deadhead
Registered User
- Feb 26, 2014
- 49,215
- 21,617
Water under the bridge. The organizational has been dysfunctional for a decade, ever since Holmgren refused to rebuild after the Carter/Richards trades. They simply refused to recognize the lack of talent.
GF/GA (normalizing goalie Sv% to league average - focusing on the team strength and weakness)
2012-13: 132/125
2013-14: 233/222
2014-15: 212/221
2015-16: 211/228
2016-17: 212/210
2017-18: 249/227
2018-19: 241/253
2019-20: 227/187 69 games, prorate: 270/222
2020-21: 160/159 56 games, prorate: 234/233
2021-22: 210/272
Fletcher and AV did turn the team around, and if COVID doesn't happen, I think they might have been able to sustain it for another season - but that 2019-20 team had a short window:
By TOI:
F: Couts (27), G (32), Hayes (27), Voracek (30), TK (22), JVR (30), Laughton (25), Farabee (19), Raffl (31), Pitlick (28), NAK (23), Frost (20)
D: Provorov (23), Niskanen (33), Sanheim (23), Ghost (26), Braun (32), Myers (23), Hagg (24)
Notice no prospects would arrive until 2022-23 [Frost, Cates, Allison, York]
Even if Fletcher makes no changes, by 2021-22, this becomes a bad team, some due to bad luck, some due to age. Without replacements in the system, it would have taken trading multiple 1sts for this team to make the playoffs, much less compete for a Cup. As the ED showed, Ghost, Voracek and JVR had zero trade value.
GF/GA (normalizing goalie Sv% to league average - focusing on the team strength and weakness)
2012-13: 132/125
2013-14: 233/222
2014-15: 212/221
2015-16: 211/228
2016-17: 212/210
2017-18: 249/227
2018-19: 241/253
2019-20: 227/187 69 games, prorate: 270/222
2020-21: 160/159 56 games, prorate: 234/233
2021-22: 210/272
Fletcher and AV did turn the team around, and if COVID doesn't happen, I think they might have been able to sustain it for another season - but that 2019-20 team had a short window:
By TOI:
F: Couts (27), G (32), Hayes (27), Voracek (30), TK (22), JVR (30), Laughton (25), Farabee (19), Raffl (31), Pitlick (28), NAK (23), Frost (20)
D: Provorov (23), Niskanen (33), Sanheim (23), Ghost (26), Braun (32), Myers (23), Hagg (24)
Notice no prospects would arrive until 2022-23 [Frost, Cates, Allison, York]
Even if Fletcher makes no changes, by 2021-22, this becomes a bad team, some due to bad luck, some due to age. Without replacements in the system, it would have taken trading multiple 1sts for this team to make the playoffs, much less compete for a Cup. As the ED showed, Ghost, Voracek and JVR had zero trade value.