I’m from the Tom Dundon school of thought. In general, free agency is for dummies. The “winners” are the ones constantly stuck in cap he’ll because they had to overpay for their guy.
There’s guys like Williams or Hainsey in the mid-range that make sense because the term is lower, and there’s guys at the tip-top like Stamkos and Tavares that you’re ok paying that much because they’re truly franchise-changing players. Low-end guys that fill out the roster are great. But everyone else in the “TSN Top 25 Free Agent Tracker” are generally not worth it.
Considering the financial limitations of the team, I’m actually fine with the way they’ve handle free agency the past 5 years, and if they continue to do so judiciously I’m ok. I always think to the Wild signing Suter and Parise, and how that’s worked out.
Anyway, with that set-up, I imagine Neal will ask for too many years to make the term worth it on the back-end. I’d do 5x6. I’m guessing he’ll want more.