it was said that should worry Leafs fans more than Blue Jackets fans.

 

[LeafsOHLRangers98]

Only 5 more days til we see some form of organized hockey. I hope we smoke the Habs and they lose all confidence

Why should they have and confidence to begin with? Price has been an average goalie the last 2 seasons even when factoring in the team around him, should be a landslide for Pittsburgh.

 

[LeafChief]

An unbeatable Torts who is also mad? The Leafs should just forfeit now.

The thing many people don't remember about Torts is that he has won a Jack Adams also Sheldon Keefe has not.

 

[crump]

Scares Leafs to see opposing coach yell instructions at a practice?