Czech Your Math
I am lizard king
This is a rather crude model based on a few factors/assumptions:
A) Canadian population data by age group
B) The proportion of Canadian and non-Canadian players as measured by each metric (% total GP by goalies, finishes in top 2N of players in points for scorers)
C) Hockey population was assumed to be 100% Canadian before expansion (i.e. goalies born outside Canada who played before 1968 were considered immigrants and part of Canadian population)
D) British Columbia population has been excluded until 1977, and increased linearly until fully integrated (for the youngest age group) in 1986. Therefore, the "prime" and older age groups do not begin to or become fully integrated until later years.
E) The Canadian hockey population pool is assumed to remain in fixed proportion to the relevant age groups of the the general population. The non-Canadian hockey pop. pool is assumed to vary in proportion to the proportion of non-Canadian players as measured by each metric and to the Canadian pop. pool.
It's meant to give a general idea of the possible hockey population pool at goaltender at various times, not be an exact model. However, I did try to be as accurate as possible, given the limited data and limited time I used to perform this study. The number on the Y-axis is thousands of males of hockey age (weighted by age group, with 100% of males 25-34 considered of hockey age), and the effective/implied number for the non-Canadian countries as a whole. I tried to keep the number on the y-axis relevant, but the more important concept is the proportionality between Canadians & non-Canadian, and from one era to another.
A) Canadian population data by age group
B) The proportion of Canadian and non-Canadian players as measured by each metric (% total GP by goalies, finishes in top 2N of players in points for scorers)
C) Hockey population was assumed to be 100% Canadian before expansion (i.e. goalies born outside Canada who played before 1968 were considered immigrants and part of Canadian population)
D) British Columbia population has been excluded until 1977, and increased linearly until fully integrated (for the youngest age group) in 1986. Therefore, the "prime" and older age groups do not begin to or become fully integrated until later years.
E) The Canadian hockey population pool is assumed to remain in fixed proportion to the relevant age groups of the the general population. The non-Canadian hockey pop. pool is assumed to vary in proportion to the proportion of non-Canadian players as measured by each metric and to the Canadian pop. pool.
It's meant to give a general idea of the possible hockey population pool at goaltender at various times, not be an exact model. However, I did try to be as accurate as possible, given the limited data and limited time I used to perform this study. The number on the Y-axis is thousands of males of hockey age (weighted by age group, with 100% of males 25-34 considered of hockey age), and the effective/implied number for the non-Canadian countries as a whole. I tried to keep the number on the y-axis relevant, but the more important concept is the proportionality between Canadians & non-Canadian, and from one era to another.
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