2024 Offseason Habs Thread -- news, musings, whatnot

[Scriptor]

Guhle does not seem durable. Hopefully, they find a way to improve on that with a better off season regimen and closer monitoring.

MOAR KEVLAR!

 

[Schooner Guy]

WHERE DO THE HABS DRAFT WITH THE WINNIPEG PICK?

2nd round matchups are:

NY Rangers-Carolina (irrelevant to Winnipeg rank, both teams draft later)
Florida-Boston (Boston win would knock Winnipeg up one rank)
Vancouver-Edmonton (Edmonton win would knock Winnipeg up one rank)
Dallas-Colorado (Colorado win would knock Winnipeg up one rank)
Vegas-Colorado (automatically knocks Winnipeg up one rank)

Winnipeg is currently drafting 27th.

Assuming every game/series is a 50/50 coin flip (which it is not), here are the odds of Winnipeg drafting at different spots:

• 27th - 6.25%
• 26th - 31.25%
• 25th - 43.75%
• 24th - 18.75%

If Dallas wins today, they change to:

• 27th - 12.5%
• 26th - 37.5%
• 25th - 37.5%
• 24th - 12.5%

If Vegas wins today, they change to:

• 27th - none
• 26th - 25.0%
• 25th - 50.0%
• 24th - 25.0%

The actual odds will skew slightly worse for the Habs as Florida is the favourite over Boston. Dallas-Vegas, Colorado-Dallas and Edmonton-Vancouver all seem close to toss-ups to me.

This is great! Thanks for breaking it all down.

Now please do the percentages of every possible scenario for the 2025 Calgary-Florida 1st round pick.

 

[Scintillating10]

I'll add my voice to this. I agree. Whoever we draft + whoever we trade for will fill out the top 6 and in 2 years....we have....

Slaf - Suzuki - Mack/Demi
Caufield - Dach - Necas?
Newhook - Beck - Roy

You don't think Mesar will make it?