2018 Magic Number = 0 (CLINCHED)

TomasHertlsRooster

Don’t say eye test when you mean points
May 14, 2012
33,360
25,417
Fremont, CA
In theory it is really only 17 since it's very very unlikely they will catch us in ROW but 18 is technically the number

Pretty exciting stuff
 

WTFetus

Marlov
Mar 12, 2009
17,905
3,558
San Francisco
Because Sharks won the RS series, the worst they could do while still making the playoffs, assuming Anaheim goes 10-0, is 6-1-3.

Shame that @Episkey has to adult. His magic number threads were great.
 
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USF Shark

Zôion politikòn
Aug 19, 2005
22,176
1
DC Area
Just going to throw this out there, but we're only 6 points back of Vegas...they've been struggling of late and we're surging....

Forget our magic number, focus on how many points back of Vegas we are!
 
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hohosaregood

Banned
Sep 1, 2011
32,422
12,642
Just going to throw this out there, but we're only 6 points back of Vegas...they've been struggling of late and we're surging....

Forget our magic number, focus on how many points back of Vegas we are!
2 games against Vegas so it's pretty doable.
 

Gilligans Island

Registered User
Jul 2, 2006
11,186
313
SF/Bay Area
I’d almost prefer to stay out of first. The likes of MIN/STL scare me a lot more than Kings or Flames or Ducks

Same here - I also prefer shorter travel. Perfectly fine in 2nd place. If the Sharks win the Pacific, they're likely opponents are the Avs, Stars or possibly Ducks. I think the Wild hold onto 3rd in the Central.

Highly unlikely we'd meet the Flames or Blues. If either make it in, they'd face the Preds.

Because Sharks won the RS series, the worst they could do while still making the playoffs, assuming Anaheim goes 10-0, is 6-1-3.

Ducks have 2 (maybe 3) "tough" games: today vs. Devils, @ Winnipeg and maybe @ Calgary (who will be fighting for their lives). Sharks have a really tough schedule so they can use any help from Ducks losses or ties.
 

DeadGhost

Ugistered Reger
Feb 15, 2010
3,943
1,166
According to SportsClubStats.com 2-6-2 or 3-7-0 the rest of the way are enough to "probably" (above a 50% probability) get the Sharks in. 5-5-0 will "probably" get the Sharks home ice in the first round.

10-0-0 the rest of the way gives the Sharks a 51% chance of winning the division. It drops off pretty drastically after that though as 9-0-1 the rest of the way brings that probablity down to 31%, followed by 9-1-0 giving the Sharks a 19% chance. Might be a blessing - I would not want to face MacKinnon right now.

Go Arizona and Minnesota tonight.
 
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hohosaregood

Banned
Sep 1, 2011
32,422
12,642
According to SportsClubStats.com 2-6-2 or 3-7-0 the rest of the way are enough to "probably" (above a 50% probability) get the Sharks in. 5-5-0 will "probably" get the Sharks home ice in the first round.

10-0-0 the rest of the way gives the Sharks a 51% chance of winning the division. It drops off pretty drastically after that though as 9-0-1 the rest of the way brings that probablity down to 31%, followed by 9-1-0 giving the Sharks a 19% chance. Might be a blessing - I would not want to face MacKinnon right now.

Go Arizona and Minnesota tonight.
Colorado also plays a fast transition game that would probably wreck us.
 

Solmors

<3 Data
May 3, 2010
2,053
796
San Jose
Max points by team after games on 3/20:
Kings - 103
Ducks - 104
Stars - 100
St. Louis - 103
Sharks - 109

So the Sharks would need 104 to be a lock right now, they currently have 91. Therefor the Sharks magic number is now 13.

That equates to a record of 6-2-1 for the last 9 games of the season.
If we continue our point pace for the season the Sharks will end with 102 points.
If we continue our point pace from the last 10 games (8-2-0) the Sharks will end with 105 points.

Edit:
sportsclubstats current odds of making playoffs:
Kings - 83.8
Ducks - 70.7
Stars - 17.8
St. Louis - 42.7
Sharks - 98.6
 

Solmors

<3 Data
May 3, 2010
2,053
796
San Jose
The teams below the Sharks keep winning, so they still need 104 points to clinch a playoff spot. Luckily the Sharks keep winning too, their magic number is now 11.

The likely lowest points to make the playoffs as a wild card will be 95-96 points, so 1-2 wins should be enough...
 

Barrie22

Shark fan in hiding
Aug 11, 2009
24,980
6,205
ontario
The teams below the Sharks keep winning, so they still need 104 points to clinch a playoff spot. Luckily the Sharks keep winning too, their magic number is now 11.

The likely lowest points to make the playoffs as a wild card will be 95-96 points, so 1-2 wins should be enough...

So theres still a chance for the sharks to blow it?
 

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