Stumbledore
Registered User
You do realize that the season is not over, right? There are games still to be played? And the outcome of every one of those games will affect a team's chance of reaching the playoffs?
Post-Game Talk: It goes to a SO Jets lose 6-5
- Thread starter bustamente
- Start date
Stumbledore
Registered User
The advantage of having your farm team in the same city as the big club.
Axel bounces up and down between teams yet gets to sleep in the same bed every night.
Although, I'm assured by some of our more attractive posters, he probably has his choice of several beds that he could use.
- Aug 29, 2022
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Where would you get such a bizarre notion?
Stumbledore
Registered User
C'mon, are you going to honestly tell me that Axel wouldn't be welcome in your bed?
- Aug 29, 2022
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Beds are sort of a tender subject for me right now. I'm couch surfing this week.
Yes…but doesn’t some kind of assumption have to be made on what results will be to land at odds/probability?
Like if it assumes all teams maintain current point pace Calgary’s probability for playoffs can’t be that high. So what is the assumption the number is based on? It makes no literal sense to me.
SensibleGuy
Registered User
- Nov 26, 2011
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could just be based on history. Historically, a team in a given position on a given date makes the playoffs a given percentage of the time.
same way if you have 10 friends and you promise to give 9 of them a cookie, each person will have 90% chance of receiving a cookie.
Stumbledore
Registered User
The Dude abides.
www.hollywoodreporter.com
‘The Big Lebowski’ Turns 25: “People Didn’t Get It,” Jeff Bridges Recalls
The Dude looks back — and shares his behind-the-scenes photos — from the Coen brothers’ beloved take on L.A. noir. The film has inspired legions of fans, an annual festival and even a religion, but it wasn’t an instant hit in 1998.
www.hollywoodreporter.com
AlphaLackey
Registered User
Because each of the nine events are not independent. Obviously, exactly 8 teams will make the playoffs. A better way to think of it is not 9 separate events with 9 separate percentages, but more 9 different statements describing one single event, that being the "run out" of the remaining games.
So in 63% of the runouts, Calgary is one of the 8 teams; in 83.9% of them, Winnipeg is one of the 8 teams, etc. etc. Nine statements about one probabilistic event, not nine separate events.
