Meh, a lot of this just banks on the NHL definition of “rookie”.
Like, Svechnikov and Necas were always going to make the team at some point, and Necas had 2 NHL cups of coffee and a dominant AHL season before he was penciled in to a spot. Foegele had an NHL cup of coffee in the season prior to making the team with a full, impressive year in the AHL as well. Bean, Lorentz, Geekie, Ned only really saw time due to injury and in a bottom line/pairing capacity (Ned was the opposite of “given” a spot, if anything we made him earn every scrap of playing time more than most of us would’ve liked).
I think the point is cogent that we don’t love penciling prospects in to the lineup. Of course eventually a rookie or two will make the team, every single NHL player has a rookie season on record. But the team just went on record saying “we think we need another top 9 forward” and went and offer sheeted a guy instead of letting Jarvis/Suzuki/Rees/etc. battle it out. I think that’s the point to be made, we haven’t been relying on prospects in our offseason plans to any significant degree.
Oh, I don't disagree with where they are right now. It's very situational, which is why I don't agree with the premise that it happens all the time.
First off, we've traded away almost all of our more seasoned "rookies" such as Roy, Gauthier, Kuokkanen, Luostarinen, etc. and the rest of them have already made the squad: Necas, Wallmark, Bean, Foegele, Zykov (didn't last), Ned, etc... It's probably why the only seasoned rookie (Keane) is in with the NHLrs in camp.
So now our prospect pool is filled with a bunch of guys with little to no AHL experience and/or not a top 5 pick like Svech, so the chances of them making the jump is much less. Rightfully so as we want them to marinate.
Secondly, the team is in a different spot than it was 3-4 years ago. It was much easier for a rookie to make the squad because we were a bad team with a lot of holes coming off 10 years of no playoffs, particularly after Rask got injured before the season. A rookie could make that team more easily. Now, the team is much better, much deeper and has cup aspirations so finding a rookie that can fill a spot is a much harder proposition than it was a couple years ago.
In the end, I agree (as I stated), that it's unlikely a rookie makes this team barring an injury or someone blows the doors off in camp (and even then it's unlikely) for the reasons I stated above. The split of players in camp makes perfect sense to me given that.
Most good teams don't pencil in a lot of rookies unless they are exceptional, have a lot of experience, and/or they have cap concerns that force it, so I don't think the Canes are any different in that regards.
EDIT: It's interesting how we went from inserting rookies right away under the JR regime, to draft and develop (let them marinate) under Francis, to trade away "marinated rookies" for NHL players under the current regime.