Maybe Carnac (the mystical soothsayer, not the Mr. misty soothsayer......) could say if this year's pick flop will be a bust, but not the writer. Of course you have to use hindsight. We won't know about our draft picks until about five years out.
Numerically, paying 70 to move up was about right according to historic values. And, we got the best asset in the trade (i.e. the highest pick) In the Perry trade, they got the best asset, even before making a nice pick. Usually, the trade partner getting the best asset wins the trade. Not always, but usually.
Was glad to see Nill be aggressive, and never liked DA trading so many first round picks either for playoff run busts or to collect more assets instead of better ones. That said, I did understand the need to restock the system after trading so many picks for vets at the deadline. But, it seemed like a "stuck in the mud" type strategy at the time.
And, once again, I believe the average fan would call out the Neal trade, and not so much just trading Neal who we couldn't sign, but throwing in a nearly equal quality D man to do it, without getting a second asset back. In that trade, you could argue PIT got the two best assets.