Speculation: 6 In 5 Thread 2017/18 (& Playoff Prediction)

[Neuf]

Game 48 / VAN / W

Points Last 5 Games	6​
Avg Points / 5 Games	6.6​
Points Above 6 in 5	+5.4​
Total Points	63​
Pace / 82 Games	107​
Record Last 5 Games	3-2-0​

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

 

[Maukkis]

 

[YWGinYYZ]

Jets will shortly have a ten-game home-stand where they never play back-to-back and also play tired teams three times.

Jets home record is currently 17-3-1.

 

[ps241]

Jets home record is currently 17-3-1.

I am scared to say this out loud but I am a bit concerned about the length of that home stand. Sometimes too much time at home isn’t a good thing. Either way it gives us the match up advantage and I feel really good about our team making the playoffs so perhaps I am running out of legit things to worry about.

 

[Aavco Cup]

Two distinct tiers

 

[King Woodballs]

Arizona .004% lmao

 

[Aavco Cup]

Arizona .004% lmao

Sportsclubstats has us at 95.7% (Arizona 0.008%)
The Athletic has us at 95% (Arizona 0%)

I guess The Athletic couldn't be bothered with decimal points

 

[King Woodballs]

Sportsclubstats has us at 95.7% (Arizona 0.008%)
The Athletic has us at 95% (Arizona 0%)

I guess The Athletic couldn't be bothered with decimal points

Round down under .005 lol

 

[Whileee]

Arizona .004% lmao

Don't worry, the Yotes are close, which is why genius GM Chayka has been trading picks, prospects and young players for older vets that will put them over the top.

 

[YWGinYYZ]

Even a crappy record from here to the end of the season gives us a very good chance of making the playoffs.

 

[Whileee]

Y

View attachment 94095

Even a crappy record from here to the end of the season gives us a very good chance of making the playoffs.

Yup, with 20 home and only 13 away games. Set up very nicely.

 

[Neuf]

Game 49 / SJS / W

Points Last 5 Games	6​
Avg Points / 5 Games	6.6​
Points Above 6 in 5	+6.2​
Total Points	66​
Pace / 82 Games	108​
Record Last 5 Games	3-2-0​

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

 

[Whileee]

Very nice remaining schedule. Jets have 6 more home games where they are rested and face a team on a back-to-back (unrested), and only 3 home games where they are on a back-to-back and the visiting team is rested.

Overall, they have 7 rested vs. tired and only 3 tired vs. rested games left. Combine that with a heavy home schedule and the Jets are poised for a strong run, based on the schedule.

 

[Aavco Cup]

View attachment 94095

Even a crappy record from here to the end of the season gives us a very good chance of making the playoffs.

.500 from here nets us 98 points

15 more wins is probably enough

 

[Aavco Cup]

We head to the Allstar break 6 points above the line.

Using the NHL standings as they stand the playoff matchups in the west would be...

Winnipeg - Dallas
Nashville - St Louis

Vegas - Colorado
San Jose - Calgary

Using points .pct the playoff matchups would be

Nashville - Dallas
Winnipeg - St Louis

Vegas - Colorado
San Jose - Calgary

 

[Whileee]

Jets remaining schedule: 20 Home, 12 Road

They can't get complacent, but they are really sitting pretty at the All-Star break.

 

[YWGinYYZ]

Jets remaining schedule: 20 Home, 12 Road

They can't get complacent, but they are really sitting pretty at the All-Star break.

Yep. Play even reasonably well, and:

 

[Whileee]

Yep. Play even reasonably well, and:

View attachment 94409

I don't think the question is whether the Jets will make the playoffs, but what seed they'll have.

 

[puck stoppa]

I don't think the question is whether the Jets will make the playoffs, but what seed they'll have.

This! When do we start looking at home ice advantage round round one or two!

 

[Neuf]

Game 50 / ANA / OTL

Points Last 5 Games	7​
Avg Points / 5 Games	6.6​
Points Above 6 in 5	+6.0​
Total Points	66​
Pace / 82 Games	108​
Record Last 5 Games	3-1-1​

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

 

[nobody important]

I don't think the question is whether the Jets will make the playoffs, but what seed they'll have.

Mason out for who knows how long with a concussion. What if Bucky gets taken out in a collision and the dreaded 6-8 weeks is uttered? Now you're looking at a Hutch-Comrie tandem (shudder).

 

[Aavco Cup]

For those who follow Dellow he's been tracking what he calls the "point of no return" He graphed the lowest point total that still made the playoffs. He did this for ever GP. The theory was once your team touches the line or drops below it the team is out of it.

He also did the same thing for the "lock line" He graphed the highest point total that ended up missing the playoffs. Same theory. Touch the line or rise above it and your team should be a lock.

On Jan 7 the Jets reached the lock line
In the west so far only Arizona and Vancouver have reached the point of no return.

 

[Whileee]

After the All-Star game the Jets have a very favourable schedule, with a lot of home games.

Here's how the playoff contenders stack up in terms of remaining games (home and away)...

Jets: 20H 12A (62.5% home)
Preds: 18H 17A (51.4)
Blues: 14H 17A (45.2)
Stars: 16H 16A (50.0)
Avs: 15H 19A (44.1)
Wild: 16H 17A (48.5)
Hawks: 16H 17A (48.5)

VGK: 17H 17A (50.0)
Sharks: 17H 17A (50.0)
Flames: 15H 18A (45.5)
Kings: 17H 16A (51.5)
Ducks: 15H 17A (46.9)

So, from the Western Conference contenders, the Jets have by far the best home schedule. Only two other teams have more home games than road games, and then only one extra.

The Avs have the worst home schedule, followed by the Flames and Blues.

Add to this the fact that the Jets have a favourable 7:3 ratio of rested vs. tired and the schedule looks kind.

Now, they need to go out and play the way they have all season and seal the deal.

 

[ps241]

The Dellow piece is interesting and makes sense. That being said with how dam good all the central teams are this is that one year something crazy could actually happen but I don’t think it will be to Winnipeg.

Most winters in the 2.0 era at this time we have known we are out barring something historically great.......this year now we know we are probably in barring something historically improbable.

Looking forward to wearing white again.

 

[Aavco Cup]

ASB update