Hey, wait a minute...

Discussion in 'NHL Draft - Prospects' started by Masao, Jul 21, 2005.

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  1. Masao

    Masao Registered User

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    I just thought of this...

    If they pick the draft team backwards, then it means...

    A team with 3 balls is more likely to be picked first. So this means that teams like the Pens or Rangers are more likely to get the 30th pick than the first! If they start by drawing for who gets the 30th pick and go at reverse until the 1st pick, then the best chance a team has of getting the first pick is to never get picked during the draw, which means that teams like Detroit or Colorado have a better chance of picking first than Pittsburgh or New York!
     
  2. JeremyCrunch

    JeremyCrunch Registered User

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    They'll still draw from 1 to 30...but they'll be revealed from who gets pick 30 to who gets 1. So....no.
     
  3. Masao

    Masao Registered User

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    Ah...

    Got scared for a moment :shakehead
     
  4. Emerald City Bruin

    Emerald City Bruin I-90 W for 2500mi

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    I wonder why no one had thought about that or posted it yet? :dunno:

    :shakehead
     
  5. Scoogs

    Scoogs Registered User

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    Because we all knew it was being drawn from 1-30
     
  6. Rails

    Rails Registered User

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    Because we all knew the league wasn't that stupid...I mean honestly, they come up wit ha 600 page document that governs the league for the next four - six years, but they **** up the lottery? Come on people!
     
  7. octopi

    octopi Registered User

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    Hmmm, so it'll be a top 30 countdown...all we need is sappy little blurbs to accompany each team

    And the Ducks waddle off with the 15th pick.... :p:
     
  8. bcrt2000

    bcrt2000 Registered User

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    please, keep this in the Multiple Balls: Disadvantage thread on the NHL Draft forum

    there are also 2 mathematical proofs, and one empircal analysis which disprove this theory
    :propeller
     
  9. Lobstertainment

    Lobstertainment Oh no, my brains.

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    The results are being released 30-1 because if they started off with "The 1st overall pick goes to Team A" then the hype is over and half the audience flips the channel.

    do it 30-1 and hype builds up as the number dwindles and fans say "WE'RE STILL IN IT!"
     
  10. hawksfan50

    hawksfan50 Registered User

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    I will not stay to the bitter end--once my Blackhawks' draft slot is revealed --unless we are in it all the way to #2,or DET goes out before us....if somehow those "hockeytown USA'ers" are still in it after we go out --I will not stand the humiliating possibility they could make it to #2 --with then a 50% chance at Crosby...sure the result is already in--but like Schroedinger's cat,untill the observer looks in the box it isn't reality...if (GOdD FORBID) the Wings win Crosby...."oh ,the humanity!" I'll need the vommmit bag immmediately...


    EVEN More nightmarish--what if it comes down to the Wings and the Hawks" ..and DET gets him..then I'll need to commit hara-kari!?
     
  11. octopi

    octopi Registered User

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    Suddenly reminded of a Miss America(Or American Idol, same diff) contest:

    "Which one of our four contestants will become home to the next 'NHL Idol' ? The origional 6 team from the great white north? The
    newer team with two promising young Stars already? The team loaded with stars that misses the playoffs every year? Or the team that may already be a Cup contender?" We tell you after this commercial break...now, Brett Hull will sing "America the Beautiful"

    :eek:
     
  12. Emerald City Bruin

    Emerald City Bruin I-90 W for 2500mi

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    Sarcasm apparently not detected. ;)
     
  13. Seriously, how many threads are needed for this topic?
     
  14. Bubba Thudd

    Bubba Thudd Just Relax

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    The answer -- as it is in almost any case in this universe -- is "42".
     
  15. Papa Smurf

    Papa Smurf Registered User

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    It would make for some crazy suspense. I can just imagine, at the last minute they decide to do that, then the pick the Canucks ball first.


    I'll shoot myself.
     
  16. JeremyCrunch

    JeremyCrunch Registered User

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    Many more will pop up until tomorrow after the lottery, then there will be the million threads about how it was rigged so the Rangers would win.
     
  17. octopi

    octopi Registered User

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    Here are the odds... I used a calculator :D

    48 balls...so

    1/48 = 2.08% chance
    2/48= 4.17% chance
    3/48= 6.25% chance

    So while some teams obviously have a better chance than others,
    there are no overwhelming favorites...
     
  18. sakicisstupid

    sakicisstupid Registered User

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    Another way they could manage this lottery is through eliminating each team from the lottery one ball by one. For instance, it'll take three balls to be pulled out to knock out the Jackets, Rangers or Penguins. Should one of their balls be pulled in reverse format, it wouldn't be a big deal since they'd still have two other balls left. Their odds increase dramatically as each team gets eliminated. In contrast, should a Detroit or Colorado ball be eliminated, they're gone immediately and their draft position is determined. This format would help me understand why the teams are being revealed in reverse order if this is being done LIVE. It also gives the Rangers a far greater chance of landing the lottery pick. Perhaps this is why the NHL didn't want to televise this in the first place. Just imagine how many angry GMs there would be if this form of lottery picking should take place. I would be equally as upset!!! Using this draft scenario on the draft simulator, take a wild guess who got first overall on my first try! THIS THING IS FIXED!
     
    Last edited: Jul 21, 2005
  19. Douggy

    Douggy Registered User

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    I think we need 8 more threads on this topic.

    Seriously: Threre is one on the NHL, Draft, Business and Toronto Maple Leafs boards.

    :shakehead
     
  20. xtra

    xtra Registered User

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    Here is a question i just started thinking about:



    When it comes down to the final 2 picks how do you announce it?


    ex. Habs and leafs are left


    do you go:

    The winner of the sidney crosby sweepstakes is Montreal

    or do you go:

    The first loser of the sidney crosby sweepstakes is Toronto?


    do you announce the winner or the loser?
     
  21. bcrt2000

    bcrt2000 Registered User

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    i think just having crosby walk out in his team's jersey would be better than announcing it :)
     
  22. Crosbyfan

    Crosbyfan Registered User

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    How abou he goes into a dark room and puts on all 30 jerseys at random.

    Out he comes and the jersey you see gets pick 30...off that comes and you see 29...
     
  23. Vlad The Impaler

    Vlad The Impaler Registered User

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    Holy ****! You're right! This is a disaster and an outrage!
     
  24. PanthersRule96

    PanthersRule96 Registered User

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    lmao, If they're tight form fitting jerseys he could maybe do that lol.
     
  25. octopi

    octopi Registered User

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    Start with youth XL(which fit adults on the small side of medium,like me ) and work up to adult/goalie XXL(Which fits really huge people)
     
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